Eagle Materials Inc(EXP)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$164.7
10/09/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for EXP

10/09/2026: EXP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Eagle Materials is a focused US-based manufacturer of cement, concrete, aggregates, and gypsum wallboard, serving the infrastructure, residential, and commercial construction markets. The company has a leading position in its core regional markets and is known for its lean, low-cost production model. Its main growth opportunity lies in sustained demand from federal infrastructure investment and residential housing growth in key areas. Primary risks include the inherently cyclical nature of the construction industry and potential fluctuations in raw material and energy costs. The stock may best suit value and growth-oriented investors looking for exposure to construction cycles, and stakeholders should monitor quarterly trends in housing starts and infrastructure funding.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitEagle offers steady growth through infrastructure demand but is limited by the cyclical nature of its industry.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock can exhibit strong momentum during periods of heavy infrastructure spending or housing market strength.
Value investorStrong fitEagle often trades at reasonable valuation multiples relative to its earnings potential and cash flow generation.
Dividend investorWeak fitWhile the company pays a dividend, it is not a high-yield play, making it less suitable for income-focused investors.
Low-risk investorMixed fitAs a cyclical industrial stock, it is subject to market and economic volatility, though its balance sheet is well-managed.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highConstruction material demand is highly sensitive to broader economic cycles.
Valuation riskMediumThe stock valuation often tracks cyclical expectations rather than steady long-term growth.
Competition risk (Infrastructure and Building Materials)MediumLocal market pricing power can be pressured by larger regional competitors.
Business qualityStrongThe company has a history of high margins and disciplined operational execution.
Dividend incomeLowDividends are a smaller component of total return compared to capital appreciation.
Execution riskLowManagement has a proven track record of successful capital allocation and plant integration.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Smooth

The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -18.79%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/09/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
EXP receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
EXP has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, solid cash generation (FCF margin 8.6%) and solid profitability (net margin 18.4%) are partially offset by negative earnings growth (-8.5%), moderate revenue growth (+2.1%), modest insider ownership of 1.24%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
EXP's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (8.6% of revenue). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is EXP's strongest growth driver at +2.1% FY2026 versus FY2025 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-8.5%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-44.1%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 109.7% and approximately 98.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 1.24% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

FMR Inc 11.83%
BlackRock Inc 9.98%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.58%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.37%
AllianceBernstein L.P. 4.02%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
EXP generates approximately $283 of gross profit, $243 of operating income, and $86 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Moderate margins and weak cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is solid.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 21.80%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
EXP has a high-quality, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.13B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 13.18
1Y Target Price 210.9
Price to earnings Ratio 13.18
1Y Target Price 210.9
Volume (30-day avg) 444.3K shares
Beta 1.33
52 Weeks Range 164.09 - 245.20
Updated Date 10/09/2026
52 Weeks Range 164.09 - 245.20
Updated Date 10/09/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 0.60%
Basic EPS (TTM) 12.69

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
CementPortland cement manufacturing and distribution.The foundational product for major construction and infrastructure projects.
Concrete and AggregatesReady-mixed concrete and crushed stone/sand/gravel.Essential materials sold to local builders for roads, commercial, and residential projects.
Gypsum WallboardInterior drywall products.A key material for the interior completion of new homes and commercial spaces.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 13.18
Forward PE 13.7
Enterprise Value 7.03B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.21
Enterprise Value 7.03B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.21
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.02
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.54
Shares Outstanding 30.68M
Shares Floating 30.26M
Shares Outstanding 30.68M
Shares Floating 30.26M
Percent Insiders 1.24
Percent Institutions 109.7

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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