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Ferguson Plc (FERG)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/05/2025: FERG (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Number of Analysts
24 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $257
1 Year Target Price $257
| 10 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 8 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 35.16% | Avg. Invested days 51 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/05/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 47.99B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 26.3 | 1Y Target Price 257 |
Price to earnings Ratio 26.3 | 1Y Target Price 257 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 24 | Beta 1.13 | 52 Weeks Range 144.90 - 252.52 | Updated Date 11/4/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 144.90 - 252.52 | Updated Date 11/4/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.34% | Basic EPS (TTM) 9.31 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.03% | Operating Margin (TTM) 10.03% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.46% | Return on Equity (TTM) 32.42% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 26.3 | Forward PE 21.32 | Enterprise Value 51766975038 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.56 |
Enterprise Value 51766975038 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.56 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.68 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.34 | Shares Outstanding - | Shares Floating 195706179 |
Shares Outstanding - | Shares Floating 195706179 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.79 | Percent Institutions 95.72 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Ferguson Plc
Company Overview
History and Background
Ferguson plc, formerly Wolseley plc, was founded in 1887 in the UK. Initially a sheep-shearing business, it evolved into a building materials distributor. It significantly expanded in the US through acquisitions and organic growth, becoming a leading distributor of plumbing and heating products.
Core Business Areas
- Residential Plumbing and HVAC: Distribution of plumbing supplies, heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) equipment for residential applications.
- Commercial Plumbing and HVAC: Distribution of plumbing and HVAC products for commercial buildings and projects.
- Waterworks: Distribution of water, sewer, and storm drain products for municipal and infrastructure projects.
- Industrial Piping: Distribution of pipes, valves, and fittings (PVF) for industrial applications.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team consists of CEO Kevin Murphy and CFO Bill Brundage. Ferguson operates with a decentralized organizational structure, with regional and business unit leaders responsible for specific markets and product lines.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Pipes, Valves, and Fittings (PVF): Ferguson is a major distributor of PVF for various applications. Market share varies by region and product category but is estimated to be a top 3 player in North America. Competitors include Winsupply, Hajoca, and Watsco. Revenue is core to their business model, representing a substantial portion of total revenue.
- Plumbing Supplies: Ferguson provides a wide range of plumbing supplies, including fixtures, faucets, and drainage solutions. Market share is significant, competing with Home Depot and Lowe's in the consumer segment, and with other distributors in the professional segment. Revenue is secondary to PVF.
- HVAC Equipment: Ferguson distributes HVAC equipment from leading manufacturers. Competitors include Watsco and other regional distributors. Market share is in the top 5, and is an important part of the companies revenue streams
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The distribution industry is fragmented and competitive, with both large national players and smaller regional distributors. Key drivers include construction activity, infrastructure spending, and demand for repair and maintenance services.
Positioning
Ferguson is one of the largest distributors in North America, with a strong presence in plumbing, HVAC, and waterworks. Its competitive advantages include its scale, extensive product offering, and strong relationships with suppliers and customers.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for building materials and plumbing supplies in North America is estimated at several hundred billion dollars. Ferguson is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market, focusing on professional contractors and project-based sales.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large scale and market presence
- Extensive product offering
- Strong supplier relationships
- Experienced management team
- Decentralized operating model
Weaknesses
- Exposure to cyclical construction markets
- Dependence on acquisitions for growth
- Integration challenges with acquired businesses
- Potential for margin pressure from competition
Opportunities
- Increasing infrastructure spending
- Growing demand for energy-efficient products
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Digitalization of distribution channels
Threats
- Economic downturns
- Rising interest rates
- Supply chain disruptions
- Increased competition from online retailers
- Fluctuations in commodity prices
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- WTSO
- GWW
- FAST
Competitive Landscape
Ferguson has a broad product range and scale which gives it an advantage. Competitors are more focused, such as Watsco in HVAC. Ferguson must innovate to stay ahead.
Major Acquisitions
The Waterworks Division of HD Supply
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2900
- Strategic Rationale: This acquisition expanded Ferguson's presence in the waterworks market and provided access to new customers and products.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Ferguson has grown both organically and through acquisitions. The company has expanded its product offering and geographic footprint.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for Ferguson, driven by favorable market trends and the company's strategic initiatives. Revenue and earnings are expected to increase at a moderate pace.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include investments in digital capabilities, expansion into new markets, and acquisitions of complementary businesses.
Summary
Ferguson is a robust player in the distribution industry, boasting a substantial market share and solid financial performance. Strategic acquisitions and a diverse product portfolio contribute to its strength. However, the company must remain vigilant against economic downturns and increasing competition from online retailers. By focusing on innovation and efficient operations, Ferguson can maintain its competitive edge and continue to deliver value to shareholders.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
- Company Press Releases
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data and estimates are subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ferguson Plc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Newport News, VA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2010-01-05 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Kevin M. Murphy | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Industrial Distribution | Full time employees 35000 | |
Full time employees 35000 | |||
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. operates as a distributor serving the water and air specialized professional in the United States and Canada. The company provides various products and services, including plumbing; pipe, valves, and fittings; heating, ventilation, and air conditioning; appliances; lighting; and water and wastewater solutions to residential and non-residential customers. It also supplies specialized water and wastewater treatment products to residential, commercial, and infrastructure contractors, as well as supplies pipe, valves, and fittings solutions to industrial customers. In addition, it offers customized solutions, such as virtual design, fabrication, valve actuation, pre-assembly, kitting, installation, and project management services, as well as after-sales support that comprises warranty, credit, project-based billing, returns and maintenance, and repair and operations support. The company sells its products through a network of distribution centers, branches, counter service and sales associates, showroom consultants, and e-commerce channels. Ferguson Enterprises Inc. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Newport News, Virginia.
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