IPG Photonics Corporation logo

IPG Photonics Corporation(IPGP)

upturn advisory logo
EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$70.86
11/12/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for IPGP

11/12/2026: IPGP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

IPG Photonics is a leading manufacturer of high-power fiber lasers, a technology that has become vital to modern automated manufacturing. The company is known for its strong vertical integration, which supports high gross margins and provides a competitive cost structure. Its primary growth opportunity lies in the rapid adoption of laser technology for electric vehicle manufacturing and medical applications. However, the stock is subject to significant risks, including industrial cyclicality, intense competition from low-cost players, and geopolitical trade uncertainties. IPG may best suit growth-oriented investors who can tolerate cyclical volatility and who are monitoring the company's successful pivot toward higher-margin, specialized technology markets.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThe company operates in a secular growth industry where laser adoption is replacing older manufacturing methods.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum varies significantly based on industrial capital expenditure cycles and global economic news.
Value investorMixed fitValuation is often tied to cyclical expectations, making it a timing-dependent value play.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorWeak fitExposure to industrial cyclicality and geopolitical risks results in higher price volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is highly sensitive to changes in global manufacturing sentiment and capital equipment cycles.
Valuation riskMediumMarket expectations for growth can lead to significant price swings during earnings reporting periods.
Competition risk (industrial laser market)HighLower-cost competitors in Asia are increasing pressure on margins for standard power laser products.
Business qualityStrongThe company's vertically integrated model creates strong barriers to entry and sustainable competitive advantages.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect income, as the company retains capital for reinvestment.
Execution riskMediumMaintaining the lead in fiber laser technology requires continuous, high-stakes R&D investment.

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.01B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 73.76
1Y Target Price 106.43
Price to earnings Ratio 73.76
1Y Target Price 106.43
Volume (30-day avg) 379.4K shares
Beta 1.01
52 Weeks Range 61.59 - 155.82
Updated Date 11/12/2026
52 Weeks Range 61.59 - 155.82
Updated Date 11/12/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.96

Sector & Industry Intelligence

Sector

Technology

Caution
Sentiment
Near Bearish
Momentum
Rapid Breadth Deterioration
BUY participation
30.1%
Active BUY / eligible
37 / 123
30-Day BUY Count Change
-42
Market state
Weak Bullish / Near Bearish

BUY participation is falling rapidly, suggesting elevated market vulnerability.

Industry

Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

BUY participation
0.0%
Active BUY / eligible
0 / 8
30-Day BUY Count Change
-6

Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Highly Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Highly Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 37.63%
Avg. Invested days 45
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/12/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
IPGP receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
IPGP has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+117.1%) is partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -0.3%), moderate revenue growth (+2.7%), soft profitability (net margin 3.1%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
IPGP's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 49.1%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is IPGP's strongest growth driver at +117.1% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (+2.7%, moderate) and free-cash-flow growth (-102.3%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 76.2% and approximately 65.5% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 38.96% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, LLC 15.71%
BlackRock Inc 6.71%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 4.25%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 3.87%
Lazard Asset Management LLC 3.36%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
IPGP generates approximately $380 of gross profit, $13 of operating income, and $-3 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Negative free cash flow explains the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 31.04%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
IPGP has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Small / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Industrial Laser ApplicationsFiber lasers for cutting, welding, and additive manufacturing.This is the company's core income source, driven by global manufacturing demand.
Geography: Asia/Europe/North AmericaSales across major manufacturing hubs.The company is highly dependent on global trade and industrial health in these regions.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-03
When Before Market
Estimate 0.49
Actual 0.61

Profitability

Profit Margin 3.65%
Operating Margin (TTM) 5.14%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.46%
Return on Equity (TTM) 1.9%

Valuation

Trailing PE 73.76
Forward PE 29.15
Enterprise Value 2.04B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.72
Enterprise Value 2.04B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.72
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.85
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.45
Shares Outstanding 42.51M
Shares Floating 27.83M
Shares Outstanding 42.51M
Shares Floating 27.83M
Percent Insiders 38.96
Percent Institutions 76.25

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.