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Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd (NAK)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: NAK (4-star) is a SELL. SELL since 5 days. Simulated Profits (4.02%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $2.48
1 Year Target Price $2.48
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 25.13% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.18B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.48 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.48 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2 | Beta 0.38 | 52 Weeks Range 0.55 - 2.98 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 0.55 - 2.98 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.11 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -10.61% | Return on Equity (TTM) -95.82% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1201519229 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 1201519229 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -4.49 | Shares Outstanding 552533662 | Shares Floating 542466499 |
Shares Outstanding 552533662 | Shares Floating 542466499 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.57 | Percent Institutions 20.91 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd
Company Overview
History and Background
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. was incorporated in 1997. Its primary focus has been the exploration and development of mineral properties, with a significant historical emphasis on the Pebble copper-gold-molybdenum project in Alaska. The company has undergone various stages of development, financing, and regulatory challenges related to the Pebble project.
Core Business Areas
- Mineral Exploration and Development: The company's core business revolves around the exploration and development of its flagship asset, the Pebble project, a large porphyry deposit located in southwest Alaska. This includes environmental studies, permitting processes, and stakeholder engagement.
Leadership and Structure
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. is a publicly traded company led by a Board of Directors and a management team responsible for overseeing operations, strategic direction, and financial management. Specific leadership details (CEO, CFO, etc.) would typically be found in their latest annual reports or investor relations materials.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Pebble Project Development: The primary 'offering' is the potential future production of copper, gold, and molybdenum from the Pebble deposit. There is no current market share as the project is not in production. Competitors in the global copper and gold mining sector include companies like BHP, Rio Tinto, Barrick Gold, and Freeport-McMoRan.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. operates in the mining and metals industry, specifically focused on large-scale porphyry copper-gold deposits. This sector is cyclical, influenced by global commodity prices, geopolitical stability, environmental regulations, and technological advancements in mining and processing.
Positioning
The company is positioned as a developer of a world-class mineral deposit. Its competitive advantage lies in the potential scale and grade of the Pebble deposit. However, it faces significant challenges related to permitting, environmental concerns, and public perception.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for copper and gold is in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually, driven by global demand for these metals in various industries (e.g., electronics, construction, automotive). Northern Dynasty's positioning relative to this TAM is that of a potential future supplier, contingent on successful development and production.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- World-class mineral deposit (Pebble Project) with significant estimated copper and gold resources.
- Experienced management team with expertise in mineral development.
- Potential for long-term, large-scale production if developed.
Weaknesses
- Lack of operating mines or current revenue streams.
- Significant environmental and permitting challenges in Alaska.
- Reliance on external financing for project development.
- Opposition from environmental groups and some local communities.
Opportunities
- Increasing global demand for copper due to electrification and green energy transition.
- Potential for partnerships or joint ventures to advance project development.
- Technological advancements in mining that could mitigate environmental impacts.
- Favorable commodity price environments for copper and gold.
Threats
- Failure to obtain necessary permits and regulatory approvals.
- Continued opposition and legal challenges from environmental groups and stakeholders.
- Commodity price volatility, particularly for copper and gold.
- Changes in government policy or regulations impacting mining.
- Exploration and development risks associated with large-scale projects.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- BHP Group (BHP)
- Rio Tinto (RIO)
- Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD)
- Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX)
Competitive Landscape
Northern Dynasty's competitive advantage is its ownership of a world-class, undeveloped resource. However, it is at a disadvantage compared to established major mining companies with existing production, diverse portfolios, and proven track records in bringing projects to fruition. These competitors have established infrastructure, supply chains, and market access.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth for Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. has been tied to the progress of the Pebble project, including resource delineation, feasibility studies, and regulatory milestones.
Future Projections: Future projections are highly contingent on the successful navigation of the permitting process and securing the necessary capital for mine construction. Analyst estimates would reflect these uncertainties and the potential upside if the project moves forward.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have likely focused on advancing the Pebble project through the environmental review and permitting process, engaging with stakeholders, and seeking strategic partnerships or financing.
Summary
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. holds a significant, world-class mineral resource in the Pebble Project, representing its primary asset and future potential. However, the company faces substantial hurdles in the form of environmental permitting, regulatory approvals, and stakeholder opposition. Its success is heavily dependent on navigating these challenges and securing substantial funding for development, making it a high-risk, high-reward investment.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (e.g., SEC filings)
- Financial news and analysis websites
- Industry reports on the mining sector
- Company investor relations materials
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is generated for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market share data and competitor analysis are estimates and subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd
Exchange NYSE MKT | Headquaters Vancouver, BC, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2002-02-12 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Ronald William Thiessen C.P.A., CA, F.C.A., FCPA | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Full time employees - | |
Full time employees - | |||
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. engages in the exploration of mineral properties in the United States. The company explores for copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and rhenium deposits. It holds 100% interest in the Pebble Copper-Gold-Molybdenum-Silver-Rhenium project comprising 1,840 mineral claims that covers an area of approximately 274 square miles located in southwest Alaska, the United States. The company was formerly known as Northern Dynasty Explorations Ltd. and changed its name to Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. in October 1997. Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

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