Graco Inc logo

Graco Inc(GGG)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 5 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-18.92% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$67.44
10/30/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GGG

10/30/2026: GGG (1-star) is a SELL. SELL for 5 days. Simulated Profits (-18.92%). Updated daily EoD!

Graco Inc is a highly regarded industrial company known for manufacturing advanced fluid handling systems and equipment for construction and manufacturing markets. The company has a leading position in the industry, benefiting from durable, high-margin products and a robust aftermarket business. Its primary growth story revolves around continued industrial automation and global infrastructure development. Key risks include cyclical exposure to construction trends and potential margin compression from rising input costs. Graco is generally well-suited for long-term dividend-focused investors, though current valuation multiples warrant monitoring, as they often reflect the high quality of the business and its historical stability.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGraco offers steady, predictable growth rather than high-octane hyper-growth.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock often trends upward during industrial market recoveries.
Value investorMixed fitThe stock often trades at a premium multiple due to its high-quality business model.
Dividend investorStrong fitAs a Dividend Aristocrat, it is an excellent choice for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorStrong fitThe company's stable margins and strong balance sheet provide a defensive profile.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumThe stock can fluctuate with general industrial and construction market sentiment.
Valuation riskMediumInvestors often pay a premium for Graco's stability, which can limit upside.
Competition riskMediumIndustrial rivals like Nordson continually challenge for market share in specialized niches.
Business qualityStrongGraco's high margins and cash generation reflect a high-quality franchise.
Dividend incomeStrongThe long history of dividend growth provides reliable income.
Execution riskLowThe management team has a long track record of operational consistency.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -23.8%
Avg. Invested days 37
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/30/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
GGG receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
GGG has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, moderate earnings growth (+7.4%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 28.5%) are partially offset by moderate revenue growth (+5.8%), very low insider ownership of 0.79%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
GGG's financial health is supported by strong liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 30.7%). Operating efficiency is solid (4 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is GGG's strongest growth driver at +23.9% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). Revenue growth (+5.8%, moderate) and earnings growth (+7.4%, moderate) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 94.5% and approximately 99.0% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.79%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 11.52%
State Street Corp 5.08%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 5.02%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.66%
Geode Capital Management, LLC 3.18%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
GGG generates approximately $525 of gross profit, $273 of operating income, and $285 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 18.62%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
GGG has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 10.82B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 21.75
1Y Target Price 83.29
Price to earnings Ratio 21.75
1Y Target Price 83.29
Volume (30-day avg) 1.9M shares
Beta 0.88
52 Weeks Range 65.96 - 94.65
Updated Date 11/01/2026
52 Weeks Range 65.96 - 94.65
Updated Date 11/01/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.72%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.1

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Industrial SegmentSystems for finishing and applying coatings to manufactured goods.Steady revenue from automotive and industrial manufacturing demand.
Contractor SegmentProfessional paint and texture sprayers.Revenue sensitive to housing and commercial construction trends.
Process SegmentPumps for sanitary and chemical applications.Provides diversification into essential food, beverage, and chemical processing.
GeographyGlobal sales across North America, EMEA, and Asia Pacific.Broad exposure helps mitigate regional economic slowdowns.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-21
When After Market
Estimate 0.82
Actual 0.81

Profitability

Profit Margin 22.4%
Operating Margin (TTM) 25.26%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 12.02%
Return on Equity (TTM) 20.38%

Valuation

Trailing PE 21.75
Forward PE 19.42
Enterprise Value 10.84B
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.68
Enterprise Value 10.84B
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.68
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.69
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.46
Shares Outstanding 160.38M
Shares Floating 158.71M
Shares Outstanding 160.38M
Shares Floating 158.71M
Percent Insiders 0.79
Percent Institutions 94.49

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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