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ERIE logo ERIE
Upturn stock rating
ERIE logo

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE)

Upturn stock rating
$318.4
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/15/2025: ERIE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

1 Analysts rated it

Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.

1 Year Target Price $115

1 Year Target Price $115

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$115 Target price
52w Low $305.49
Current$318.4
52w High $474.3

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 46.16%
Avg. Invested days 44
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/15/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 16.56B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 26.5
1Y Target Price 115
Price to earnings Ratio 26.5
1Y Target Price 115
Volume (30-day avg) 1
Beta 0.3
52 Weeks Range 305.49 - 474.30
Updated Date 10/17/2025
52 Weeks Range 305.49 - 474.30
Updated Date 10/17/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 1.72%
Basic EPS (TTM) 11.95

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-10-23
When -
Estimate 3.34
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 15.73%
Operating Margin (TTM) 19.32%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 15.57%
Return on Equity (TTM) 31.14%

Valuation

Trailing PE 26.5
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 16153970371
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.17
Enterprise Value 16153970371
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.17
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.96
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 46189068
Shares Floating 19539155
Shares Outstanding 46189068
Shares Floating 19539155
Percent Insiders 45.49
Percent Institutions 40.5

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Erie Indemnity Company

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Erie Indemnity Company was founded in 1925 by H.O. Hirt and O.G. Crawford in Erie, Pennsylvania. It began by offering auto insurance and expanded into property and casualty insurance. Erie Insurance is known for its commitment to customer service and a network of independent agents.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Property and Casualty Insurance: Provides a range of insurance products, including auto, home, commercial, and life insurance. This is their main source of revenue.
  • Management Services: Manages the operations of Erie Insurance Exchange and provides administrative and claims-handling services.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Tim NeCastro serves as the President and CEO of Erie Indemnity Company. The company is structured with a board of directors overseeing executive management. Erie operates primarily through Erie Insurance Exchange, which is managed by Erie Indemnity.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Auto Insurance: Erie's auto insurance policies provide coverage for vehicle damage, bodily injury liability, and uninsured/underinsured motorist protection. Erie has a strong presence in the Mid-Atlantic region. Competitors include State Farm, Progressive, and GEICO. Market share is approximately 1.38% nationally in 2022.
  • competitors: State Farm,Progressive,GEICO
  • Homeowners Insurance: Erie offers homeowners insurance policies covering property damage, liability, and personal belongings. Competitors in this market are Allstate, State Farm, and Liberty Mutual. Market share is approximately 0.94% nationally in 2022.
  • competitors: Allstate,State Farm,Liberty Mutual
  • Commercial Insurance: Erie provides various commercial insurance products, including business auto, property, and liability coverage for small to medium-sized businesses. Key competitors are Travelers, The Hartford, and Chubb.
  • competitors: Travelers,The Hartford,Chubb

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The property and casualty insurance industry is competitive, with numerous national and regional players. Factors like regulatory changes, economic conditions, and technological advancements influence the market. Increasing frequency and severity of natural disasters are impacting profitability.

Positioning

Erie Indemnity Company differentiates itself through strong customer service, a network of independent agents, and a regional focus. It emphasizes long-term relationships and financial stability. Erie Insurance generally has very competitive rates.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total US property and casualty insurance market is estimated to be around $800 billion annually. Erie Insurance, with its regional focus, is positioned to capture a portion of this TAM through its independent agent network and customer-centric approach. Their current market share is a small percentage of the total addressable market, with room for growth in the coming years.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong customer service reputation
  • Solid financial strength
  • Established network of independent agents
  • Regional market expertise
  • High customer retention rates

Weaknesses

  • Limited geographic presence compared to national players
  • Dependence on independent agents
  • Relatively smaller marketing budget
  • Less brand recognition outside its core regions

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Increased digitalization of services
  • Partnerships with fintech companies
  • Development of new insurance products
  • Leveraging data analytics for personalized offerings

Threats

  • Increasing competition from national insurers
  • Rising claims costs due to natural disasters
  • Regulatory changes impacting insurance pricing
  • Economic downturn affecting consumer spending
  • Emergence of disruptive insurance technologies

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • ALL
  • BRK.A
  • PGR
  • TRV
  • MET

Competitive Landscape

Erie Indemnity faces intense competition from national players with larger marketing budgets and broader geographic reach. Erie's advantage lies in its superior customer service and strong agent network, which foster customer loyalty.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Erie Indemnity has demonstrated steady, moderate growth, primarily driven by premium increases and expansion within its existing markets. This growth is primarily based on customer retention.

Future Projections: Future growth projections are expected to continue at a similar pace, with opportunities for expansion into new markets and increased digitalization. Analyst estimates are important to look up live.

Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include investments in technology to improve claims processing and customer service. They have also focused on expanding their product offerings and agent network.

Summary

Erie Indemnity is a financially stable company known for its strong customer service and regional focus. Its limited geographic presence and dependence on independent agents are challenges. Opportunities exist in expanding digitally and entering new markets. Erie needs to watch out for national companies and economic downturns.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Industry Reports (e.g., NAIC)
  • Analyst Reports
  • Company Website
  • SEC.gov

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change. The market share data is an approximation based on publicly available information and may not be exact.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Erie Indemnity Company

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Erie, PA, United States
IPO Launch date 1995-10-02
President & CEO Mr. Timothy Gerard NeCastro C.I.C., CPA
Sector Financial Services
Industry Insurance Brokers
Full time employees 6715
Full time employees 6715

Erie Indemnity Company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the subscribers at the Erie Insurance Exchange in the United States. It provides issuance and renewal services; sales related services, including agent compensation, and sales and advertising support services; underwriting services comprise underwriting and policy processing; and other services consist of customer services and administrative support services, as well as information technology services. The company was incorporated in 1925 and is based in Erie, Pennsylvania.