Exponent Inc logo

Exponent Inc(EXPO)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
2-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 16 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+22.97% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$87.43
11/04/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for EXPO

11/04/2026: EXPO (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Exponent Inc is a specialized engineering and scientific consulting firm known for providing critical technical analysis and regulatory support. The company maintains a leading position in niche areas like forensic engineering and environmental safety, benefitting from high barriers to entry and strong client demand. Its primary growth opportunity lies in providing safety validation for emerging technologies, such as electric vehicle batteries. Key risks include the difficulty of scaling human capital and potential revenue volatility due to project-based consulting contracts. The stock is best suited for income-oriented or risk-averse investors who value financial stability and steady, long-term performance.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitExponent offers steady growth rather than the high-velocity expansion typically sought by aggressive growth investors.
Momentum investorMixed fitThe stock tends to exhibit lower volatility and more gradual trends, which may not suit momentum strategies unless a positive upturn signal emerges.
Value investorMixed fitThe company’s high-quality business model often commands a premium valuation, which may limit deep-value entry points.
Dividend investorStrong fitExponent's consistent dividend policy and financial stability make it an attractive consideration for income-oriented portfolios.
Low-risk investorStrong fitThe company's stable business model and strong balance sheet provide defensive characteristics suitable for risk-averse investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityLowThe stock is generally less sensitive to broad market swings than high-beta equities.
Valuation riskMediumPremium multiples can limit upside if growth expectations are not met.
Competition risk (Professional Services)MediumIntense competition for specialized talent and niche contracts requires constant innovation.
Business qualityStrongThe company's reputation for technical excellence serves as a strong economic moat.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends are stable but may be modest compared to high-yield sectors.
Execution riskLowThe business model is well-proven and relies on stable, long-term consulting relationships.

Price Behavior

Steady Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Steady Uptrend

The stock demonstrates consistent and steady upward price momentum.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 21.54%
Avg. Invested days 54
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/04/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
EXPO receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, solid company fundamentals, and solid quantitative characteristics. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
EXPO has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong cash generation (FCF margin 21.0%) and solid profitability (net margin 18.2%) are partially offset by slightly negative earnings growth (-2.7%), moderate revenue growth (+4.2%), modest insider ownership of 1.24%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
EXPO's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 30.9%). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is EXPO's strongest growth driver at +4.2% FY2025 versus FY2024 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-2.7%, slightly negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-11.1%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 99.7% and approximately 99.9% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 1.24% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 13.01%
Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management LLC 8.40%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 6.61%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.59%
State Street Corp 4.09%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
EXPO generates approximately $250 of gross profit, $206 of operating income, and $210 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Solid margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 28.03%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
EXPO has a high-quality, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Quality TiltLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 4.09B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 37.38
1Y Target Price 90.67
Price to earnings Ratio 37.38
1Y Target Price 90.67
Volume (30-day avg) 603.7K shares
Beta 0.68
52 Weeks Range 51.41 - 88.17
Updated Date 11/04/2026
52 Weeks Range 51.41 - 88.17
Updated Date 11/04/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.42%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.3

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Engineering ConsultingForensic investigation, product design support, and failure analysis.The company is hired to solve complex, high-stakes technical problems for major corporations and law firms.
Scientific and Regulatory ConsultingHealth impact assessments, environmental compliance, and chemical regulation support.Businesses pay Exponent to ensure their products meet safety and environmental standards.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-29
When After Market
Estimate 0.6
Actual 0.64

Profitability

Profit Margin 19.67%
Operating Margin (TTM) 27.36%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 12.07%
Return on Equity (TTM) 32.27%

Valuation

Trailing PE 37.38
Forward PE 31.55
Enterprise Value 4.09B
Price to Sales(TTM) 7.01
Enterprise Value 4.09B
Price to Sales(TTM) 7.01
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.2
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 29.09
Shares Outstanding 47.55M
Shares Floating 47.48M
Shares Outstanding 47.55M
Shares Floating 47.48M
Percent Insiders 1.24
Percent Institutions 99.65

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.