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Upturn AI Summary - About
Granite Construction Incorporated(GVA)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GVA
10/08/2026: GVA (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Granite Construction is a prominent US-based civil infrastructure company that specializes in transportation, water, and industrial construction projects. The company's strength lies in its vertical integration, which combines construction services with material production to maintain operational control. A primary growth opportunity resides in the long-term federal funding from the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, which supports its substantial contract backlog. Investors should monitor risks such as raw material cost volatility, skilled labor shortages, and potential project execution delays in fixed-price contracts. This stock may suit value-oriented and dividend-focused investors seeking exposure to domestic infrastructure development, provided they are comfortable with the cyclical nature of the construction sector.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely tied to infrastructure spending cycles rather than high-velocity market expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum follows contract win announcements and macro tailwinds for U.S. infrastructure. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Often trades at valuation multiples reflective of capital-intensive construction peers. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Provides reliable dividend income supported by long-term contract backlogs. |
| Low-risk investor | Medium fit | Subject to project execution risks and cyclical economic sensitivity. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | Construction stocks are sensitive to raw material costs and interest rate changes. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market pricing can swing based on perceptions of federal spending efficacy. |
| Competition risk | High | Intense bidding for large civil projects compresses profit margins. |
| Business quality | Medium | Profitability is dependent on successful project execution and cost control. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividend payouts depend on the company's ability to maintain healthy operating cash flow. |
| Execution risk | High | Delays or cost overruns in large-scale infrastructure projects can materially impact quarterly results. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 79.25% | Avg. Invested days 71 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  5.0 | Stock Returns Performance  4.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/08/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.06B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 171.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 171.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 591.1K shares | Beta 1.35 | 52 Weeks Range 96.86 - 161.77 | Updated Date 10/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 96.86 - 161.77 | Updated Date 10/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.45% | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.32 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Transportation Infrastructure | Roads, highways, bridges, and airport facilities. | This is their core business, benefiting directly from government transport budgets. |
| Water & Mineral Services | Water treatment, pipelines, and environmental services. | Provides recurring revenue through specialized maintenance and complex infrastructure projects. |
| Materials | Production and sale of construction aggregates and asphalt. | Supports the core business while reducing reliance on third-party suppliers. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 13.85 | Enterprise Value 5.77B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.02 |
Enterprise Value 5.77B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.02 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.16 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 30.47 | Shares Outstanding 44.43M | Shares Floating 43.42M |
Shares Outstanding 44.43M | Shares Floating 43.42M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.93 | Percent Institutions 112.77 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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