Genius Sports Ltd(GENI)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$6.44
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GENI

09/25/2026: GENI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Genius Sports Ltd is a technology company that provides the essential data, streaming, and marketing infrastructure for the global sports betting industry. The company holds a leading position through exclusive official data partnerships with major organizations like the NFL and the English Premier League. Its primary growth opportunity lies in the continued expansion of regulated sports betting and the scaling of its proprietary marketing technology. Risks include high dependency on these league contracts, competitive pressure on data rights costs, and potential shifts in sports betting regulations. The stock may suit growth-oriented investors, though it carries volatility and should be monitored for upcoming contract renewals and EBITDA margin progress.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitGenius Sports operates in the high-growth sports betting and data industry with a scalable technology platform.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum appeal depends on positive price trends and sustained news flow regarding league partnerships.
Value investorWeak fitThe company is in a growth phase, prioritizing revenue expansion over traditional value metrics like P/E ratios.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay dividends and reinvests all capital into expansion.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe stock exhibits high volatility and faces regulatory and competitive risks inherent to the sports tech industry.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock often reacts strongly to news regarding league partnerships and legislative changes.
Valuation riskMedium / highAs a growth stock, valuation is sensitive to interest rates and shifts in long-term earnings growth expectations.
Competition risk (data rights competition)HighAggressive bidding for exclusive data rights from rivals can compress margins or result in lost contracts.
Business qualityMediumThe business benefits from long-term, sticky partnerships but remains dependent on third-party sports leagues.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect income generation from this equity.
Execution riskMediumSuccessfully integrating new acquisitions and scaling marketing tech requires consistent operational discipline.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Highly Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Highly Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 41.43%
Avg. Invested days 40
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
GENI receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
GENI has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid cash generation (FCF margin 9.6%) and solid revenue growth (+31.0%) are partially offset by negative earnings growth (-77.0%), soft profitability (net margin -16.7%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
GENI's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 17.4%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is GENI's strongest growth driver at +266.6% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+31.0%, solid) is also solid, while earnings growth (-77.0%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 91.9% and approximately 80.3% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 9.06% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 5.47%
RIMA MANAGEMENT, LLC 5.10%
Glenview Capital Management LLC 5.04%
Stephens Inv Mgmt Group LLC 4.00%
Shapiro Capital Management Co Inc 3.69%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
GENI generates approximately $230 of gross profit, $-211 of operating income, and $96 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 2.19%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
GENI has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.55B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 11.03
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 11.03
Volume (30-day avg) 6.1M shares
Beta 1.88
52 Weeks Range 3.83 - 13.53
Updated Date 09/25/2026
52 Weeks Range 3.83 - 13.53
Updated Date 09/25/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.64

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Betting TechnologyOfficial data rights, odds compilation, and streaming services for operators.This is the core engine, selling essential data to betting sites.
Media TechnologyDigital marketing services and fan engagement platforms.This helps companies advertise efficiently to sports fans.
Sports TechnologyData collection software for leagues and federations.This provides the back-end infrastructure for sports organizations.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 51.02
Enterprise Value 2.30B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.96
Enterprise Value 2.30B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.96
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.92
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 152.66
Shares Outstanding 267.63M
Shares Floating 214.80M
Shares Outstanding 267.63M
Shares Floating 214.80M
Percent Insiders 9.06
Percent Institutions 91.9

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Genius Sports Ltd

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters -
IPO Launch date 2021-04-21
Co-Founder & CEO Mr. Mark Adrian Locke
Sector Communication Services
Industry Internet Content & Information
Full time employees 2000
Full time employees 2000

Genius Sports Limited provides technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries in the Americas, Europe, and internationally. It offers technology infrastructure for the collection, integration, and distribution of live optical tracking, event data, and video for league's operations; streaming solutions comprising technology, automatic production, and distribution for sports to commercialize video footage of their games; and end-to-end integrity services to sports leagues, such as full-time active monitoring technology, which uses mathematical algorithms to identify and flag suspicious betting activity in global betting markets, as well as a full suite of online and offline educational and consultancy services. The company also develops additional tools that help sports leagues deepen fan engagement; and digital content and gamification solutions, as well as provides consumer insights and fan intelligence services. In addition, it provides live sports data collection; pre-game and in-game odds feeds; risk management services, including customer profiling, monitoring of incoming bets, automated acceptance and rejection of bets, and limit setting; and live streaming services. Further, the company offers BetVision, an interactive single-screen live streaming solution that provides integrated bet slip, real-time team and player statistics, personalized, and augmented viewing modes; and FanHub, an advertising solution that helps in creation, delivery, and optimization of digital marketing campaigns, including data-driven personalized ad creative and programmatic media buying. The company was formerly known as Genius Sports Group Limited and changed its name to Genius Sports Limited in April 2021. Genius Sports Limited was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.