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Upturn AI Summary - About
Moodys Corporation(MCO)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MCO
10/09/2026: MCO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Moody's Corporation is a leading provider of credit ratings and financial risk analytics, operating as a key infrastructure player in global debt markets. The company benefits from a powerful, recurring revenue model in its analytics business and a dominant position in credit ratings, which provides high margins. Its primary growth opportunity lies in the expansion of AI-driven tools and sustainability data, though it faces risks related to bond market cyclicality and potential regulatory shifts. Moody's is well-suited for investors seeking stability and dividend growth, though they should monitor valuation multiples and bond issuance trends as key indicators of performance.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company consistently grows its analytics revenue and expands its digital product offerings. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Stock performance is often tied to interest rate environments and bond market volatility. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The stock often trades at a premium valuation due to its high-quality, recurring business model. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Moody's provides reliable, growing dividends supported by strong free cash flow. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | Its dominant market position provides relative stability compared to more volatile growth stocks. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | The stock price is sensitive to macroeconomic cycles and bond market issuance volumes. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | The market often assigns a high multiple to Moody's due to its quality and market leadership. |
| Competition risk (data/analytics competition) | Medium | Intense competition from financial data providers could pressure margins in the Analytics division. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company operates with high margins and a powerful, defensible market position. |
| Dividend income | Low | While consistent, the dividend yield is relatively low compared to high-yield sectors. |
| Execution risk | Low | The company has a long track record of integrating acquisitions and managing operational risks. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -10% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 80.40B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 29.46 | 1Y Target Price 558.71 |
Price to earnings Ratio 29.46 | 1Y Target Price 558.71 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 774.2K shares | Beta 1.35 | 52 Weeks Range 399.61 - 543.25 | Updated Date 10/10/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 399.61 - 543.25 | Updated Date 10/10/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.86% | Basic EPS (TTM) 15.76 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Moody's Ratings | Credit rating fees from issuers of debt instruments globally. | This is the core, high-margin business that charges fees to issuers for assessing creditworthiness. |
| Moody's Analytics | Subscriptions for software, research, and data services. | This segment provides recurring revenue from banks and corporations needing to manage financial and economic risk. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 29.46 | Forward PE 24.27 | Enterprise Value 87.29B | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.85 |
Enterprise Value 87.29B | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.85 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.8 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.22 | Shares Outstanding 173.18M | Shares Floating 158.52M |
Shares Outstanding 173.18M | Shares Floating 158.52M | ||
Percent Insiders 14.38 | Percent Institutions 78.9 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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