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Upturn AI Summary - About
MPLX LP(MPLX)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MPLX
11/06/2026: MPLX (3-star) is a SELL. SELL for 1 day. Simulated Profits (-5.03%). Updated daily EoD!
MPLX LP is a major midstream energy partnership providing essential pipeline, storage, and processing services for crude oil and natural gas. The company's primary strength is its stable, fee-based business model, which is bolstered by its deep integration with its sponsor, Marathon Petroleum Corporation. Its main investment story centers on consistent cash flow generation and reliable dividend distributions. Key risks include heavy reliance on its sponsor, potential regulatory obstacles, and the long-term industry transition away from fossil fuels. This stock is best suited for income-oriented dividend investors, and they should monitor future capital expenditure plans and changes in energy production volumes.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | MPLX is a stable cash-flow generator rather than a high-growth disruptor. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock typically moves with energy sector cycles rather than pure technical momentum. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at valuations that favor income-seeking value investors. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | MPLX offers a reliable, significant distribution yield suitable for income portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While yields are stable, the stock is subject to broader energy market and regulatory volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | While fee-based, the stock price remains correlated with broader energy sector sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Low | The company typically trades in line with sector multiples, limiting extreme valuation swings. |
| Competition risk (Infrastructure) | Medium | Regional competition for throughput volumes can impact margins and utilization rates. |
| Business quality | Strong | The integration with a major refining partner provides a strong, durable competitive moat. |
| Dividend income | Strong | The distribution history suggests a high degree of commitment to shareholder payouts. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successful management of large-scale infrastructure projects is required to sustain growth. |
Price Behavior
Steady Uptrend
The stock demonstrates consistent and steady upward price momentum.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 41.16% | Avg. Invested days 69 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/06/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 56.64B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.06 | 1Y Target Price 62.92 |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.06 | 1Y Target Price 62.92 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.6M shares | Beta 0.45 | 52 Weeks Range 47.18 - 59.42 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 47.18 - 59.42 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 8.03% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.28 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Pipeline Transportation | Fees for transporting crude oil and refined products through pipelines. | MPLX collects steady toll-road-like fees for moving energy products. |
| Gathering and Processing | Processing raw natural gas and separating NGLs. | Revenue is earned based on the volume of gas handled and processed. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-03 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.11 | Actual 1.15 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 35.03% | Operating Margin (TTM) 35.93% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.25% | Return on Equity (TTM) 33.69% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.06 | Forward PE 11.64 | Enterprise Value 82.43B | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.56 |
Enterprise Value 82.43B | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.56 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.84 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.73 | Shares Outstanding 1.01B | Shares Floating 364.80M |
Shares Outstanding 1.01B | Shares Floating 364.80M | ||
Percent Insiders 64.08 | Percent Institutions 19.91 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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