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Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd (NAK)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/10/2025: NAK (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 1 days. Simulated Profits (0.00%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $2.52
1 Year Target Price $2.52
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 20.3% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.13B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.52 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.52 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2 | Beta 0.37 | 52 Weeks Range 0.45 - 2.98 | Updated Date 12/10/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.45 - 2.98 | Updated Date 12/10/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.11 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-13 | When After Market | Estimate -0.01 | Actual -0.0121 |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -10.61% | Return on Equity (TTM) -95.82% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1102869558 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 1102869558 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -4.49 | Shares Outstanding 552533662 | Shares Floating 542571480 |
Shares Outstanding 552533662 | Shares Floating 542571480 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.52 | Percent Institutions 21.07 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd
Company Overview
History and Background
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. is a mineral exploration and development company. Founded in 1997, its primary focus has been the development of the Pebble copper-gold-molybdenum deposit in southwest Alaska. A significant milestone was the initial feasibility study, though the project has faced considerable regulatory and environmental scrutiny over the years, leading to various legal and political challenges.
Core Business Areas
- Pebble Project Development: The company's core business revolves around the exploration, development, and potential future mining of the large-scale Pebble copper-gold-molybdenum deposit located in Alaska. This involves extensive geological surveying, environmental impact assessments, and engagement with regulatory bodies and local communities.
Leadership and Structure
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. is led by a management team and a Board of Directors. Specific details regarding individual leadership roles and the exact organizational structure are typically found in their SEC filings and corporate governance documents.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Pebble Copper-Gold-Molybdenum Deposit: The primary 'product' or asset of Northern Dynasty is the Pebble deposit itself, which contains substantial reserves of copper, gold, and molybdenum. Market share is not applicable in the traditional sense as this is a single, large-scale resource deposit under development. Competitors would be other large-scale copper and gold mining projects globally, but not directly comparable in terms of specific asset ownership.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Northern Dynasty operates within the global mining industry, specifically focusing on large-scale, undeveloped copper and gold deposits. This sector is characterized by long development cycles, significant capital requirements, commodity price volatility, and increasing environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations.
Positioning
Northern Dynasty's position is that of a developer of a world-class, yet controversial, mineral deposit. Its competitive advantage lies in the sheer size and potential of the Pebble deposit, but it faces significant hurdles in navigating regulatory approvals and public acceptance.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for copper and gold is vast, driven by global demand for industrial applications, jewelry, and investment. Northern Dynasty is positioned to capture a portion of this market if the Pebble project successfully reaches production. However, its direct market penetration is currently zero due to its development stage.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Vast mineral resources contained in the Pebble deposit.
- Potential for significant long-term production of copper and gold.
- Experienced management team with deep knowledge of the mining sector.
Weaknesses
- Extreme regulatory and political challenges in Alaska.
- Significant environmental concerns and opposition from various stakeholders.
- Dependence on securing substantial future financing for development.
- Lack of current production and revenue generation.
Opportunities
- Favorable global demand for copper and gold.
- Potential to partner with larger mining companies for development.
- Improvements in mining technology that could mitigate environmental impact.
- Shifting political or regulatory landscapes that could favor project development.
Threats
- Continued regulatory hurdles and potential project rejection.
- Sustained public and environmental opposition.
- Commodity price volatility impacting project economics.
- Challenges in securing project financing.
- Legal challenges and litigation.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Other large-scale copper and gold mining companies such as Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), Barrick Gold (GOLD), Newmont Corporation (NEM).
Competitive Landscape
Northern Dynasty's competitive advantage is the potential of its massive deposit. However, it is at a disadvantage compared to established producers due to its lack of production, high capital needs, and significant regulatory/environmental risks. Its competitors are established players with existing mines and revenue streams.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth for Northern Dynasty has been characterized by the advancement of the Pebble project's technical studies and permitting efforts, punctuated by significant setbacks and regulatory challenges. It is not a company that experiences traditional revenue or profit growth.
Future Projections: Future projections are entirely contingent on obtaining the necessary permits to develop the Pebble mine. Analyst estimates, if available, would focus on potential future production volumes, commodity prices, and operational costs, rather than revenue growth from existing operations. The path to production is highly uncertain.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives would likely focus on navigating the permitting process, engaging with government agencies, managing legal challenges, and potentially seeking strategic partnerships or financing for future development phases. This may also include updated technical reports or community engagement efforts.
Summary
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. is a high-risk, high-reward development-stage company focused on the massive Pebble deposit. Its primary strength lies in the potential resource size, but it faces severe headwinds from regulatory, environmental, and political challenges. The company needs to overcome these obstacles and secure substantial funding to realize its project's potential, while current operations are solely geared towards achieving development approval.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Company Investor Relations Materials
- Reputable Financial News Outlets
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Investing in development-stage mining companies carries significant risk, and investors should conduct their own due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd
Exchange NYSE MKT | Headquaters Vancouver, BC, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2002-02-12 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Ronald William Thiessen C.P.A., CA, F.C.A., FCPA | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Full time employees - | |
Full time employees - | |||
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. engages in the exploration of mineral properties in the United States. The company explores for copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and rhenium deposits. It holds 100% interest in the Pebble Copper-Gold-Molybdenum-Silver-Rhenium project comprising 1,840 mineral claims that covers an area of approximately 274 square miles located in southwest Alaska, the United States. The company was formerly known as Northern Dynasty Explorations Ltd. and changed its name to Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. in October 1997. Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

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