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Upturn AI Summary - About
Moodys Corporation(MCO)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MCO
10/23/2026: MCO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Moody's Corporation is a leading provider of credit ratings and financial risk analytics, operating primarily through its ratings agency and subscription-based data platform. The company has a strong, defensible business model characterized by high barriers to entry and consistent cash flow generation, which supports stable dividends. Its main growth opportunity lies in expanding its data and analytics capabilities, including ESG and AI-powered research tools, to reduce dependence on cyclical bond markets. Key risks include regulatory oversight, sensitivity to global debt issuance volume, and technological disruption in the financial data space. Moody's is well-suited for long-term investors seeking a quality, franchise-based stock, provided they monitor regulatory developments and bond market cycles.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company consistently reinvests in high-growth data and AI sectors. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Performance is often tied to macroeconomic cycles and bond market activity. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The stock often trades at a premium due to its high-quality business model. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Moody's offers stable and growing dividends backed by strong cash flows. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | The company's essential role in financial markets provides a defensive moat. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | The stock reacts to changes in global interest rates and bond market volumes. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Premium multiples can be sensitive to growth slowdowns. |
| Competition risk (Analytics/Data) | Medium | Competing with large incumbents like S&P and tech-driven data platforms requires constant innovation. |
| Business quality | Strong | High barriers to entry provide a durable competitive advantage. |
| Dividend income | Low | Yield is generally lower than high-yield sectors, though growth is reliable. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successful integration of acquired software businesses is critical for long-term growth. |
Price Behavior
Steady Uptrend
The stock demonstrates consistent and steady upward price momentum.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -10% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 83.36B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 28.9 | 1Y Target Price 552.14 |
Price to earnings Ratio 28.9 | 1Y Target Price 552.14 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 890.1K shares | Beta 1.35 | 52 Weeks Range 399.61 - 543.25 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 399.61 - 543.25 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.19% | Basic EPS (TTM) 16.73 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Moody's Ratings | Fees for rating debt instruments and securities for corporations and governments. | This is a core, high-margin, but cyclical segment driven by bond market activity. |
| Moody's Analytics | Subscription-based software, data, and research services. | This segment provides recurring revenue that helps stabilize the company during market downturns. |
| Geography | Revenue generated globally, with significant exposure to North America and Europe. | Global diversification helps mitigate localized economic risks. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-21 | When Before Market | Estimate 4.25 | Actual 4.14 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 35.26% | Operating Margin (TTM) 46.27% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 15.56% | Return on Equity (TTM) 76.74% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 28.9 | Forward PE 24.27 | Enterprise Value 87.29B | Price to Sales(TTM) 10.2 |
Enterprise Value 87.29B | Price to Sales(TTM) 10.2 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.7 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.03 | Shares Outstanding 172.42M | Shares Floating 158.17M |
Shares Outstanding 172.42M | Shares Floating 158.17M | ||
Percent Insiders 14.45 | Percent Institutions 79.09 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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