MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc logo

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc(MTSI)

Top Performer Top performer
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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
4-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$232.06
11/13/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MTSI

11/13/2026: MTSI (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc is a specialized semiconductor company that designs high-performance components for data center, telecommunications, and defense markets. The company has a leading position in niche material sciences like Gallium Nitride, which enables its strong gross margins and defensible market presence. Its primary growth story centers on the rising demand for optical connectivity in AI-driven data centers and the modernization of global defense infrastructure. While its technology is well-regarded, investors should monitor risks regarding customer concentration, cyclical semiconductor spending, and successful M&A execution. MACOM is generally suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate semiconductor sector volatility rather than those seeking dividends.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitMACOM benefits from secular trends in AI-driven data center connectivity and defense modernization.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock often exhibits strong price trends when market demand for optical and RF components accelerates.
Value investorMixed fitValuation can fluctuate significantly based on growth expectations and M&A activity.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay a dividend, focusing instead on capital reinvestment.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh exposure to cyclical semiconductor markets and M&A risk results in meaningful price volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock price is sensitive to semiconductor industry cycles and growth sentiment.
Valuation riskMediumInvestors often pay a premium for growth, leaving the stock vulnerable to earnings misses.
Competition risk (AI/Optical)Medium / highIntense competition in data center components requires constant R&D innovation.
Business qualityStrongThe company possesses specialized technical expertise that creates a defensible market position.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThere is no income component to the total return for shareholders.
Execution riskMediumSuccessful integration of acquisitions is vital to maintaining growth and margins.

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 18.77B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 57.02
1Y Target Price 327
Price to earnings Ratio 57.02
1Y Target Price 327
Volume (30-day avg) 1.9M shares
Beta 1.83
52 Weeks Range 150.80 - 418.90
Updated Date 11/13/2026
52 Weeks Range 150.80 - 418.90
Updated Date 11/13/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 4.31

Sector & Industry Intelligence

Sector

Technology

Caution
Sentiment
Near Bearish
Momentum
Rapid Breadth Deterioration
BUY participation
30.1%
Active BUY / eligible
37 / 123
30-Day BUY Count Change
-42
Market state
Weak Bullish / Near Bearish

BUY participation is falling rapidly, suggesting elevated market vulnerability.

Industry

Semiconductors

BUY participation
19.0%
Active BUY / eligible
4 / 21
30-Day BUY Count Change
-11

Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Highly Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Highly Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 103.26%
Avg. Invested days 50
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/13/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
MTSI receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, strong company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
MTSI has strong overall fundamentals (5 stars), with solid financial health, strong growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, strong earnings growth (+718.4%) supports the fundamentals score.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
MTSI's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 34.5%). Overall financial-health metrics support a 4-star score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is MTSI's strongest growth driver at +718.4% FY2026 versus FY2025 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+37.3%, strong) and free-cash-flow growth (+91.0%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 96.0% and approximately 93.2% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 6.69% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

FMR Inc 13.78%
BlackRock Inc 12.46%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.72%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.01%
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,Inc. 3.73%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
MTSI generates approximately $580 of gross profit, $230 of operating income, and $220 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Strong margins and solid cash conversion support the rating, although capital efficiency remains moderate.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 14.01%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
MTSI has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Quality TiltHigh VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Data Center/OpticalLasers, drivers, and TIA products for optical transmission.Profit from the building of high-speed cloud infrastructure for AI.
Industrial/DefenseRF power and signal control components for radar and satellite.Stable, high-barrier revenue from government and aerospace contracts.
GeographyRevenue spread across North America, Asia, and Europe.Global reach provides exposure to diverse semiconductor demand.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-05
When Before Market
Estimate 1.68
Actual 1.78

Profitability

Profit Margin 25.25%
Operating Margin (TTM) 23.09%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 8.66%
Return on Equity (TTM) 22.17%

Valuation

Trailing PE 57.02
Forward PE 36.5
Enterprise Value 18.66B
Price to Sales(TTM) 14.14
Enterprise Value 18.66B
Price to Sales(TTM) 14.14
Enterprise Value to Revenue 14.06
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 40.67
Shares Outstanding 76.37M
Shares Floating 71.17M
Shares Outstanding 76.37M
Shares Floating 71.17M
Percent Insiders 6.69
Percent Institutions 96.04

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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