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Nextdoor Holdings Inc (KIND)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/12/2025: KIND (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $2.01
1 Year Target Price $2.01
1 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
3 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -50.9% | Avg. Invested days 24 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 608.31M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.01 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.01 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5 | Beta 1.17 | 52 Weeks Range 1.32 - 3.00 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.32 - 3.00 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.24 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-06-18 | When After Market | Estimate -0.065 | Actual -0.06 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -36.95% | Operating Margin (TTM) -49.86% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -9.79% | Return on Equity (TTM) -18.77% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 229147644 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.45 |
Enterprise Value 229147644 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.45 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.92 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.03 | Shares Outstanding 234707008 | Shares Floating 216587151 |
Shares Outstanding 234707008 | Shares Floating 216587151 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.57 | Percent Institutions 65.74 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 2.01 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 1 | ||
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 | |
Strong Sell 1 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Nextdoor Holdings Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Nextdoor was founded in 2008 and launched in the US in 2011. It provides a social networking service for neighborhoods, aiming to foster local connections and community engagement. It went public via SPAC in 2021.
Core Business Areas
- Advertising: The primary revenue source. Local and national businesses advertise to Nextdoor users within specific neighborhoods. The targeted reach to individual neighborhoods is attractive to advertisers.
- Subscription and Other: Includes subscription fees from businesses for enhanced profiles and features. Also incorporates revenue from partnerships and other sources.
Leadership and Structure
Sarah Friar serves as CEO. The company has a board of directors and is structured with functional departments such as engineering, product, sales, marketing, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Nextdoor Platform: The core social networking platform where neighbors can connect, share information, offer services, and participate in local discussions. Estimated 38.7 million weekly active users (WAU) as of Q1 2024. Competitors include Facebook Groups, local online forums, and other community-focused platforms.
- Business Pages: Allows local businesses to create profiles and interact with potential customers in their neighborhoods. The platform charges companies to engage customers through paid advertisement. Competitors include Yelp, Google Business Profile and Facebook Pages.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The social networking industry is dominated by large players, while Nextdoor occupies a niche focusing on hyperlocal community engagement. There's growing demand for localized services and information.
Positioning
Nextdoor is positioned as a neighborhood-centric social platform, differentiating itself through its focus on local connections and verification processes that promote trust and safety.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM is estimated to be in the billions of dollars, encompassing local advertising spend and subscriptions. Nextdoor is positioned to capture a portion of this market by connecting neighbors with local businesses and relevant information.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong neighborhood focus
- High user engagement
- Verified user base
- Potential for local business monetization
Weaknesses
- Limited geographic reach (relative to global platforms)
- Dependence on advertising revenue
- Concerns about content moderation
- Path to sustained profitability uncertain
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Development of new monetization strategies
- Partnerships with local businesses and organizations
- Integration of new technologies (e.g., AI for content moderation)
Threats
- Competition from larger social media platforms
- Changes in user privacy regulations
- Economic downturn impacting local advertising
- Negative publicity related to content moderation issues
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- META
- ANGI
Competitive Landscape
Nextdoor differentiates itself through its hyper-local focus, but faces competition from larger platforms with broader reach and more diverse offerings. Its competitive advantage is its unique neighborhood focus, fostering higher levels of trust and engagement within local communities. However, it faces challenges in scaling its user base and competing with the marketing reach of larger competitors.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Nextdoor's historical growth has been driven by user acquisition and advertising revenue. This growth needs to be quantified using historical user and revenue data.
Future Projections: Analyst projections vary, but generally focus on continued user growth and increased monetization through advertising and subscriptions. These projections are not included.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new markets, improving the user experience, and enhancing advertising capabilities.
Summary
Nextdoor holds a unique position in the social media landscape with its hyper-local focus, driving strong user engagement within neighborhoods. However, the path to consistent profitability remains a challenge, and the company needs to manage content moderation effectively while competing with larger social media platforms. Expanding monetization strategies and growing its user base are key to long-term success, which is why maintaining the competitive landscape while expanding its reach remain imperative.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Nextdoor Investor Relations website
- Company SEC filings
- Third-party market research reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The data provided is based on publicly available information and may not be entirely accurate or complete. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Nextdoor Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-03-24 | Co-Founder, CEO, President & Chairperson of the Board Mr. Nirav N. Tolia | ||
Sector Communication Services | Industry Internet Content & Information | Full time employees 546 | Website https://nextdoor.com |
Full time employees 546 | Website https://nextdoor.com |
Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. operates a neighborhood network that connects neighbors, businesses, and public agencies in the United States and internationally. The company provides local news, events, relevant discussions, and exchange goods and services, as well as discovers and supports local businesses. It also offers a suite of advertising solutions designed to deliver value for businesses of various sizes. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
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