Graham Corporation logo

Graham Corporation(GHM)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
2-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$91.49
10/02/2026
(24-hour delay)

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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GHM

10/02/2026: GHM (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Graham Corporation is a specialized industrial manufacturer known for designing mission-critical heat transfer and vacuum systems, particularly for the U.S. Navy and the global energy sector. Its primary strength lies in its long-standing engineering expertise and deep integration into defense supply chains, which provide significant order visibility. The main growth story involves expanding higher-margin aftermarket service revenue while leveraging steady naval modernization budgets. However, investors must consider risks including reliance on defense procurement policies, exposure to energy market cycles, and execution risks on complex contracts. The stock may suit investors seeking defense industry exposure, though it warrants monitoring of backlog execution and government spending trends.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is largely dependent on steady, multi-year defense cycles rather than rapid, disruptive expansion.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock can react significantly to major defense contract award announcements.
Value investorMixed fitValuation often tracks closely with cyclical industrial sector peers and defense spending sentiment.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not emphasize dividend payments as a core part of its shareholder return strategy.
Low-risk investorMixed fitWhile defense contracts provide stability, exposure to cyclical energy markets introduces moderate volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highThe stock can experience sharp swings based on defense budget news and energy commodity fluctuations.
Valuation riskMediumMarket multiples for industrial defense contractors often fluctuate with broader geopolitical risk premiums.
Competition risk (Defense/Energy)MediumHigh technical barriers protect the business, but major competitors can outbid on scale.
Business qualityMedium / highThe company has strong technical expertise and sticky customer relationships, particularly in defense.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not rely on GHM for consistent income generation.
Execution riskMediumComplex, multi-year defense contracts carry significant project-level execution and cost-overrun risks.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 67.12%
Avg. Invested days 36
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/02/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
GHM receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
GHM has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, moderate earnings growth (+2.2%) and solid revenue growth (+16.9%) are partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -0.0%), soft profitability (net margin 5.1%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
GHM's financial health is supported by moderate efficiency, including operating-expense and cost-of-revenue discipline (opex 17.7% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is GHM's strongest growth driver at +16.9% FY2026 versus FY2025 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while free-cash-flow growth (-102.3%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 98.2% and approximately 95.2% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 5.05% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Brandes Investment Partners & Co 9.20%
BlackRock Inc 7.59%
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,Inc. 5.17%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.14%
Royce & Associates, LP 3.80%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
GHM generates approximately $235 of gross profit, $59 of operating income, and $-0 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Negative free cash flow explains the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and soft capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 11.32%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
GHM has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Small / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.02B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 84.37
1Y Target Price 130.75
Price to earnings Ratio 84.37
1Y Target Price 130.75
Volume (30-day avg) 180.8K shares
Beta 1.05
52 Weeks Range 52.57 - 125.82
Updated Date 10/01/2026
52 Weeks Range 52.57 - 125.82
Updated Date 10/01/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.03

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
DefenseNuclear-powered submarine and carrier heat transfer equipment.The reliable, steady core of the business tied to U.S. Navy procurement.
Energy/ProcessVacuum systems for oil, gas, and chemical refineries.A more cyclical revenue source that benefits from global energy investment.
GeographyPrimary operations and revenue in the United States, with select international energy project exports.Highly focused on U.S. domestic policy and spending.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 84.37
Forward PE 45.05
Enterprise Value 1.00B
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.91
Enterprise Value 1.00B
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.91
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.83
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 43.03
Shares Outstanding 11.74M
Shares Floating 11.18M
Shares Outstanding 11.74M
Shares Floating 11.18M
Percent Insiders 5.05
Percent Institutions 98.16

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Graham Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Batavia, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 1992-03-17
President, CEO & Director Mr. Matthew J. Malone
Sector Industrials
Industry Specialty Industrial Machinery
Full time employees 732
Full time employees 732

Graham Corporation designs and manufactures fluid, power, heat transfer, and vacuum technologies for chemical and petrochemical processing, defense, space, petroleum refining, cryogenic, and energy industries. The company offers power plant systems, including ejectors and surface condensers, as well as torpedo ejection, propulsion, and power systems comprising turbines, alternators, regulators, pumps, and blowers for the defense industry. It also provides heat transfer and vacuum systems that include ejectors, process and surface condensers, liquid ring pumps, and heat exchangers, as well as nozzles and power generation systems, such as turbines, generators, compressors, and pumps for the energy and process industry. In addition, the company offers rocket propulsion systems, including turbopumps, fuel, cryogenic, and nuclear propellant pumps; cooling systems comprising pumps, compressors, fans, and blowers; and life support systems that consist of fans, pumps, and blowers for the space industry. Further, it provides thermal management systems, such as pumps, blowers, and electronics for the defense and energy sector; advanced mixing systems, including bladeless centrifugal mixers, accessories, services, and consumables; and spare parts for its equipment. It serves customers in the United States, Asia, Canada, the Middle East, South America, and internationally. Graham Corporation was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Batavia, New York.