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Upturn AI Summary - About
HCA Healthcare, Inc.(HCA)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for HCA
10/23/2026: HCA (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 53 days. Simulated Profits (14.21%). Updated daily EoD!
HCA Healthcare is a major U.S.-based operator of hospitals and outpatient facilities, known for its extensive geographic network and high market density. The company generates steady revenue through essential care services, bolstered by a strong focus on operational efficiency and scale. Its growth is primarily driven by expanding its footprint in outpatient settings and capturing demand from an aging population. However, investors should be mindful of risks related to regulatory changes in reimbursement, labor cost volatility, and increasing competition from retail-based care. The stock may suit value and dividend-focused investors seeking exposure to the stable, yet regulated, healthcare infrastructure sector.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company leverages scale to drive consistent revenue and earnings growth in an essential industry. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum depends on current market sentiment toward healthcare spending and interest rate impacts on capital-intensive firms. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | HCA often trades at reasonable valuation multiples compared to its strong cash flow generation capabilities. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company provides a reliable and growing dividend supported by stable, long-term healthcare demand. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While healthcare is defensive, the hospital sector carries significant regulatory and labor-related operational risks. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | Healthcare stocks often fluctuate based on shifts in U.S. health policy and payer reimbursement negotiations. |
| Valuation risk | Low | The stock generally maintains a valuation tethered to stable cash flow expectations rather than speculative growth. |
| Competition risk (Outpatient/Retail) | Medium / high | New entrants like retail pharmacies and technology-driven providers are disrupting traditional care delivery models. |
| Business quality | Strong | HCA's high market density and scale create significant barriers to entry in its core markets. |
| Dividend income | Low | Dividends are well-covered but yield is generally lower than traditional high-income sectors. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success relies heavily on managing labor costs and maintaining effective physician recruitment across a large national footprint. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 77.48% | Avg. Invested days 62 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  4.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 101.55B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 15.72 | 1Y Target Price 461.81 |
Price to earnings Ratio 15.72 | 1Y Target Price 461.81 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.3M shares | Beta 1.11 | 52 Weeks Range 353.34 - 553.56 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 353.34 - 553.56 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.64% | Basic EPS (TTM) 29.83 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Patient Care Services | Inpatient and outpatient medical services provided at hospitals and surgery centers. | The company makes money when patients receive medical care that is paid for by insurance, government programs like Medicare/Medicaid, or out-of-pocket. |
| Geographic Operations | Concentrated hospital networks in high-growth U.S. states like Florida, Texas, and Tennessee. | HCA targets states with growing populations and favorable economic conditions to ensure steady demand for its services. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-27 | When Before Market | Estimate 6.74 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.77% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.16% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 12.29% | Return on Equity (TTM) 136.32% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 15.72 | Forward PE 13.85 | Enterprise Value 145.39B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.3 |
Enterprise Value 145.39B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.3 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.86 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.17 | Shares Outstanding 216.50M | Shares Floating 144.32M |
Shares Outstanding 216.50M | Shares Floating 144.32M | ||
Percent Insiders 16.61 | Percent Institutions 78.65 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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