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Methanex Corporation(MEOH)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MEOH
11/05/2026: MEOH (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 55 days. Simulated Profits (11.82%). Updated daily EoD!
Methanex Corporation is the world's leading producer and supplier of methanol, a vital chemical building block used across various industrial sectors. The company benefits from its massive global production footprint and a highly specialized logistics network that provides a notable competitive advantage. Its primary investment story hinges on the cyclical nature of commodity chemicals and the emerging opportunity to supply low-carbon methanol as a marine fuel. However, investors must consider risks including commodity price volatility, intense competition from low-cost Chinese coal-based production, and sensitivity to natural gas feedstocks. Methanex may suit value-oriented investors who can tolerate cyclical volatility and are looking for exposure to global industrial demand.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely cyclical and tied to industrial commodity demand rather than secular innovation. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Momentum investors may find opportunity during periods of rising methanol prices. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at attractive multiples relative to its asset base during industry troughs. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | Dividends are subject to the volatile, cyclical cash flows inherent in the chemical business. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High commodity price sensitivity leads to significant stock price volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Methanol is a global commodity, and price swings directly impact top-line revenue. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market sentiment during commodity cycles can lead to significant valuation swings. |
| Competition risk | Medium / high | Low-cost coal-to-methanol production in China exerts constant pressure on global margins. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the company has strong logistics, it remains a commodity producer susceptible to external economic forces. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Income is not guaranteed and can be reduced during cyclical downturns. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Large-scale plant construction and maintenance carry inherent operational and cost risks. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 46.62% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory Regular Buy |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/05/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.06B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 14.45 | 1Y Target Price 78.6 |
Price to earnings Ratio 14.45 | 1Y Target Price 78.6 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 710.0K shares | Beta 1 | 52 Weeks Range 33.52 - 72.32 | Updated Date 11/05/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 33.52 - 72.32 | Updated Date 11/05/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.13% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.53 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Methanol Sales | Production and sale of methanol as a commodity chemical for diverse industrial applications. | Revenue is driven by global demand for chemicals and fuel, making it a cyclical bet on industrial economic health. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-29 | When After Market | Estimate 3.17 | Actual 3.69 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.63% | Operating Margin (TTM) 28.58% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.05% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.32% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 14.45 | Forward PE 9.69 | Enterprise Value 7.23B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.07 |
Enterprise Value 7.23B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.07 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.53 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.25 | Shares Outstanding 77.36M | Shares Floating 74.25M |
Shares Outstanding 77.36M | Shares Floating 74.25M | ||
Percent Insiders 7.4 | Percent Institutions 84.54 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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