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Methanex Corporation(MEOH)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
4-STAR RATING
REGULAR BUY
BUY for 25 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+2.1% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$59.77
09/24/2026
(24-hour delay)

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*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MEOH

09/24/2026: MEOH (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 25 days. Simulated Profits (2.10%). Updated daily EoD!

Methanex Corporation is the world's leading producer and supplier of methanol, a key chemical building block used in various industrial processes. The company's primary strength lies in its extensive global logistics network and strategic access to natural gas, which provide a competitive advantage in cost and delivery. Its main investment story centers on the growing demand for methanol in new areas like cleaner-burning marine fuels, balanced against the inherent volatility of a cyclical commodity business. Investors must monitor natural gas prices and global industrial demand, which are primary risk factors. Methanex is generally suitable for value-oriented investors willing to navigate the company's exposure to commodity cycles.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is largely cyclical and tied to commodity pricing rather than consistent compounding growth.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum depends on the current commodity cycle; stronger fit only during positive methanol price uptrends.
Value investorStrong fitShares often trade at valuations reflective of cyclical troughs, offering potential value for contrarian investors.
Dividend investorMixed fitDividends are reliable but sensitive to the cyclical nature of the company's cash flow.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe inherent commodity price volatility makes this a higher-risk investment unsuitable for low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighMethanol is a commodity, and its price fluctuation directly impacts the company's revenue and margins.
Valuation riskMediumStock valuation is heavily tied to the cyclical nature of the industry rather than stable earnings growth.
Competition risk (coal-based methanol)Medium / highLow-cost coal-based methanol production in China can pressure global market pricing.
Business qualityMediumWhile the company has a strong logistics moat, it remains a commodity producer.
Dividend incomeMediumIncome is sustainable but will vary based on the industry cycle.
Execution riskMediumSuccessfully managing large-scale global assets and supply chains requires complex operational excellence.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 33.87%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory Regular Buy
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/24/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
MEOH receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
MEOH has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong cash generation (FCF margin 20.4%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-51.3%), slightly negative revenue growth (-3.5%), soft profitability (net margin 2.2%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
MEOH's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 10.5%). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is MEOH's strongest growth driver at +29.9% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-3.5%, slightly negative) and earnings growth (-51.3%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 84.4% and approximately 96.0% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 7.41% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

M&G PLC 15.96%
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc 5.39%
Wellington Management Company LLP 5.13%
Fidelity International Ltd 4.40%
Dixon Mitchell Investment Counsel Inc 2.52%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
MEOH generates approximately $253 of gross profit, $129 of operating income, and $204 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 28.76%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
MEOH has a high-quality, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltSmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 4.62B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 67.92
1Y Target Price 70
Price to earnings Ratio 67.92
1Y Target Price 70
Volume (30-day avg) 802.0K shares
Beta 0.87
52 Weeks Range 31.54 - 66.34
Updated Date 09/24/2026
52 Weeks Range 31.54 - 66.34
Updated Date 09/24/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.25%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.88

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Methanol SalesProduction and sale of methanol for industrial and fuel uses.The company's revenue is earned by selling methanol at global market prices, making profits dependent on the spread between natural gas costs and methanol sale prices.
Geography: North America / Asia / EuropeGlobal distribution of produced methanol.Methanex benefits from shipping methanol to regions with the highest demand, allowing it to capture price premiums globally.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 67.92
Forward PE 10.35
Enterprise Value 7.24B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.08
Enterprise Value 7.24B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.08
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.7
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.18
Shares Outstanding 77.36M
Shares Floating 74.25M
Shares Outstanding 77.36M
Shares Floating 74.25M
Percent Insiders 7.41
Percent Institutions 84.37

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Methanex Corporation

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters Vancouver, BC, Canada
IPO Launch date 1992-05-19
President, CEO & Director Mr. Richard W. Sumner
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Chemicals
Full time employees 1649
Full time employees 1649

Methanex Corporation engages in the production and sale of methanol and ammonia in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, and South America. It also owns and leases in-region storage and terminal facilities. The company serves chemical and petrochemical producers. Methanex Corporation was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.