First Capital Inc logo

First Capital Inc(FCAP)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
4-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$61.16
10/16/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for FCAP

10/16/2026: FCAP (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

First Capital Inc is a regional bank holding company that provides community-focused banking services to clients in Kentucky. The company's primary strength lies in its stable, relationship-driven business model and long-term standing in the local market. Its core investment story centers on steady, interest-rate-dependent revenue growth and a commitment to shareholder dividends. Key risks include intense competition from larger financial institutions, regional economic sensitivity, and the potential for margin compression in shifting interest rate environments. This stock is generally best suited for value and dividend-focused investors, with ongoing developments in digital strategy and local economic health being key factors to monitor.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorWeak fitThe company operates in a mature, slow-growth industry that relies more on stability than rapid scaling.
Momentum investorMixed fitThis stock generally lacks the high-volatility price trends favored by pure momentum strategies.
Value investorStrong fitRegional banks often trade on fundamental valuation metrics like P/B and P/E ratios, making them suitable for value-oriented portfolios.
Dividend investorStrong fitFirst Capital Inc may be attractive to income-focused investors looking for steady, recurring dividend payments from a regulated institution.
Low-risk investorMixed fitWhile established, banking stocks are subject to economic cyclicality and interest rate risk which can increase volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumBank stock prices can be sensitive to macroeconomic data, interest rate changes, and sector-specific sentiment.
Valuation riskMediumThe stock's valuation is tied closely to book value and earnings, which can be pressured during periods of rising defaults.
Competition risk (banking)HighIntense competition from larger banks with lower costs of capital can limit the bank's pricing power.
Business qualityMediumThe business relies on traditional interest rate spreads, which are structurally limited in the current market environment.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends are dependent on the bank's ability to remain profitable and maintain regulatory capital requirements.
Execution riskLowAs a smaller, established institution, the operational model is well-understood and stable.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 92.91%
Avg. Invested days 59
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 4.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/16/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
FCAP receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid company fundamentals, and solid quantitative characteristics. The rating is constrained by soft analyst coverage, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
FCAP has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+37.1%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 30.5%) are partially offset by modest insider ownership of 4.14%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
FCAP's financial health is supported by solid profitability, including gross margin of 75.7% and operating margin of 30.5%. Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is FCAP's strongest growth driver at +37.1% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+12.4%, solid) is also solid, while free-cash-flow growth (-7.8%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 27.1% (moderate) and 95.1% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable (strong). Insider ownership of 4.14% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 5.94%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.27%
Geode Capital Management, LLC 2.53%
Siena Capital Management, LLC 1.49%
State Street Corp 1.40%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
FCAP generates approximately $757 of gross profit, $305 of operating income, and $305 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 17.73%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
FCAP has a high-quality, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 204.56M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 11.08
1Y Target Price -
Price to earnings Ratio 11.08
1Y Target Price -
Volume (30-day avg) 23.1K shares
Beta 0.73
52 Weeks Range 39.16 - 69.84
Updated Date 10/18/2026
52 Weeks Range 39.16 - 69.84
Updated Date 10/18/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 2.01%
Basic EPS (TTM) 5.52

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Net Interest IncomeInterest earned on commercial and retail loans minus interest paid on customer deposits.The bank earns most of its money from the difference between the interest it charges borrowers and what it pays savers.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 11.08
Forward PE 9.6
Enterprise Value 53.63M
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.84
Enterprise Value 53.63M
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.84
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.77
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 3.34M
Shares Floating 3.18M
Shares Outstanding 3.34M
Shares Floating 3.18M
Percent Insiders 4.14
Percent Institutions 27.1

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.