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Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR(KZIA)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for KZIA
10/23/2026: KZIA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Kazia Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing specialized treatments for rare and aggressive oncology conditions like glioblastoma. The company's primary strength lies in its targeted pipeline, notably its lead candidate Paxalisib, and its ability to secure promising drug assets through strategic in-licensing. The core investment story centers on the potential for successful clinical readouts to significantly enhance asset value or trigger acquisition interest. However, the company faces substantial execution, financial, and clinical risks, as it does not yet have commercialized products. It is suited for investors with a high risk tolerance, and key developments to monitor include clinical trial milestones and future funding updates.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The growth potential is high but speculative, dependent entirely on binary clinical outcomes. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | This stock is generally unsuitable for momentum strategies unless specific positive clinical trial results trigger short-term buying. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The lack of consistent earnings and revenue makes traditional value metrics inapplicable. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay dividends and retains all capital for R&D. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The high volatility and clinical risk make this unsuitable for conservative portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Clinical trial outcomes frequently lead to sharp, dramatic share price swings. |
| Valuation risk | High | Valuation is based on long-term potential, making it highly sensitive to changes in clinical sentiment. |
| Competition risk (Oncology/Drug dev) | High | Large incumbents have significantly more resources to capture market share. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company is a pure-play R&D firm with no commercialized product moat. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Dividends are non-existent and not expected in the foreseeable future. |
| Execution risk | High | Success depends entirely on the technical and regulatory achievement of clinical milestones. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -33.94% | Avg. Invested days 11 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 89.24M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 29.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 29.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 261.4K shares | Beta 2.27 | 52 Weeks Range 4.86 - 17.40 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 4.86 - 17.40 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.85 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Oncology Research & Development | Clinical trial activities for candidates like Paxalisib. | The company currently makes no profit; it survives on investor funding to pay for expensive medical research. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 12.82 | Enterprise Value 8.61M | Price to Sales(TTM) 47 |
Enterprise Value 8.61M | Price to Sales(TTM) 47 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.64 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.71 | Shares Outstanding 11.43M | Shares Floating 9.39M |
Shares Outstanding 11.43M | Shares Floating 9.39M | ||
Percent Insiders 15.42 | Percent Institutions 32.17 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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