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Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/09/2025: KTOS (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $100.56
1 Year Target Price $100.56
| 6 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 4 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 219.16% | Avg. Invested days 66 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 13.01B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 592.54 | 1Y Target Price 100.56 |
Price to earnings Ratio 592.54 | 1Y Target Price 100.56 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 12 | Beta 1.15 | 52 Weeks Range 23.90 - 112.57 | Updated Date 12/9/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 23.90 - 112.57 | Updated Date 12/9/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.13 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.56% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.1% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.7% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.2% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 592.54 | Forward PE 161.29 | Enterprise Value 12574199737 | Price to Sales(TTM) 10.12 |
Enterprise Value 12574199737 | Price to Sales(TTM) 10.12 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.79 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 140.81 | Shares Outstanding 168840708 | Shares Floating 166037952 |
Shares Outstanding 168840708 | Shares Floating 166037952 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.75 | Percent Institutions 94.38 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions

Company Overview
History and Background
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (Kratos) was founded in 1994 as Kratos Precision Manufacturing. It has undergone several transformations and acquisitions, evolving into a significant player in the defense, aerospace, and security sectors. Key milestones include its rebranding to Kratos Defense & Security Solutions and its strategic focus on unmanned systems, directed energy, and electronic warfare. The company has grown through organic expansion and strategic acquisitions to build a diverse portfolio of advanced technology solutions.
Core Business Areas
- Unmanned Systems: This segment focuses on the design, development, and production of unmanned aerial systems (UAS), also known as drones, and associated support systems. Kratos offers a range of tactical and strategic unmanned aircraft designed for various missions, including reconnaissance, surveillance, target practice, and strike capabilities. Competitors include General Atomics, Northrop Grumman, and AeroVironment.
- Defense & Security Solutions: This segment encompasses a broad range of products and services including electronic warfare systems, communication systems, radar systems, cybersecurity solutions, and command and control systems. Kratos provides advanced technologies to support national security and defense applications for military and government customers. Competitors include Raytheon Technologies, Lockheed Martin, BAE Systems, and L3Harris Technologies.
- Rocket Support Services: This segment provides support services and products for rocket and missile launch operations. This includes rocket motors, launch infrastructure, and related engineering services for space launch and missile defense programs.
Leadership and Structure
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions is led by a senior management team. Eric M. DeMarco serves as President and Chief Executive Officer. The company is organized into divisions and business units that align with its core business areas, allowing for specialized focus and execution within each segment.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- MQM-170/171 (Coyote) Tactical UAV: A versatile unmanned aerial system designed for reconnaissance, surveillance, and target acquisition. It is known for its affordability and adaptability. Market share data is not publicly disclosed, but it competes in the growing tactical drone market. Key competitors include AeroVironment and Textron Systems.
- XQ-58A Valkyrie: A next-generation, multi-mission, runway-independent unmanned aerial system designed for long-range strike and ISR (Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance) missions. This is a flagship product in the high-endurance, autonomous drone segment. Competitors include major defense contractors developing similar advanced drone platforms like Northrop Grumman (MQ-25 Stingray) and General Atomics (MQ-9 Reaper).
- Electronic Warfare Systems: Kratos offers a suite of electronic warfare solutions, including jammers, receivers, and electronic support measures. These systems are critical for modern military operations. Market share is fragmented, with many specialized providers. Competitors include Raytheon Technologies, BAE Systems, and L3Harris Technologies.
- Target Drones: Kratos is a leading provider of target drones used for air defense training and weapons testing. These are crucial for military readiness. They hold a significant market share in this niche. Competitors include Meggitt Training Systems and smaller specialized manufacturers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Kratos operates in the highly competitive and dynamic defense and aerospace industry. This sector is driven by government spending, technological innovation, geopolitical events, and evolving military strategies. Key trends include the increasing demand for unmanned systems, advanced electronic warfare capabilities, cybersecurity, and modernization of existing platforms.
Positioning
Kratos is positioned as a provider of niche, advanced technology solutions, particularly in unmanned systems and electronic warfare. Its competitive advantages lie in its ability to develop and deliver cost-effective, high-performance solutions, often with shorter development cycles compared to larger prime contractors. The company emphasizes innovation and agility.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global defense and aerospace market is valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars. The specific TAM for Kratos's core segments (unmanned systems, electronic warfare, cybersecurity) is also substantial and growing, driven by ongoing defense modernization programs worldwide. Kratos is positioned to capture a growing share of these specific, high-growth segments.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong focus on high-growth market segments like unmanned systems and electronic warfare.
- Proven track record of innovation and development of advanced technologies.
- Cost-effective solutions and agile development processes.
- Established relationships with key US government defense agencies.
- Diversified product portfolio across several critical defense capabilities.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on government contracts, subject to budget fluctuations and program cancellations.
- Smaller company size compared to major prime defense contractors, potentially limiting large-scale program participation.
- Execution risk associated with integrating acquisitions.
- Dependence on key personnel and technical expertise.
Opportunities
- Increasing global demand for unmanned aerial systems for military and commercial applications.
- Growing investment in electronic warfare and cyber defense technologies.
- Expansion into international markets.
- Potential for strategic partnerships and collaborations.
- Leveraging AI and machine learning in their product development.
Threats
- Intense competition from larger, well-established defense contractors.
- Government budget cuts or shifts in defense priorities.
- Technological obsolescence and the need for continuous R&D investment.
- Regulatory changes and export control restrictions.
- Supply chain disruptions.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Raytheon Technologies (RTX)
- Lockheed Martin (LMT)
- Northrop Grumman (NOC)
- General Atomics
- BAE Systems
- L3Harris Technologies (LHX)
Competitive Landscape
Kratos competes with larger, more diversified defense conglomerates. Its advantage lies in its specialization and agility in niche markets. However, it faces challenges in competing for very large, multi-billion dollar contracts that are often dominated by prime contractors. Kratos's strategy often involves providing key components or specialized systems that integrate into larger platforms developed by these prime contractors.
Major Acquisitions
ASCENT
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 61.1
- Strategic Rationale: To enhance Kratos's capabilities in autonomous technologies and expand its presence in the unmanned systems market.
D.P. Air & Civil
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 27
- Strategic Rationale: To strengthen Kratos's position in the drone and simulation services sector.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Kratos has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the past several years, driven by its strategic focus on high-demand defense technologies. This growth reflects successful contract wins and the expansion of its product offerings.
Future Projections: Analyst projections generally indicate continued revenue growth for Kratos, fueled by ongoing defense spending, particularly in areas like unmanned systems and electronic warfare. Profitability is expected to improve as the company scales its operations and benefits from its investments. However, the timeline for achieving consistent net profitability can vary.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the continued development and deployment of its advanced unmanned aerial systems (like the Valkyrie program), expansion of its electronic warfare capabilities, and strategic acquisitions to broaden its technological portfolio and market reach.
Summary
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions is a growing defense technology company with a strong focus on high-demand areas like unmanned systems and electronic warfare. Its consistent revenue growth and innovative product pipeline are positive indicators. However, the company is currently investing heavily, leading to negative net income, and must manage execution risks and competition from larger players. Continued strategic acquisitions and successful R&D are crucial for its future profitability and market expansion.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Investor Relations
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry Analysis Reports
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg)
- Market Research Firms
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market share data for defense contractors is often proprietary and estimates may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Kratos Defense & Security Solutions
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters San Diego, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1999-11-05 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Eric M. DeMarco | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Aerospace & Defense | Full time employees 4000 | Website https://www.kratosdefense.com |
Full time employees 4000 | Website https://www.kratosdefense.com | ||
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc., a technology company, provides technology, products, and system and software for the defense, national security, and commercial markets in the United States, other North America, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Europe, and Internationally. The company operates in two segments, Kratos Government Solutions and Unmanned Systems. It offers ground systems for satellites and space vehicles, including software for command and control, telemetry, and tracking and control; jet powered unmanned aerial drone systems, hypersonic vehicles, and rocket systems; propulsion systems for drones, missiles, loitering munitions, supersonic systems, spacecraft, and launch systems; command, control, communication, computing, combat, and intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance; and microwave electronic products for missile, radar, missile defense, space, and satellite; and counter unmanned aircraft systems, directed energy, communication and other systems, and virtual and augmented reality training systems for the warfighter. The company primarily serves national security-related agencies, the U.S. Department of Defense, intelligence and classified agencies, international government agencies, and commercial customers. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

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