Exponent Inc logo

Exponent Inc(EXPO)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$68.95
10/07/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for EXPO

10/07/2026: EXPO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Exponent Inc is a specialized engineering and scientific consulting firm that provides root cause analysis and technical risk assessment for high-stakes legal and industrial disputes. The company is known for its elite intellectual capital and objective reputation, which allow it to command premium service rates. Its primary investment story centers on the increasing complexity of modern technology and global regulatory environments, which drive consistent demand for its expertise. Key risks include the cyclical nature of consulting work and the challenge of retaining highly specialized talent. With a strong balance sheet and a track record of paying dividends, Exponent may appeal to conservative, income-oriented investors seeking long-term stability.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitExponent offers steady long-term growth rather than the aggressive rapid scaling expected by pure growth investors.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock is generally characterized by stable, lower-volatility performance rather than rapid, momentum-driven price swings.
Value investorMixed fitThe stock's valuation often reflects its high quality, which may limit the margin of safety typically sought by deep value investors.
Dividend investorStrong fitExponent's consistent cash flow and commitment to dividends make it an attractive option for income-oriented investors.
Low-risk investorStrong fitIts stable business model and strong balance sheet make it a suitable choice for investors prioritizing lower volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityLowThe stock tends to exhibit lower sensitivity to broad market swings compared to higher-beta technology or cyclical stocks.
Valuation riskMediumInvestors should monitor the P/E multiple as the company's quality status can occasionally lead to a premium valuation.
Competition risk (consulting and engineering services)MediumWhile specialized, Exponent faces competition from large firms with deeper capital resources.
Business qualityStrongThe firm's reliance on elite intellectual capital provides a strong competitive moat.
Dividend incomeLowDividends are reliable, though the yield is typically modest compared to high-yield sectors.
Execution riskLowThe decentralized nature of the business requires consistent management of a highly educated, independent workforce.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -1.16%
Avg. Invested days 64
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/07/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
EXPO receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, and solid company fundamentals. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
EXPO has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong cash generation (FCF margin 21.0%) and solid profitability (net margin 18.2%) are partially offset by slightly negative earnings growth (-2.7%), moderate revenue growth (+4.2%), modest insider ownership of 1.24%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
EXPO's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 30.9%). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is EXPO's strongest growth driver at +4.2% FY2025 versus FY2024 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-2.7%, slightly negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-11.1%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 100.9% and approximately 98.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 1.24% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 13.01%
Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management LLC 8.40%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 6.61%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.59%
State Street Corp 4.09%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
EXPO generates approximately $250 of gross profit, $206 of operating income, and $210 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Solid margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 28.03%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
EXPO has a high-quality, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Quality TiltLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.29B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 31.02
1Y Target Price 84
Price to earnings Ratio 31.02
1Y Target Price 84
Volume (30-day avg) 533.5K shares
Beta 0.7
52 Weeks Range 51.41 - 80.82
Updated Date 10/07/2026
52 Weeks Range 51.41 - 80.82
Updated Date 10/07/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.77%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.23

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Engineering and Scientific ConsultingRoot cause analysis, accident investigation, and technical expert testimony.The company gets paid for providing high-level technical expertise to solve complex problems for corporate and legal clients.
Health and Environmental ScienceRisk assessments, toxicology studies, and environmental compliance consulting.This segment drives revenue by helping companies ensure their products meet safety and environmental standards.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 31.02
Forward PE 31.55
Enterprise Value 3.13B
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.8
Enterprise Value 3.13B
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.8
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.15
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 23.63
Shares Outstanding 47.55M
Shares Floating 46.90M
Shares Outstanding 47.55M
Shares Floating 46.90M
Percent Insiders 1.24
Percent Institutions 100.94

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Exponent Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters Menlo Park, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 1990-08-17
CEO & Director Dr. Catherine Ford Corrigan P.E., Ph.D.
Sector Industrials
Industry Engineering & Construction
Full time employees 1012
Full time employees 1012

Exponent, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a science and engineering consulting company in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Engineering and Other Scientific, and Environmental and Health. It provides services in the areas of biomechanics, biomedical engineering and sciences, civil and structural engineering, construction consulting, data sciences, electrical engineering and computer science, human factors, materials and corrosion engineering, mechanical engineering, metallurgical and corrosion engineering polymer and chemistry, thermal sciences, and vehicle engineering. The company also offers services in the areas of chemical regulation and food safety, ecological and biological sciences, environmental and earth sciences, and health sciences. In addition, it provides proactive and reactive product safety, litigation support, and technical, regulatory services. It serves clients in chemical, construction, consumer products, energy, food, beverage and nutrition, government, life sciences, insurance, manufacturing, technology, industrial equipment, transportation, and other sectors. The company was formerly known as The Failure Group, Inc. and changed its name to Exponent, Inc. in 1998. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.