MaxLinear Inc logo

MaxLinear Inc(MXL)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 3 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-6.52% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$71.32
10/16/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MXL

10/16/2026: MXL (1-star) is a SELL. SELL for 3 days. Simulated Profits (-6.52%). Updated daily EoD!

MaxLinear is a designer of specialized radio-frequency and mixed-signal semiconductors that connect home networks and infrastructure equipment. The company has historically grown by integrating key technology acquisitions, which has broadened its product portfolio into industrial and data center markets. Its primary growth opportunity lies in the long-term expansion of high-speed data center optical interconnects, although this is currently tempered by cyclical inventory corrections in its broadband business. Key risks include intense competition from larger industry incumbents and significant revenue concentration in consumer-facing segments. The stock may suit investors willing to accept volatility in exchange for exposure to infrastructure-led growth, though shareholders should monitor the company's ability to navigate current inventory cycles.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is currently constrained by cyclical inventory corrections in broadband.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock has struggled to maintain positive momentum amidst sector-wide headwinds.
Value investorMixed fitValuation may appear attractive to some, but fundamentals remain tied to volatile end-markets.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay a dividend.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe company exhibits high stock price volatility and operational sensitivity.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is highly sensitive to semiconductor cycle changes.
Valuation riskMediumFuture earnings visibility remains clouded by market inventory levels.
Competition risk (Broadcom/Marvell dominance)HighLarger competitors possess superior scale and R&D budgets.
Business qualityMediumThe business relies on successful integration of diverse and complex product lines.
Dividend incomeLow / noneIncome-focused investors will not find a yield here.
Execution riskMedium / highContinued success depends on navigating complex technology transitions.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 31.53%
Avg. Invested days 25
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/16/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
MXL receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
MXL has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with soft financial health, solid growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+44.3%) and solid revenue growth (+29.7%) are partially offset by soft cash generation (FCF margin 1.5%), weak profitability (net margin -29.2%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
MXL's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 7.9%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is MXL's strongest growth driver at +111.1% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+29.7%, solid) and earnings growth (+44.3%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 84.3% and approximately 94.0% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 5.87% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 15.11%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 7.63%
State Street Corp 4.77%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.22%
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. 2.46%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
MXL generates approximately $568 of gross profit, $-271 of operating income, and $15 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 2.99%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
MXL has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 6.47B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 94.55
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 94.55
Volume (30-day avg) 3.1M shares
Beta 3.94
52 Weeks Range 12.77 - 128.30
Updated Date 10/16/2026
52 Weeks Range 12.77 - 128.30
Updated Date 10/16/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.18

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Broadband AccessSoCs for cable modems and gateway equipment.This is a core revenue driver, but it is currently seeing slower demand.
InfrastructureOptical modules, wireless backhaul, and high-speed data chips.This area captures long-term growth from data centers and 5G deployment.
Industrial/Multi-marketPower management and connectivity for non-consumer electronics.This provides essential diversification away from consumer connectivity.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-22
When After Market
Estimate 0.32
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -18.24%
Operating Margin (TTM) -2.44%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -4.89%
Return on Equity (TTM) -21.32%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 31.55
Enterprise Value 7.73B
Price to Sales(TTM) 11.37
Enterprise Value 7.73B
Price to Sales(TTM) 11.37
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.59
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.27
Shares Outstanding 90.69M
Shares Floating 85.22M
Shares Outstanding 90.69M
Shares Floating 85.22M
Percent Insiders 5.87
Percent Institutions 84.26

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.