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Liberty Energy Inc.(LBRT)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$16.6
10/16/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
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  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for LBRT

10/16/2026: LBRT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Liberty Energy is a leading North American provider of hydraulic fracturing services, focused on delivering advanced pressure pumping solutions to the oil and gas industry. The company is known for its high-efficiency equipment, including its proprietary electric frac fleet, which helps customers improve operational productivity and reduce emissions. While the business is a major player in the shale market, its performance is closely tied to the cyclical nature of energy commodity prices and E&P spending. Investors should be aware of the inherent volatility and capital intensity of this sector. The stock may appeal to those looking for cyclical exposure, with monitorable developments including the industry's adoption of electric technology and broader US drilling activity levels.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe growth potential is tied to technological shifts like electric fleets rather than rapid secular expansion of the industry.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveMomentum investors may favor the stock during periods of rising oil prices and increased activity in US shale basins.
Value investorMixed fitWhile the company often trades at reasonable multiples, the cyclical nature of the business requires careful entry timing.
Dividend investorMixed fitDividends are present but may fluctuate based on cash flow availability in a cyclical industry.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe high exposure to energy price volatility makes this stock inherently volatile for conservative portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighRevenue and margins are highly sensitive to fluctuations in global crude oil and natural gas prices.
Valuation riskMediumMarket sentiment toward energy cyclicals can lead to rapid adjustments in valuation multiples.
Competition riskMedium / highStrong players like Halliburton and SLB exert constant pressure on pricing and service technology innovation.
Business qualityMediumThe company operates in a capital-intensive, cyclical segment that requires constant asset maintenance.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends are sustainable but can be variable based on the cyclical profitability of the sector.
Execution riskMediumSuccessful integration of new technologies like digiFrac is essential for maintaining a competitive edge.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 13.33%
Avg. Invested days 43
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/16/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
LBRT receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
LBRT has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-53.2%), soft cash generation (FCF margin 0.4%), negative revenue growth (-7.2%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
LBRT's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (0.4% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
LBRT's growth profile is soft, with the least-weak measure being revenue growth at -7.2% FY2025 versus FY2024. By comparison, while earnings growth (-53.2%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-92.1%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 113.3% and approximately 98.2% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 1.99% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 16.88%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 6.84%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 5.77%
State Street Corp 4.33%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.33%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
LBRT generates approximately $114 of gross profit, $20 of operating income, and $4 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Weak margins explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 24.24%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
LBRT has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.71B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 22.43
1Y Target Price 28.46
Price to earnings Ratio 22.43
1Y Target Price 28.46
Volume (30-day avg) 3.9M shares
Beta 0.72
52 Weeks Range 14.54 - 34.23
Updated Date 10/16/2026
52 Weeks Range 14.54 - 34.23
Updated Date 10/16/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 2.10%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.74

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Pressure PumpingHydraulic fracturing, wireline, and pump-down services for oil and gas wells.The company makes the most money by performing the actual stimulation services that allow oil and gas to flow from underground formations.
Technology & EquipmentElectric fracturing fleets and proprietary digital optimization software.Developing specialized, higher-margin equipment like electric fleets is key to winning modern, environmentally conscious contracts.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-21
When After Market
Estimate 0.1
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 2.92%
Operating Margin (TTM) 1.62%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 0.93%
Return on Equity (TTM) 6.12%

Valuation

Trailing PE 22.43
Forward PE 29.5
Enterprise Value 4.04B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.65
Enterprise Value 4.04B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.65
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.96
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.13
Shares Outstanding 163.19M
Shares Floating 160.18M
Shares Outstanding 163.19M
Shares Floating 160.18M
Percent Insiders 1.99
Percent Institutions 113.3

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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