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Upturn AI Summary - About
HCA Healthcare, Inc.(HCA)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for HCA
10/09/2026: HCA (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 43 days. Simulated Profits (9.84%). Updated daily EoD!
HCA Healthcare is a major for-profit hospital operator known for its extensive network of acute care facilities and its strategic focus on outpatient services. The company's primary strength lies in its massive scale, which provides significant leverage with payers and operational efficiencies. Its growth strategy centers on expanding its footprint in high-demand markets and investing in clinical data technology. Key risks include exposure to labor shortages, rising wages, and potential changes in government reimbursement policies. HCA may be a suitable fit for value or dividend-focused investors, though shareholders should monitor labor costs and legislative developments as key indicators of future performance.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company effectively balances organic growth with strategic expansion into high-growth outpatient sectors. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum suitability depends on positive price trends and sustained strength in patient volume metrics. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Historically, the stock trades at reasonable earnings multiples relative to its cash flow stability. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | HCA offers a reliable dividend supported by strong and predictable cash flows. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While established, the industry faces regulatory and labor cost risks that can influence volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | Market reactions to healthcare policy changes can cause short-term stock price swings. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | The stock is sensitive to interest rate environments and broader market sentiment regarding healthcare. |
| Competition risk (labor and outpatient services) | Medium / high | Intense competition for staff and shifting patient preferences toward outpatient settings challenge profitability. |
| Business quality | Strong | HCA's large scale and operational expertise reflect a high-quality, durable business model. |
| Dividend income | Low | Dividends are well-covered by cash flows, presenting a stable income stream. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Effective integration of acquired facilities and management of labor costs are critical to operational success. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 70.69% | Avg. Invested days 61 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  4.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 97.66B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 15.12 | 1Y Target Price 459.27 |
Price to earnings Ratio 15.12 | 1Y Target Price 459.27 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.4M shares | Beta 1.11 | 52 Weeks Range 353.34 - 553.56 | Updated Date 10/11/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 353.34 - 553.56 | Updated Date 10/11/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.67% | Basic EPS (TTM) 29.83 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Inpatient Hospital Services | Acute care, emergency room services, and specialized surgeries. | This is the core of the business, generating revenue when patients are admitted for care. |
| Outpatient Services | Surgery centers, diagnostic imaging, and urgent care clinics. | A faster-growing segment that is generally cheaper to operate than traditional hospitals. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 15.12 | Forward PE 13.85 | Enterprise Value 145.39B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.25 |
Enterprise Value 145.39B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.25 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.86 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.17 | Shares Outstanding 216.50M | Shares Floating 144.30M |
Shares Outstanding 216.50M | Shares Floating 144.30M | ||
Percent Insiders 16.61 | Percent Institutions 78.87 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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