Mobilicom Limited(MOB)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$3.08
11/02/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MOB

11/02/2026: MOB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Mobilicom Limited is a specialized technology company providing secure, mission-critical communication and cybersecurity solutions for the drone and robotics industry. Its primary strength lies in its proprietary, cyber-hardened SkyHopper platform, which has achieved design-in status with several autonomous system manufacturers. The company's growth story is tied to the expansion of unmanned aerial systems in both defense and commercial sectors. Risks include a competitive landscape dominated by large defense incumbents, high operational cash requirements, and potential regulatory shifts. This stock may suit growth-oriented investors interested in the autonomous technology space, though it requires monitoring of contract procurement and path-to-profitability metrics.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers exposure to the growing drone sector but carries the risks typical of an emerging technology firm.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveMomentum investors may find interest when the company secures major new defense contracts or market expansions.
Value investorWeak fitAs a growth-stage company with inconsistent earnings, it does not meet traditional value investing criteria.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay dividends and reinvests capital into R&D.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility in the defense tech sector makes this a poor fit for risk-averse portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighSmall-cap stocks in the tech sector are prone to significant price swings based on news flow.
Valuation riskMedium / highFuture growth expectations are often baked into the price, leading to risk if targets are missed.
Competition risk (Defense Contractors)HighLarge incumbents can outspend or acquire smaller players, threatening market share.
Business qualityMediumWhile the technology is specialized, the business model is still proving its path to consistent profitability.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThere is no dividend income available for yield-focused investors.
Execution riskHighScaling production and winning long-term defense contracts is complex and prone to delays.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Highly Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Highly Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 60.06%
Avg. Invested days 26
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/02/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
MOB receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
MOB has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-196.2%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -57.7%), moderate revenue growth (+5.8%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
MOB's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 86.0%). Operating efficiency is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is MOB's strongest growth driver at +40.0% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (+5.8%, moderate) and earnings growth (-196.2%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 23.3% and approximately 91.9% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 13.98% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Wexford Capital LP 6.95%
Bard Associates Inc 3.30%
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd 1.72%
Jane Street Group LLC 1.10%
Diametric Capital, LP 0.62%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
MOB generates approximately $532 of gross profit, $-3,000 of operating income, and $-577 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 2-star rating, with weak cash conversion and strong capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.31%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
MOB has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 39.63M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 11
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 11
Volume (30-day avg) 97.8K shares
Beta 2.11
52 Weeks Range 2.77 - 9.78
Updated Date 11/02/2026
52 Weeks Range 2.77 - 9.78
Updated Date 11/02/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -2.85

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Hardware SalesSale of SkyHopper radio modules and antennas.The company earns money by selling specialized radio hardware needed for drone operations.
Software LicensingLicensing for cybersecurity and mesh networking software.Recurring or project-based revenue from providing the software that makes drones secure.

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 5.17
Enterprise Value 27.42M
Price to Sales(TTM) 10.89
Enterprise Value 27.42M
Price to Sales(TTM) 10.89
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.22
Shares Outstanding 12.87M
Shares Floating 11.82M
Shares Outstanding 12.87M
Shares Floating 11.82M
Percent Insiders 13.98
Percent Institutions 23.35

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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