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Upturn AI Summary - About
Graham Corporation(GHM)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GHM
10/02/2026: GHM (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Graham Corporation is a specialized industrial manufacturer known for designing mission-critical heat transfer and vacuum systems, particularly for the U.S. Navy and the global energy sector. Its primary strength lies in its long-standing engineering expertise and deep integration into defense supply chains, which provide significant order visibility. The main growth story involves expanding higher-margin aftermarket service revenue while leveraging steady naval modernization budgets. However, investors must consider risks including reliance on defense procurement policies, exposure to energy market cycles, and execution risks on complex contracts. The stock may suit investors seeking defense industry exposure, though it warrants monitoring of backlog execution and government spending trends.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely dependent on steady, multi-year defense cycles rather than rapid, disruptive expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock can react significantly to major defense contract award announcements. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation often tracks closely with cyclical industrial sector peers and defense spending sentiment. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not emphasize dividend payments as a core part of its shareholder return strategy. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While defense contracts provide stability, exposure to cyclical energy markets introduces moderate volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock can experience sharp swings based on defense budget news and energy commodity fluctuations. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market multiples for industrial defense contractors often fluctuate with broader geopolitical risk premiums. |
| Competition risk (Defense/Energy) | Medium | High technical barriers protect the business, but major competitors can outbid on scale. |
| Business quality | Medium / high | The company has strong technical expertise and sticky customer relationships, particularly in defense. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors should not rely on GHM for consistent income generation. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Complex, multi-year defense contracts carry significant project-level execution and cost-overrun risks. |
Price Behavior

Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 67.12% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals 
Financial Health Rating 
Growth Momentum Score 
Ownership 
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue) 
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile 
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.02B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 84.37 | 1Y Target Price 130.75 |
Price to earnings Ratio 84.37 | 1Y Target Price 130.75 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 180.8K shares | Beta 1.05 | 52 Weeks Range 52.57 - 125.82 | Updated Date 10/01/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 52.57 - 125.82 | Updated Date 10/01/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.03 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Defense | Nuclear-powered submarine and carrier heat transfer equipment. | The reliable, steady core of the business tied to U.S. Navy procurement. |
| Energy/Process | Vacuum systems for oil, gas, and chemical refineries. | A more cyclical revenue source that benefits from global energy investment. |
| Geography | Primary operations and revenue in the United States, with select international energy project exports. | Highly focused on U.S. domestic policy and spending. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 84.37 | Forward PE 45.05 | Enterprise Value 1.00B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.91 |
Enterprise Value 1.00B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.91 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.83 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 43.03 | Shares Outstanding 11.74M | Shares Floating 11.18M |
Shares Outstanding 11.74M | Shares Floating 11.18M | ||
Percent Insiders 5.05 | Percent Institutions 98.16 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Graham Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters Batavia, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1992-03-17 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Matthew J. Malone | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Specialty Industrial Machinery | Full time employees 732 | Website https://grahamcorp.com |
Full time employees 732 | Website https://grahamcorp.com | ||
Graham Corporation designs and manufactures fluid, power, heat transfer, and vacuum technologies for chemical and petrochemical processing, defense, space, petroleum refining, cryogenic, and energy industries. The company offers power plant systems, including ejectors and surface condensers, as well as torpedo ejection, propulsion, and power systems comprising turbines, alternators, regulators, pumps, and blowers for the defense industry. It also provides heat transfer and vacuum systems that include ejectors, process and surface condensers, liquid ring pumps, and heat exchangers, as well as nozzles and power generation systems, such as turbines, generators, compressors, and pumps for the energy and process industry. In addition, the company offers rocket propulsion systems, including turbopumps, fuel, cryogenic, and nuclear propellant pumps; cooling systems comprising pumps, compressors, fans, and blowers; and life support systems that consist of fans, pumps, and blowers for the space industry. Further, it provides thermal management systems, such as pumps, blowers, and electronics for the defense and energy sector; advanced mixing systems, including bladeless centrifugal mixers, accessories, services, and consumables; and spare parts for its equipment. It serves customers in the United States, Asia, Canada, the Middle East, South America, and internationally. Graham Corporation was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Batavia, New York.

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