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Upturn AI Summary - About
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.(KGS)
Top performer 
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for KGS
11/13/2026: KGS (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Kodiak Gas Services is a specialized provider of contract compression services, a critical component of US natural gas midstream infrastructure. The company has a leading position in the high-horsepower segment and benefits from a stable, fee-based business model that supports reliable cash flow and dividend payments. Its growth is primarily driven by rising natural gas volumes and strategic fleet expansion. However, investors must monitor risks related to its capital-intensive nature, debt levels, and susceptibility to energy sector cycles. Kodiak may be a suitable fit for income-oriented and growth investors seeking exposure to the midstream energy value chain, provided they monitor regulatory and operational execution risks.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | Kodiak's consistent expansion of its fleet and market share in a critical infrastructure niche aligns with growth mandates. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum appeal depends on broader energy sector trends and the company's ability to beat quarterly execution expectations. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation is often tied to energy cycle phases and capital intensity, requiring careful assessment of entry multiples. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company's focus on long-term, fixed-fee contracts supports a stable and growing dividend payout profile. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The energy services sector involves inherent cyclical risks and high capital expenditures that may exceed low-risk comfort levels. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock price is influenced by cyclical energy sector trends and commodity price volatility. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Investors must weigh the company's growth prospects against the capital-intensive nature of its asset base. |
| Competition risk (contract compression) | Medium / high | Intense competition for service contracts with firms like AROC can pressure margins. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the business model is predictable, it remains subject to the capital expenditure cycles of upstream producers. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Future dividend sustainability is linked to operational cash flow and the management of debt levels. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successful fleet management and timely maintenance are critical to maintaining contractual uptime requirements. |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.50B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 25.52 | 1Y Target Price 74.86 |
Price to earnings Ratio 25.52 | 1Y Target Price 74.86 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2.1M shares | Beta 1 | 52 Weeks Range 31.78 - 77.10 | Updated Date 11/12/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 31.78 - 77.10 | Updated Date 11/12/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 4.51% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.74 |
Sector & Industry Intelligence
Sector
Energy
Caution- Sentiment
- Strong Bearish
- Momentum
- Rapid Breadth Deterioration
- BUY participation
- 10.9%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 6 / 55
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- -22
- Market state
- Strong Bearish
BUY participation is falling rapidly, suggesting elevated market vulnerability.
Industry
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
- BUY participation
- 11.1%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 1 / 9
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- -2
Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 151.22% | Avg. Invested days 48 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/13/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Contract Compression | Rental of high-horsepower compression equipment under long-term service contracts. | Kodiak generates steady cash by renting essential equipment to energy producers on long-term contracts. |
| Aftermarket Services | Maintenance, parts, and repair services for compression fleets. | This segment provides recurring revenue by keeping customers' essential compression equipment running reliably. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-09 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.64 | Actual 0.7 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 11.28% | Operating Margin (TTM) 33.23% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.12% | Return on Equity (TTM) 9.63% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 25.52 | Forward PE 16.75 | Enterprise Value 7.20B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.06 |
Enterprise Value 7.20B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.06 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.89 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.08 | Shares Outstanding 101.38M | Shares Floating 100.75M |
Shares Outstanding 101.38M | Shares Floating 100.75M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.6 | Percent Institutions 108.62 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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