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Exelon Corporation(EXC)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 16 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+4.1% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$46.25
11/13/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for EXC

11/13/2026: EXC (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Exelon Corporation is a leading U.S. electric and gas utility that serves over 10 million customers across six major regional territories. The company is characterized by its stable, regulated business model, which provides consistent cash flows and a reliable dividend for shareholders. Its primary growth story involves massive, multi-year infrastructure investments designed to modernize the electric grid and meet surging demand from data centers. Key risks include heavy reliance on state regulatory approvals and the financial pressure of high capital expenditure requirements. Exelon is well-suited for income-oriented investors, while developments in regional rate cases and grid expansion projects remain the most important areas to monitor.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorWeak fitExelon is a mature utility company focused on stability rather than high-growth expansion.
Momentum investorWeak fitUtility stocks typically do not exhibit the price momentum characteristics favored by this style.
Value investorMixed fitUtility valuations are generally driven by interest rates and regulatory environments rather than traditional value metrics.
Dividend investorStrong fitExelon offers a stable and reliable dividend stream suitable for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorStrong fitThe regulated nature of the utility business makes it a lower-volatility option compared to broader market equities.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityLowAs a regulated utility, the stock generally exhibits lower beta and volatility compared to the overall market.
Valuation riskMediumUtility stocks are highly sensitive to interest rate changes which can compress valuation multiples.
Competition risk (Regulatory / Utility)MediumWhile direct competition is limited in utility territories, regulatory pressure on rate hikes acts as a competitive-like constraint.
Business qualityStrongThe company benefits from a protected, essential service business model with high barriers to entry.
Dividend incomeStrongDividends are a primary component of total return and are supported by stable regulated cash flows.
Execution riskMediumSuccessful execution of massive infrastructure capital plans is required to maintain earnings growth.

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 47.86B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 18.07
1Y Target Price 47.76
Price to earnings Ratio 18.07
1Y Target Price 47.76
Volume (30-day avg) 7.9M shares
Beta 0.34
52 Weeks Range 39.73 - 49.70
Updated Date 11/14/2026
52 Weeks Range 39.73 - 49.70
Updated Date 11/14/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 3.64%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.56

Sector & Industry Intelligence

Sector

Utilities

Caution
Sentiment
Bullish
Momentum
BUY Breadth Lower
BUY participation
60.0%
Active BUY / eligible
6 / 10
30-Day BUY Count Change
0
Market state
Bullish

Qualifying BUY stocks have fallen well below recent levels and have not recovered.

Industry

Utilities - Regulated Electric

BUY participation
100.0%
Active BUY / eligible
5 / 5
30-Day BUY Count Change
+3

Eligible universe: 5 stocks.

Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Smooth

The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 12.24%
Avg. Invested days 44
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/13/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
EXC receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
EXC has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+12.5%) and solid profitability (net margin 11.4%) are partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -9.4%), moderate revenue growth (+5.3%), very low insider ownership of 0.38%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
EXC's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $-2.3B (-9.4% of revenue). Liquidity is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is EXC's strongest growth driver at +12.5% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while free-cash-flow growth (-48.9%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 94.1% and approximately 99.8% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.38%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 11.57%
State Street Corp 6.52%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.45%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 5.43%
Capital World Investors 4.95%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
EXC generates approximately $279 of gross profit, $212 of operating income, and $-94 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Negative free cash flow explains the 2-star rating, with weak cash conversion and soft capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 15.89%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
EXC has a large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Regulated Electric UtilityDelivery of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers; regulated under state commissions.Exelon collects fees for delivering power through its wires to homes and businesses, which provides reliable income.
Regulated Gas UtilityDelivery of natural gas in service territories; maintenance of pipeline infrastructure.Natural gas delivery adds a stable secondary revenue stream to the company's core electric operations.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-30
When Before Market
Estimate 0.8
Actual 0.87

Profitability

Profit Margin 10.17%
Operating Margin (TTM) 19.8%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.72%
Return on Equity (TTM) 9.06%

Valuation

Trailing PE 18.07
Forward PE 15.17
Enterprise Value 99.59B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.85
Enterprise Value 99.59B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.85
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.71
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.06
Shares Outstanding 1.03B
Shares Floating 1.03B
Shares Outstanding 1.03B
Shares Floating 1.03B
Percent Insiders 0.38
Percent Institutions 94.11

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.