Joby Aviation logo

Joby Aviation(JOBY)

upturn advisory logo
ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$6.32
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for JOBY

09/25/2026: JOBY (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Joby Aviation is a pre-revenue aerospace company focused on developing and manufacturing electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for commercial urban air taxi services. Its business strengths lie in its proprietary electric propulsion technology and significant strategic partnerships with firms like Toyota and Delta Air Lines. The primary investment story centers on the company’s potential to pioneer a new era of short-haul, zero-emission urban transportation. However, investors face substantial risks related to FAA certification, high cash burn, and the long-term infrastructure required for air taxis. Joby may best suit growth-oriented investors with high risk tolerance who are interested in long-term developments in aerial mobility.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitJoby represents a high-risk, high-reward play on the potential disruption of urban transportation.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum varies based on news flow surrounding FAA certifications and strategic partnerships.
Value investorWeak fitThe company lacks current earnings or revenue, making traditional value metrics inapplicable.
Dividend investorWeak fitJoby does not pay dividends and requires all capital for R&D.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe company's speculative nature and lack of commercial revenue present high volatility risks.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is highly sensitive to news regarding certification progress and sector sentiment.
Valuation riskHighValuations are driven by future growth expectations rather than current fundamentals.
Competition risk (eVTOL development)Medium / highNumerous well-funded startups are racing to be the first to achieve commercial viability.
Business qualityMediumWhile the technology is advanced, the company has yet to prove a repeatable commercial business model.
Dividend incomeLow / noneJoby is not expected to generate income for shareholders in the near term.
Execution riskHighFailure to achieve or maintain FAA certification would severely impact the company's viability.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 87.56%
Avg. Invested days 30
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 4.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
JOBY receives a 2-star rating, supported by available scored pillars. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
JOBY has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong revenue growth (+39183.1%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-52.9%), soft cash generation (FCF margin -1055.3%), soft profitability (net margin -1740.5%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
JOBY's financial health is supported by moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 77.2%). Operating efficiency is weak (1 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is JOBY's strongest growth driver at +39183.1% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-52.9%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-18.2%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 45.6% and approximately 67.2% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 32.25% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Toyota Motor Corp 14.04%
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. 6.68%
BlackRock Inc 5.09%
Capricorn Investment Group LLC 3.11%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 2.84%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
JOBY generates approximately $-301 of gross profit, $-13,469 of operating income, and $-10,553 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -0.14% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
JOBY has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 6.28B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 10.68
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 10.68
Volume (30-day avg) 24.8M shares
Beta 2.68
52 Weeks Range 5.93 - 19.98
Updated Date 09/25/2026
52 Weeks Range 5.93 - 19.98
Updated Date 09/25/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.99

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Aviation Technology R&DDevelopment of proprietary battery, motor, and software systems for electric aviation.Currently, the company spends money to build technology, rather than selling products.
Government ContractsResearch and development support from agencies like the Department of Defense.Government partnerships provide non-dilutive capital to help fund ongoing development.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Advertisement

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 4.71B
Price to Sales(TTM) 53.97
Enterprise Value 4.71B
Price to Sales(TTM) 53.97
Enterprise Value to Revenue 40.51
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -9.19
Shares Outstanding 996.29M
Shares Floating 669.66M
Shares Outstanding 996.29M
Shares Floating 669.66M
Percent Insiders 32.25
Percent Institutions 45.63

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Information icon warning about potential inaccuracies or hallucinations in Upturn AI-generated summaries AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Joby Aviation

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Santa Cruz, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-08-11
Founder, CEO, Chief Architect, President & Director Mr. JoeBen Bevirt
Sector Industrials
Industry Airports & Air Services
Full time employees 2559
Full time employees 2559

Joby Aviation, Inc., an air mobility company, engages in research, develop, test, manufacture, and sale of electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft in the United States, Japan, Europe, and internationally. The company offers facilitation of passenger transportation via helicopter or fixed wing aircraft. It is also involved in the provision of government flight services, customer demonstration, and engineering services; and exhibition activities. Joby Aviation, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Santa Cruz, California.