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Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (KGS)




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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/07/2025: KGS (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $44
1 Year Target Price $44
6 | Strong Buy |
3 | Buy |
2 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 100.3% | Avg. Invested days 63 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.99B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 68.02 | 1Y Target Price 44 |
Price to earnings Ratio 68.02 | 1Y Target Price 44 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 11 | Beta 1.38 | 52 Weeks Range 23.65 - 49.34 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 23.65 - 49.34 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 5.29% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.5 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.93% | Operating Margin (TTM) 30.03% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.11% | Return on Equity (TTM) 4.09% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 68.02 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 5639819426 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.35 |
Enterprise Value 5639819426 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.35 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.43 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.97 | Shares Outstanding 87859200 | Shares Floating 50679823 |
Shares Outstanding 87859200 | Shares Floating 50679823 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.7 | Percent Institutions 101.28 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 44 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 6 |
Buy 3 | Strong Buy 6 | ||
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
Company Overview
History and Background
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (KGS) traces its roots to predecessor companies involved in contract compression since the 1970s. The current entity, Kodiak Gas Services, emerged and grew significantly through acquisitions and organic growth to become one of the largest contract compression service providers in the U.S.
Core Business Areas
- Contract Compression: Providing contract compression services to natural gas producers and gatherers in key shale plays across the U.S. Compression increases the pressure of natural gas, enabling efficient gathering, processing, and transportation.
Leadership and Structure
Kodiak Gas Services is led by a management team with experience in the energy and compression services industries. The organizational structure features functional departments responsible for operations, finance, sales, and engineering.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Contract Compression Services: Kodiak's primary service involves providing and operating compression equipment under contract. This includes installation, maintenance, and monitoring of compression units. Competitors include USA Compression Partners (USAC) and Archrock (AROC). Market share data is dynamic and depends on region and contract size. However, Kodiak is considered one of the largest players in the space.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The natural gas compression industry is driven by the need to efficiently move natural gas from wellheads to processing plants and pipelines. Demand is influenced by natural gas production levels, pipeline infrastructure development, and environmental regulations. Increased production in shale basins has driven the growth in demand for natural gas compression services.
Positioning
Kodiak Gas Services is a major player in the contract compression market, benefiting from its large fleet, geographic footprint, and strong relationships with producers. The company focuses on providing reliable and cost-effective compression solutions. Advantages come from scale, operational expertise, and technological innovation.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
TAM for natural gas compression is estimated in billions of dollars annually. Kodiak is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market through its existing operations and expansion strategies.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large fleet of compression equipment
- Extensive geographic footprint
- Strong customer relationships
- Experienced management team
- Vertically integrated operations
Weaknesses
- Dependence on natural gas production levels
- Exposure to commodity price volatility
- Capital-intensive business model
- High debt levels after recent acquisitions
- Integration risks from acquisitions
Opportunities
- Expansion into new shale plays
- Increased demand for environmentally friendly compression solutions
- Acquisition of smaller competitors
- Development of new technologies for compression
- Growth in natural gas exports
Threats
- Decline in natural gas production
- Increased competition
- Changes in environmental regulations
- Technological obsolescence
- Economic downturn
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- USAC
- AROC
- CEQP
Competitive Landscape
Kodiak Gas Services competes with other compression service providers based on price, service quality, geographic coverage, and technology. The company's large fleet and experienced workforce are competitive advantages.
Major Acquisitions
Ariel Compression Services
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 500
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded fleet and geographic presence.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Kodiak's historical growth has been driven by organic expansion, strategic acquisitions, and increased demand for compression services in shale basins.
Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be influenced by natural gas production levels, pipeline infrastructure development, and the company's ability to capitalize on new opportunities. Analyst estimates can be found on financial websites.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include expansion into new geographic areas, investment in new compression technologies, and cost reduction programs.
Summary
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. is a significant player in the natural gas compression market, benefiting from its scale and geographic footprint. The company's financial performance is tied to natural gas production levels. Management needs to watch out for economic downturns, and increasing competition, as well as balance sheet health due to high debt. Kodiak is a fairly strong company in a stable industry.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Company Website
- Industry Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters The Woodlands, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2023-06-29 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Robert M. McKee | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | Full time employees 1300 | Website https://www.kodiakgas.com |
Full time employees 1300 | Website https://www.kodiakgas.com |
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. operates contract compression infrastructure for customers in the oil and gas industry in the United States. It operates in two segments, Contract Services and Other Services. The Contract Services segment operates company-owned and customer-owned compression, and gas treating and cooling infrastructure, pursuant to primarily fixed-revenue contracts to enable the production and gathering of natural gas and oil. The Other Services segment provides a range of contract services to support ancillary needs of customers, including station construction, maintenance and overhaul, freight and crane charges, and other time and material-based offerings. The company was formerly known as Frontier TopCo, Inc. Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas.
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