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Upturn AI Summary - About
Diamondback Energy Inc(FANG)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for FANG
10/29/2026: FANG (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Diamondback Energy is a prominent independent oil and natural gas producer with a highly concentrated, low-cost asset base in the Permian Basin. The company has a leading position in unconventional shale development, bolstered by a series of transformative acquisitions, including the recent Endeavor Energy merger, which significantly expanded its scale. Its investment story centers on operational efficiency and a disciplined capital return policy that rewards shareholders through dividends. Primary risks include the inherent volatility of commodity prices and regional concentration. The stock may best suit investors seeking energy sector exposure who can tolerate market cyclicality and desire a balance of growth and income-generating potential.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | While the company grows through M&A, production growth in the mature shale sector is often limited by capital discipline. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock tends to perform well during periods of rising oil prices and positive energy sector momentum. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Diamondback is often priced reasonably relative to its cash flow generation and resource value. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company's variable dividend policy provides attractive income potential during strong commodity price environments. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High exposure to commodity price volatility creates significant stock price risk for conservative portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The company's revenue is directly tied to the price of oil, which is subject to unpredictable global market forces. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Stock valuation is closely tethered to commodity price forecasts, which are difficult to project long-term. |
| Competition risk (Permian Basin E&P competition) | Medium | Intense competition for drilling rights and operational efficiencies in the Permian Basin impacts growth margins. |
| Business quality | Strong | Diamondback maintains high-quality, long-life assets and a proven management team in its target region. |
| Dividend income | Medium | The variable portion of the dividend can be reduced or eliminated during downturns in oil prices. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Integrating large-scale acquisitions like Endeavor requires complex operational alignment. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -29.71% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/29/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 57.75B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 39.28 | 1Y Target Price 239.45 |
Price to earnings Ratio 39.28 | 1Y Target Price 239.45 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2.3M shares | Beta 0.54 | 52 Weeks Range 133.81 - 216.90 | Updated Date 10/29/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 133.81 - 216.90 | Updated Date 10/29/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.08% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.25 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Upstream Operations | Sale of crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs extracted from Permian Basin wells. | The company's profit depends on its ability to pull oil and gas out of the ground at a lower cost than the current market price. |
| Geography: Permian Basin | Focus on the Midland and Delaware basins in West Texas and New Mexico. | The company's success is tied to the geological potential and economic conditions of this specific US region. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-02 | When After Market | Estimate 4.92 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 9.03% | Operating Margin (TTM) 48.47% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.31% | Return on Equity (TTM) 3.49% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 39.28 | Forward PE 9.49 | Enterprise Value 69.41B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.55 |
Enterprise Value 69.41B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.55 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.09 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.41 | Shares Outstanding 280.02M | Shares Floating 213.36M |
Shares Outstanding 280.02M | Shares Floating 213.36M | ||
Percent Insiders 23.88 | Percent Institutions 73.47 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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