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Joby Aviation(JOBY)

Top Performer Top performer
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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
4-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$5.93
11/06/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for JOBY

11/06/2026: JOBY (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Joby Aviation is an aerospace company developing all-electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft for the urban air mobility market. Its primary strength lies in its advanced progress through FAA certification, supported by strategic manufacturing backing from Toyota. The investment story centers on the potential to lead the nascent air taxi industry, though the firm remains pre-revenue with significant execution and regulatory risks. Investors should monitor certification milestones, as they are crucial for clearing the path toward commercial operations. This stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors with a high tolerance for volatility and a long-term time horizon for early-stage technology development.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitJoby represents a high-growth, long-term play in an emerging aerospace technology sector.
Momentum investorMixed fitThis stock is highly sensitive to news flow and technological milestones, requiring active management.
Value investorWeak fitJoby lacks earnings and traditional valuation metrics, making it unsuitable for classic value strategies.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay dividends and requires significant cash for its ongoing R&D operations.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe stock carries significant regulatory, execution, and technological risks common to early-stage aerospace firms.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock price is driven by speculative sentiment and development progress, leading to frequent swings.
Valuation riskHighAs a pre-revenue firm, valuation is based on future projections rather than current cash flow.
Competition risk (eVTOL sector)Medium / highMany well-funded companies are racing to achieve certification and commercial launch first.
Business qualityMediumWhile the technology is advanced, the business model remains unproven at scale.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should expect zero income from this asset.
Execution riskHighSuccess depends entirely on meeting complex FAA requirements and scaling manufacturing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 101.67%
Avg. Invested days 30
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/06/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
JOBY receives a 2-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
JOBY has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong revenue growth (+39183.1%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-52.9%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -1055.3%), weak profitability (net margin -1740.5%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
JOBY's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 77.2%). Operating efficiency is weak (1 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is JOBY's strongest growth driver at +39183.1% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-52.9%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-18.2%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 44.9% and approximately 66.5% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 32.26% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Toyota Motor Corp 12.89%
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. 6.14%
BlackRock Inc 5.37%
Capricorn Investment Group LLC 2.86%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 2.77%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
JOBY generates approximately $-301 of gross profit, $-13,469 of operating income, and $-10,553 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -0.14% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
JOBY has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.28B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 10.01
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 10.01
Volume (30-day avg) 21.9M shares
Beta 2.84
52 Weeks Range 4.43 - 17.10
Updated Date 11/06/2026
52 Weeks Range 4.43 - 17.10
Updated Date 11/06/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.71

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
UAM ServicesFuture revenue from aerial passenger transport in urban settings.Future potential revenue is entirely dependent on launching commercial service.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 3.83B
Price to Sales(TTM) 35.48
Enterprise Value 3.83B
Price to Sales(TTM) 35.48
Enterprise Value to Revenue 30.23
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -9.19
Shares Outstanding 996.29M
Shares Floating 662.52M
Shares Outstanding 996.29M
Shares Floating 662.52M
Percent Insiders 32.26
Percent Institutions 44.94

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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