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Upturn AI Summary - About
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation(LPX)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for LPX
11/11/2026: LPX (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation is a major manufacturer of specialized engineered wood products, with a strong focus on the growing siding market. The company has successfully pivoted from a commodity lumber focus to a high-margin business model centered on its LP SmartSide brand. Its primary growth opportunity lies in increasing market share for engineered wood over traditional siding materials in North American residential construction. However, the company remains subject to risks such as cyclical housing demand, interest rate volatility, and competition from fiber cement producers. LPX may suit investors seeking exposure to the housing market through a specialized, brand-driven company that also maintains disciplined capital return policies.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | While the shift to value-added siding provides growth, the stock remains linked to the cyclical nature of housing starts. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Momentum investors may favor the stock when housing market sentiment and construction data show positive trends. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at reasonable valuation multiples, making it attractive to value-oriented investors during market corrections. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | It offers a reliable dividend, but income-focused investors should consider the cyclical volatility inherent in the building materials industry. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The sensitivity of the business to housing cycles and interest rates creates volatility unsuitable for low-risk profiles. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Company earnings are sensitive to fluctuations in lumber and OSB commodity prices. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market cycles can lead to significant swings in the stock's valuation multiple. |
| Competition risk | Medium / high | Aggressive competition from alternative siding materials like fiber cement threatens market share. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the pivot to specialized products has improved quality, the business remains tied to cyclical housing trends. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are subject to board approval and can be impacted by cyclical downturns. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully expanding capacity and maintaining market share for SmartSide requires consistent operational excellence. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -22.85% | Avg. Invested days 35 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/11/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Sector & Industry Intelligence
Sector snapshot as of 2026-11-10
Sector
Industrials
- Signal
- Constructive
- Sentiment
- Weak Bullish
- Market state
- Weak Bullish
- Momentum
- BUY Breadth Improving
- BUY participation
- 33.3%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 26 / 78
- 22-session BUY-count change
- +7
More qualifying stocks are receiving or maintaining BUY advisories, indicating improving market participation.
Industry
Building Products & Equipment
- BUY participation
- 66.7%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 2 / 3
- 22-session BUY-count change
- +1
Eligible universe: 3 stocks.
The sector signal does not change this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.28B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 77.87 | 1Y Target Price 87.86 |
Price to earnings Ratio 77.87 | 1Y Target Price 87.86 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.4M shares | Beta 1.69 | 52 Weeks Range 62.18 - 99.15 | Updated Date 11/11/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 62.18 - 99.15 | Updated Date 11/11/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.51% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.97 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Siding | SmartSide engineered wood siding and trim products. | This is the company's primary high-margin growth driver. |
| Oriented Strand Board (OSB) | Structural wood panels for subflooring and sheathing. | This segment is more exposed to commodity price cycles. |
| Geography: North America | Primary operations and sales market within the United States and Canada. | Results are highly dependent on the North American housing market. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-03 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.21 | Actual 0.39 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.72% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.64% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.76% | Return on Equity (TTM) 3.91% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 77.87 | Forward PE 26.45 | Enterprise Value 5.39B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.12 |
Enterprise Value 5.39B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.12 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.24 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 21.66 | Shares Outstanding 69.93M | Shares Floating 59.08M |
Shares Outstanding 69.93M | Shares Floating 59.08M | ||
Percent Insiders 9.49 | Percent Institutions 97.8 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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