Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock logo

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock(LLYVA)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$96.44
10/15/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for LLYVA

10/15/2026: LLYVA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. (LLYVA) is a tracking stock designed to provide investors with focused economic exposure to Liberty Media's equity interest in Live Nation Entertainment. The company benefits from a leading position in the resilient live entertainment and global ticketing markets, which have shown robust growth in recent years. Its primary investment story centers on the continued recovery and expansion of global concert demand. However, the stock faces significant risks, including intense regulatory scrutiny regarding ticketing practices and potential volatility related to discretionary consumer spending. This stock may suit investors who desire a concentrated play on the live event sector and understand the specific governance dynamics of tracking stocks.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThis stock offers concentrated exposure to the high-growth live entertainment sector through its interest in Live Nation.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum depends on broader market appetite for live event recovery; check for recent price trends.
Value investorMixed fitValue fit depends on whether the tracking stock trades at a meaningful discount or premium to the underlying Net Asset Value.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company focuses on capital appreciation and does not offer a significant dividend yield.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe reliance on a single core asset and the inherent volatility of the live entertainment industry make this inappropriate for low-risk investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is highly sensitive to the fluctuations of the Live Nation equity price and consumer sentiment toward live events.
Valuation riskMediumInvestors face risk regarding the spread between the market price and the actual Net Asset Value of the holdings.
Competition risk (Live Entertainment)MediumIncreased competition or regulatory pressure on ticketing platforms like Ticketmaster could impact underlying asset value.
Business qualityStrongThe core asset, Live Nation, maintains a leading market position in global live entertainment.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThe company does not provide reliable income through dividends.
Execution riskMediumWhile the company is a holding entity, the execution of the management team in corporate governance and structure remains vital.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Smooth

The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 19.03%
Avg. Invested days 33
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/15/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
LLYVA receives a 2-star rating, reflecting soft or weak scores across the available pillars. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft analyst coverage, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
LLYVA has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, weak growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-180.5%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -7.7%), negative revenue growth (-98.4%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
LLYVA's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being moderate efficiency, including operating-expense and cost-of-revenue discipline (opex 26.0% of revenue). Profitability is weak (1 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
LLYVA's growth profile is soft, with the least-weak measure being revenue growth at -98.4% FY2025 versus FY2024. By comparison, while earnings growth (-180.5%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-110.4%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 82.7% and approximately 228.5% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 23.66% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Berkshire Hathaway Inc 5.42%
Linonia Partnership LP 2.58%
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts 1.39%
Amundi 1.36%
Bank of America Corp 1.26%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
LLYVA generates approximately $133 of gross profit, $-127 of operating income, and $-77 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 13.06%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
LLYVA has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Small / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 8.68B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 106
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 106
Volume (30-day avg) 143.4K shares
Beta 1
52 Weeks Range 74.38 - 106.06
Updated Date 10/15/2026
52 Weeks Range 74.38 - 106.06
Updated Date 10/15/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -4.73

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Live Nation Equity InterestOwnership interest in the concert promotion and ticketing business.You are investing in the value and performance of the concert and live event industry.
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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 126.58
Enterprise Value 10.56B
Price to Sales(TTM) 21.32
Enterprise Value 10.56B
Price to Sales(TTM) 21.32
Enterprise Value to Revenue 25.96
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 62.04
Shares Outstanding 25.57M
Shares Floating 58.45M
Shares Outstanding 25.57M
Shares Floating 58.45M
Percent Insiders 23.66
Percent Institutions 82.71

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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