Ideaya Biosciences Inc logo

Ideaya Biosciences Inc(IDYA)

Top Performer Top performer
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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
4-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$31.24
11/06/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for IDYA

11/06/2026: IDYA (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Ideaya Biosciences is a clinical-stage biotechnology company specializing in synthetic lethality for precision oncology. Its primary strength lies in a proprietary drug discovery platform supported by major pharmaceutical partnerships, which help de-risk the company's research pipeline. The investment story centers on the successful progression of candidates like IDE397 and IDE161 into advanced clinical stages. Key risks include the inherent uncertainty of clinical data readouts, high cash burn, and competition from large, well-funded incumbents. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance who are willing to monitor binary clinical milestones closely.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitIdeaya offers high growth potential driven by a pipeline of innovative oncology assets.
Momentum investorMixed fitFit is conditional on positive clinical data readouts and positive technical price trends.
Value investorWeak fitAs a clinical-stage company with no recurring earnings, it does not fit traditional value metrics.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay dividends and focuses entirely on R&D investment.
Low-risk investorWeak fitBiotechnology stocks are inherently high-risk due to clinical and regulatory uncertainties.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighClinical-stage biotech stocks often experience sharp price swings based on trial data.
Valuation riskMedium / highValuation is speculative and heavily dependent on future success of pipeline assets.
Competition risk (Oncology drug development)HighThe oncology field is crowded with large, well-funded competitors.
Business qualityMediumThe company has a strong scientific foundation but lacks established commercial products.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThere is no income component for investors.
Execution riskMedium / highSuccess depends on executing complex clinical trials and meeting regulatory standards.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 107.78%
Avg. Invested days 87
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/06/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
IDYA receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
IDYA has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with soft financial health, strong growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+58.6%) and strong revenue growth (+3024.4%) are partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -33.6%), weak profitability (net margin -52.0%), modest insider ownership of 2.19%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
IDYA's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 54.8%). Profitability is weak (1 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is IDYA's strongest growth driver at +3024.4% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Earnings growth (+58.6%, strong) and free-cash-flow growth (+70.8%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 107.2% and approximately 93.9% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 2.19% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

FMR Inc 14.59%
BlackRock Inc 9.20%
Jupiter Topco LLC 8.87%
Capital Research Global Investors 5.53%
Baker Bros Advisors LP 5.18%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
IDYA generates approximately $-439 of gross profit, $-728 of operating income, and $-336 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.00%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
IDYA has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Low VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.02B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 51.38
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 51.38
Volume (30-day avg) 977.3K shares
Beta 0.08
52 Weeks Range 26.81 - 42.68
Updated Date 11/08/2026
52 Weeks Range 26.81 - 42.68
Updated Date 11/08/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -4.5

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Strategic CollaborationsMilestone payments and license fees from pharmaceutical partners like GSK and Amgen.Revenue is not consistent but comes from large one-time payments tied to developmental successes.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 4.65
Enterprise Value 2.21B
Price to Sales(TTM) 82.68
Enterprise Value 2.21B
Price to Sales(TTM) 82.68
Enterprise Value to Revenue 60.53
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -7.8
Shares Outstanding 96.69M
Shares Floating 90.84M
Shares Outstanding 96.69M
Shares Floating 90.84M
Percent Insiders 2.19
Percent Institutions 107.24

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.