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ModivCare Inc (MODV)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$3.41
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY-13.67%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 15 days
  • BUY Advisory
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  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
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Upturn Advisory Summary

06/27/2025: MODV (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

4 Analysts rated it

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Year Target Price $5.94

Year Target Price $5.94

Analyst’s Price TargetsFor last 52 week
$5.94Target price
Low$0.87
Current$3.41
high$32.82

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -91.12%
Avg. Invested days 14
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/27/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 48.95M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 1.18
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 1.18
Volume (30-day avg) -
Beta 0.76
52 Weeks Range 0.87 - 32.82
Updated Date 06/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 0.87 - 32.82
Updated Date 06/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -16.09

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -8.33%
Operating Margin (TTM) -0.68%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 0.42%
Return on Equity (TTM) -951.52%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 4.79
Enterprise Value 1333756526
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.02
Enterprise Value 1333756526
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.02
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.48
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5335.03
Shares Outstanding 14353800
Shares Floating 9698302
Shares Outstanding 14353800
Shares Floating 9698302
Percent Insiders 16.43
Percent Institutions 96.86

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.5
Target Price 5.94
Buy 2
Strong Buy -
Buy 2
Strong Buy -
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

ModivCare Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

ModivCare Inc., formerly known as American Medical Response, was founded in 1996. It evolved from a focus on ambulance services to managing non-emergency medical transportation (NEMT) and home healthcare services. The company has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion, focusing on value-based care models.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • NEMT (Non-Emergency Medical Transportation): ModivCare manages transportation services for individuals with limited access to healthcare, connecting them with providers and offering flexible solutions like mileage reimbursement and ride-sharing.
  • Remote Patient Monitoring: Delivers remote monitoring services in coordination with managed care organization partners, providers and members, in the home, allowing for more direct and convenient means of managing members and patients.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team consists of the CEO, CFO, and other key executives. The organizational structure includes departments for operations, finance, technology, and business development.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • NEMT Services: Provides transportation services to healthcare appointments. ModivCare controls a significant portion of the NEMT market, with estimates ranging from 25-30% market share. Competitors include MTM, Veyo, and LogistiCare (now managed by ModivCare). Revenue is directly related to contract volume with government and managed care organizations

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The healthcare transportation market is experiencing growth due to aging populations, increasing healthcare access initiatives, and the shift towards value-based care. Key drivers include government regulations, Medicaid expansion, and technological advancements.

Positioning

ModivCare is a leading provider of NEMT services, leveraging its scale and technology to manage complex logistics and improve healthcare access. Its competitive advantage lies in its established network, data analytics capabilities, and integrated technology platform.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The estimated TAM for the healthcare transportation market is substantial, projected to reach billions of dollars. ModivCare is positioned to capture a significant share through expansion of services and strategic partnerships.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Large established network
  • Proprietary technology platform
  • Strong relationships with payers
  • Scalable business model
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on government contracts
  • Exposure to regulatory changes
  • Integration risks from acquisitions
  • Fluctuations in reimbursement rates

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Development of new service offerings
  • Strategic acquisitions
  • Increased adoption of value-based care models

Threats

  • Increased competition
  • Changes in government regulations
  • Economic downturn impacting funding
  • Cybersecurity risks

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • MTM US STOCK SYMBOL
  • Veyo US STOCK SYMBOL
  • Uber Health US STOCK SYMBOL
  • Lyft US STOCK SYMBOL

Competitive Landscape

ModivCare benefits from its substantial scale and technology but faces competition from other large providers and emerging technology-driven solutions. Competitors are trying to disrupt its market share.

Major Acquisitions

Circulation

  • Year: 2018
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 79
  • Strategic Rationale: Expand ModivCare's NEMT capabilities with a technology-enabled platform for on-demand transportation.

CareFinders Total Health

  • Year: 2019
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 80
  • Strategic Rationale: Increase ModivCare's personal care service offerings

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: ModivCare's historical growth has been driven by organic expansion and acquisitions in the healthcare transportation and home healthcare sectors.

Future Projections: Future growth projections are based on continued expansion of NEMT services and the development of new value-based care solutions.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new markets, enhancing its technology platform, and focusing on strategic acquisitions.

Summary

ModivCare is a leading provider in the non-emergency medical transportation market with a good market share, driven by their network and tech. Government contracts, although stable, introduce regulatory risks. Expanding into new areas like value-based care offers growth, but increased competition and funding challenges pose threats. ModivCare's success depends on managing these challenges and capitalizing on expansion opportunities.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings
  • Market Research Reports
  • Analyst Reports
  • Company Website

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on available data and estimates. Actual results may vary. This is not financial advice.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About ModivCare Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Denver, CO, United States
IPO Launch date 2003-08-20
CEO, President, Interim President of Modivcare Home & Director Mr. L. Heath Sampson CPA
Sector Healthcare
Industry Medical Care Facilities
Full time employees 23675
Full time employees 23675

ModivCare Inc., a technology-enabled healthcare services company, provides a suite of integrated supportive care solutions for public and private payors and their members in the United States. It operates through four segments: Non-Emergency Medical Transportation, Personal Care Services, Monitoring, and Corporate and Other. The Non-Emergency Medical Transportation segment offers risk underwriting, contact center management, network credentialing, claims management, and non-emergency medical transport management services for Medicaid or Medicare eligible members. The Personal Care Services segment provides in-home personal care services, such as bathing, personal hygiene, grooming, oral care, dressing, medication reminders, meal planning, preparation and feeding, housekeeping, transportation services, prescription reminders, assistance with dressing and ambulation services, home health aides, and nurses primarily to Medicaid patients in need of care monitoring and assistance in performing daily living activities in the home setting, including senior citizens and disabled adults. The Monitoring segment offers in-home clinical monitoring and quality improvement services, including personal emergency response systems, vitals monitoring devices, and relationship-based care and data-driven patient engagement solutions. The Corporate and Other segment maintains a network of community-based clinicians that deliver in-home and on-site services. It serves federal, state, and local government agencies, managed care organizations, commercial insurers, private individuals, and health systems. The company was formerly known as The Providence Service Corporation and changed its name to ModivCare Inc. in January 2021. ModivCare Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.