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Hillevax Inc (HLVX)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2025: HLVX (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $2
1 Year Target Price $2
0 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
2 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -19.08% | Avg. Invested days 45 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 104.76M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2 | Beta 0.77 | 52 Weeks Range 1.34 - 2.17 | Updated Date 10/12/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.34 - 2.17 | Updated Date 10/12/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.44 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -14.48% | Return on Equity (TTM) -40.31% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value -31242620 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value -31242620 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -4.07 | Shares Outstanding 50125541 | Shares Floating 39747555 |
Shares Outstanding 50125541 | Shares Floating 39747555 | ||
Percent Insiders 17.09 | Percent Institutions 70.43 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Hillevax Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Hillevax, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing novel vaccines against human noroviruses, the leading cause of acute gastroenteritis worldwide. Founded in 2012 by researchers at Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Hillevax has been working on addressing the unmet medical need of norovirus. The company is headquartered in Boston, MA.
Core Business Areas
- Vaccine Development: Focuses on the research, development, and clinical trials of vaccines targeting norovirus.
- Clinical Trials: Conducting Phase 1, 2, and 3 clinical trials to evaluate the safety and efficacy of their vaccine candidates.
- Commercialization: Preparing for the potential commercial launch and distribution of a norovirus vaccine, subject to regulatory approval.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team consists of experienced professionals in vaccine development and biotechnology. The organizational structure is typical of a clinical-stage biotech company, focusing on research, clinical operations, and business development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- HIL-214: Hillevax's lead vaccine candidate is HIL-214, a virus-like particle (VLP) vaccine targeting two common norovirus genogroups (GI.1 and GII.4). No current market share due to vaccine being in clinical trials. Competitors include Takeda (TAK) which also has a norovirus vaccine in development.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The vaccine market is a large and growing industry. There are currently no approved vaccines for norovirus, resulting in a significant unmet medical need. Norovirus causes an estimated 685 million cases of acute gastroenteritis annually worldwide, resulting in significant healthcare costs and economic burden.
Positioning
Hillevax is positioned as a leader in the development of a norovirus vaccine, potentially becoming the first company to market such a product. Their competitive advantage lies in their expertise in VLP vaccine technology and their focus on addressing the specific strains of norovirus most prevalent globally.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The estimated global TAM for a norovirus vaccine is $4 billion USD annually. Hillevax, with its HIL-214 vaccine, is positioned to capture a significant share of this market pending successful clinical trials and regulatory approval.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- First-mover advantage in a large market
- Strong scientific expertise in norovirus vaccine development
- Promising Phase 2 clinical trial results
- Experienced leadership team
Weaknesses
- Single product pipeline
- Reliance on clinical trial success and regulatory approval
- Potential for competition from larger pharmaceutical companies
- Currently no revenue generation
Opportunities
- Expansion of vaccine portfolio to target other norovirus strains
- Partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies for manufacturing and distribution
- Securing government contracts for vaccine stockpiling
- Geographic expansion into emerging markets
Threats
- Clinical trial failure
- Regulatory delays or rejection
- Competition from other vaccine developers
- Changing prevalence of norovirus strains
- Adverse events associated with the vaccine
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- TAK
Competitive Landscape
Hillevax is currently in competition with Takeda (TAK) to be the first to market with a norovirus vaccine. While Hillevax is a smaller company, its focus on norovirus vaccine development gives it a competitive advantage in terms of expertise and dedication. Currently, no vaccines are on the market, therefore the market share for all competitors is 0.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth is characterized by the advancement of the HIL-214 vaccine through preclinical and clinical development.
Future Projections: Future growth is contingent upon successful completion of Phase 3 clinical trials and regulatory approval. Analyst projections are unavailable due to limited publicly traded history.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the completion of Phase 2 clinical trials and the initiation of Phase 3 clinical trials.
Summary
Hillevax Inc. is a promising clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing a norovirus vaccine, which represents a significant unmet need. The company has a first-mover advantage but faces risks related to clinical trial outcomes, regulatory approval, and competition. Its financial health depends on continued funding and successful commercialization. Hillevax needs to mitigate these risks in order to capitalize on the substantial market opportunity.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Hillevax Inc. website
- Company Press Releases
- SEC Filings (when available)
- Industry reports and analysis
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on thorough research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Hillevax Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Boston, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-04-29 | Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman of the Board Dr. Robert M. Hershberg M.D., Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 14 | Website https://www.hillevax.com |
Full time employees 14 | Website https://www.hillevax.com |
HilleVax, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes vaccines in the United States. The company develops HIL-214, a virus-like particle-based vaccine candidate for the prevention of moderate-to-severe acute gastroenteritis caused by norovirus infection. It has a license agreement with Takeda Vaccines, Inc. to develop and commercialize HIL-214 pharmaceutical products. The company was formerly known as MokshaCo, Inc. and changed its name to HilleVax, Inc. in February 2021. HilleVax, Inc. was founded in 2019 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts. As of September 17, 2025, HilleVax, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of XOMA Royalty Corporation.

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