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Forge Global Holdings Inc (FRGE)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: FRGE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $33.6
1 Year Target Price $33.6
2 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
2 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -25.63% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 234.73M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 33.6 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 33.6 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta 2.19 | 52 Weeks Range 6.60 - 24.45 | Updated Date 07/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 6.60 - 24.45 | Updated Date 07/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -5.14 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -74.82% | Operating Margin (TTM) -65.11% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -15.93% | Return on Equity (TTM) -27.48% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 155360784 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.75 |
Enterprise Value 155360784 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.75 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.82 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.03 | Shares Outstanding 12328200 | Shares Floating 9778024 |
Shares Outstanding 12328200 | Shares Floating 9778024 | ||
Percent Insiders 19.56 | Percent Institutions 40.57 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 2 | Target Price 33.6 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 2 |
Buy 2 | Strong Buy 2 | ||
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Forge Global Holdings Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Forge Global Holdings Inc. was founded in 2014, focusing on providing a marketplace for pre-IPO companies to trade their shares. It has evolved into a leading platform connecting investors with equity in private companies.
Core Business Areas
- Private Securities Marketplace: Forge operates an electronic marketplace facilitating the buying and selling of private company stock.
- Data and Analytics: Forge offers data and analytics services related to private company valuations and market trends.
- Custody and Escrow Services: Forge provides custody and escrow services to ensure secure and compliant transactions.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team includes executives with experience in finance, technology, and private equity. The company operates with a structure designed to facilitate efficient trading and compliance within the private market space.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Forge Market: Primary offering is the Forge Market, a platform for buying and selling pre-IPO shares. Forge estimates that they are the biggest player in the space. Competitors include EquityZen, Carta, and Sharespost. Forge has facilitated approximately $15 billion in transaction volume. Actual market share is difficult to definitively determine due to the opaque nature of the private markets.
- Forge Data: Provides valuation data and insights into private companies. Used by investors for due diligence. Competitors: Caplight Technologies, Prime Unicorn Index
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The market for private company equity is growing rapidly due to the increasing number of companies staying private longer. This creates demand for liquidity solutions for early investors and employees.
Positioning
Forge is a leading player in the private securities market, providing a platform for institutional and accredited investors to access private company equity. Its competitive advantage lies in its established platform, data insights, and strong network of buyers and sellers.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
Estimates for the TAM of the private market vary widely. However, it is expected to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Forge is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market due to its established presence and comprehensive platform.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established platform
- Strong network of buyers and sellers
- Proprietary data insights
- Experienced management team
- Significant transaction volume
Weaknesses
- Reliance on regulatory environment
- Limited trading volume compared to public markets
- Dependence on private company participation
- Profitability remains a challenge
- Exposure to market volatility
Opportunities
- Expanding into new geographies
- Developing new products and services
- Increasing institutional investor participation
- Partnering with venture capital firms
- Regulatory changes favoring private markets
Threats
- Increased competition from other marketplaces
- Regulatory changes negatively impacting private markets
- Economic downturn affecting private company valuations
- Security breaches or data leaks
- Loss of key personnel
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- EQUITYZEN (private)
- CARTA (private)
- SHARESPOST (private)
Competitive Landscape
Forge's advantages include its established platform, data offerings, and transaction volume. Competitors are working to build out their networks and technology. The competitive landscape remains dynamic.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Forge Global has experienced significant growth in transaction volume and revenue since its inception. However, profitability has lagged behind.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth for Forge Global, driven by increasing demand for private company equity. Profitability is expected to improve as the company achieves greater scale.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding partnerships with venture capital firms, introducing new data products, and enhancing the platform's trading capabilities.
Summary
Forge Global operates in a rapidly evolving market for pre-IPO equity. The company is a leader in facilitating trading of private securities and has significant growth potential. Forge faces challenges related to profitability and market volatility. Its success depends on navigating regulatory complexities and continuing to innovate its platform to meet the needs of buyers and sellers.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Company Press Releases
- Industry Publications
- Company Website
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and after consulting with a qualified financial advisor. Market share estimates are approximate due to the limited availability of data on private market transactions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Forge Global Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-02-01 | CEO & Director Mr. Kelly A. Rodriques | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Capital Markets | Full time employees 300 | Website https://www.forgeglobal.com |
Full time employees 300 | Website https://www.forgeglobal.com |
Forge Global Holdings, Inc. operates a financial services platform in California. The company's platform solutions include marketplace solutions, a private market platform which is designed to connect buyers looking to invest in private companies and sellers of company shares and related products; private company solutions, a private company to deliver comprehensive, tailored solutions for their liquidity and capital formation; asset management solutions for fund creation and management, redemption of fund units, and secured cash management; and data solutions for derived data and indices. It also provides custody solutions for self-directed IRA accounts and custody-as-a-service. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
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