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MED
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

MEDIFAST INC (MED)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$13.17
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY-8.99%
upturn advisory
SELL
SELL since 3 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Upturn Advisory Summary

10/15/2025: MED (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 3 days. Simulated Profits (-8.99%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

1 Analysts rated it

Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.

1 Year Target Price $15

1 Year Target Price $15

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$15 Target price
52w Low $11.57
Current$13.17
52w High $21.98

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -39.98%
Avg. Invested days 20
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/15/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 144.75M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 39.91
1Y Target Price 15
Price to earnings Ratio 39.91
1Y Target Price 15
Volume (30-day avg) 1
Beta 0.88
52 Weeks Range 11.57 - 21.98
Updated Date 10/15/2025
52 Weeks Range 11.57 - 21.98
Updated Date 10/15/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.33

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 0.76%
Operating Margin (TTM) -1.01%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.88%
Return on Equity (TTM) 1.73%

Valuation

Trailing PE 39.91
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 642844
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3
Enterprise Value 642844
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3
Enterprise Value to Revenue -
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.05
Shares Outstanding 10991064
Shares Floating 9146450
Shares Outstanding 10991064
Shares Floating 9146450
Percent Insiders 3.2
Percent Institutions 79.77

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

MEDIFAST INC

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Medifast, Inc. was founded in 1980. It focuses on providing weight management and healthy living products and services through various channels.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • OPTAVIA: OPTAVIA is Medifast's direct-selling business segment, offering a comprehensive weight management program supported by independent health coaches.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The CEO is Dan Chard. The company is structured around functional departments like sales, marketing, operations, and finance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • OPTAVIA Program: OPTAVIA is a structured weight management program that includes meal replacements (Fuelings), personalized coaching, and a community support system. Market share data is not precisely available, but OPTAVIA is a significant player in the weight management market. Competitors include WW (WeightWatchers), Nutrisystem, and Herbalife.
  • Fuelings: Fuelings are Medifast's brand name for meal replacements for the OPTAVIA Program, including bars, shakes, and other pre-packaged meals. Market share data is not precisely available, but OPTAVIA is a significant player in the meal replacement market. Competitors include Atkins, SlimFast, and Ensure.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The weight management industry is competitive, with various diet programs, meal replacements, and fitness solutions. There is increasing emphasis on personalized nutrition and holistic wellness.

Positioning

Medifast is positioned as a provider of comprehensive weight management solutions through its OPTAVIA program, differentiating itself with personalized coaching and community support.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global weight management market is expected to reach hundreds of billions of dollars. Medifast is targeting a significant portion of this TAM through its OPTAVIA program and expanding its reach through new markets and product offerings.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong Brand Recognition within its Target Market
  • Direct-Selling Model (OPTAVIA) provides a Personalized Approach
  • Established Infrastructure for Product Manufacturing and Distribution
  • High Customer Loyalty

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on Independent Health Coaches
  • Potential Negative Perception of Meal Replacement Diets
  • Vulnerability to Changes in Diet Trends
  • High cost compared to other diets

Opportunities

  • Expansion into New Geographic Markets
  • Development of New Products and Services for Overall Health
  • Increased Focus on Technology and Digital Solutions
  • Partnerships with Healthcare Providers

Threats

  • Intense Competition from Other Weight Management Companies
  • Changes in Regulatory Environment
  • Economic Downturn Affecting Consumer Spending
  • Negative Publicity or Product Recalls

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • WW
  • NUTX
  • HLAL

Competitive Landscape

Medifast's competitive advantage lies in its direct-selling model, personalized coaching, and community support. However, it faces challenges from established players with broader market reach and lower-cost alternatives.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by the success of the OPTAVIA program and the expansion of its network of health coaches.

Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be driven by continued expansion into new markets, product innovation, and increased focus on technology and digital solutions. The extent to which the company achieves these initiatives will be based on future press releases and filings.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the launch of new products, expansion into international markets, and investments in technology to enhance the OPTAVIA program.

Summary

Medifast's OPTAVIA program provides a distinct advantage in the weight management market. Its strengths include its direct-selling model, personalized coaching, and customer loyalty. Key challenges for the company includes competition, changes in diet trends and negative publicity. Medifast should seek to mitigate these challenges by maintaining strong quality control, diversifying offerings, and expanding the geographic reach of its OPTAVIA program.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Investor presentations
  • Industry reports
  • Market research reports
  • Financial news articles

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About MEDIFAST INC

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Baltimore, MD, United States
IPO Launch date 1993-12-31
Executive Chairman & CEO Mr. Daniel R. Chard
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Personal Services
Full time employees 504
Full time employees 504

Medifast, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a health and wellness company that provides habit-based and coach-guided lifestyle solutions to address obesity and support a healthy life in the United States. The company offers weight loss and weight management plans; and GLP-1 support plans that provide access to GLP-1 medications where clinically appropriate under the OPTAVIA brand name. It also provides bars, puffs, cereal, crunchers, drinks, hearty choices, oatmeal, pancakes, pudding, soft serve, shakes, smoothies, soft bakes, and soups, as well as provides coaching support along with community, nutrition, and healthy habits, and helps people in their weight loss journey. It markets its products through point-of-sale transactions, as well as through ecommerce platform. Medifast, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland.