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ModivCare Inc (MODV)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/27/2025: MODV (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Year Target Price $5.94
Year Target Price $5.94
0 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
2 | Hold |
0 | Under performing |
0 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -91.12% | Avg. Invested days 14 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 48.95M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 1.18 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 1.18 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 0.76 | 52 Weeks Range 0.87 - 32.82 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.87 - 32.82 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -16.09 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -8.33% | Operating Margin (TTM) -0.68% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.42% | Return on Equity (TTM) -951.52% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 4.79 | Enterprise Value 1333756526 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.02 |
Enterprise Value 1333756526 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.02 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.48 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5335.03 | Shares Outstanding 14353800 | Shares Floating 9698302 |
Shares Outstanding 14353800 | Shares Floating 9698302 | ||
Percent Insiders 16.43 | Percent Institutions 96.86 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.5 | Target Price 5.94 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy - |
Buy 2 | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
ModivCare Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
ModivCare Inc., formerly known as American Medical Response, was founded in 1996. It evolved from a focus on ambulance services to managing non-emergency medical transportation (NEMT) and home healthcare services. The company has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion, focusing on value-based care models.
Core Business Areas
- NEMT (Non-Emergency Medical Transportation): ModivCare manages transportation services for individuals with limited access to healthcare, connecting them with providers and offering flexible solutions like mileage reimbursement and ride-sharing.
- Remote Patient Monitoring: Delivers remote monitoring services in coordination with managed care organization partners, providers and members, in the home, allowing for more direct and convenient means of managing members and patients.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team consists of the CEO, CFO, and other key executives. The organizational structure includes departments for operations, finance, technology, and business development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- NEMT Services: Provides transportation services to healthcare appointments. ModivCare controls a significant portion of the NEMT market, with estimates ranging from 25-30% market share. Competitors include MTM, Veyo, and LogistiCare (now managed by ModivCare). Revenue is directly related to contract volume with government and managed care organizations
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The healthcare transportation market is experiencing growth due to aging populations, increasing healthcare access initiatives, and the shift towards value-based care. Key drivers include government regulations, Medicaid expansion, and technological advancements.
Positioning
ModivCare is a leading provider of NEMT services, leveraging its scale and technology to manage complex logistics and improve healthcare access. Its competitive advantage lies in its established network, data analytics capabilities, and integrated technology platform.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The estimated TAM for the healthcare transportation market is substantial, projected to reach billions of dollars. ModivCare is positioned to capture a significant share through expansion of services and strategic partnerships.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large established network
- Proprietary technology platform
- Strong relationships with payers
- Scalable business model
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Reliance on government contracts
- Exposure to regulatory changes
- Integration risks from acquisitions
- Fluctuations in reimbursement rates
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Development of new service offerings
- Strategic acquisitions
- Increased adoption of value-based care models
Threats
- Increased competition
- Changes in government regulations
- Economic downturn impacting funding
- Cybersecurity risks
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- MTM US STOCK SYMBOL
- Veyo US STOCK SYMBOL
- Uber Health US STOCK SYMBOL
- Lyft US STOCK SYMBOL
Competitive Landscape
ModivCare benefits from its substantial scale and technology but faces competition from other large providers and emerging technology-driven solutions. Competitors are trying to disrupt its market share.
Major Acquisitions
Circulation
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 79
- Strategic Rationale: Expand ModivCare's NEMT capabilities with a technology-enabled platform for on-demand transportation.
CareFinders Total Health
- Year: 2019
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 80
- Strategic Rationale: Increase ModivCare's personal care service offerings
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: ModivCare's historical growth has been driven by organic expansion and acquisitions in the healthcare transportation and home healthcare sectors.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are based on continued expansion of NEMT services and the development of new value-based care solutions.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new markets, enhancing its technology platform, and focusing on strategic acquisitions.
Summary
ModivCare is a leading provider in the non-emergency medical transportation market with a good market share, driven by their network and tech. Government contracts, although stable, introduce regulatory risks. Expanding into new areas like value-based care offers growth, but increased competition and funding challenges pose threats. ModivCare's success depends on managing these challenges and capitalizing on expansion opportunities.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Reports
- Company Website
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on available data and estimates. Actual results may vary. This is not financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About ModivCare Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Denver, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2003-08-20 | CEO, President, Interim President of Modivcare Home & Director Mr. L. Heath Sampson CPA | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Medical Care Facilities | Full time employees 23675 | Website https://www.modivcare.com |
Full time employees 23675 | Website https://www.modivcare.com |
ModivCare Inc., a technology-enabled healthcare services company, provides a suite of integrated supportive care solutions for public and private payors and their members in the United States. It operates through four segments: Non-Emergency Medical Transportation, Personal Care Services, Monitoring, and Corporate and Other. The Non-Emergency Medical Transportation segment offers risk underwriting, contact center management, network credentialing, claims management, and non-emergency medical transport management services for Medicaid or Medicare eligible members. The Personal Care Services segment provides in-home personal care services, such as bathing, personal hygiene, grooming, oral care, dressing, medication reminders, meal planning, preparation and feeding, housekeeping, transportation services, prescription reminders, assistance with dressing and ambulation services, home health aides, and nurses primarily to Medicaid patients in need of care monitoring and assistance in performing daily living activities in the home setting, including senior citizens and disabled adults. The Monitoring segment offers in-home clinical monitoring and quality improvement services, including personal emergency response systems, vitals monitoring devices, and relationship-based care and data-driven patient engagement solutions. The Corporate and Other segment maintains a network of community-based clinicians that deliver in-home and on-site services. It serves federal, state, and local government agencies, managed care organizations, commercial insurers, private individuals, and health systems. The company was formerly known as The Providence Service Corporation and changed its name to ModivCare Inc. in January 2021. ModivCare Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
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