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Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd (NAK)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/16/2025: NAK (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $2.47
1 Year Target Price $2.47
0 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
0 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -3.76% | Avg. Invested days 40 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 479.91M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.47 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.47 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2 | Beta -0.4 | 52 Weeks Range 0.30 - 2.40 | Updated Date 09/16/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.30 - 2.40 | Updated Date 09/16/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.11 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -9.33% | Return on Equity (TTM) -100.42% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 430908591 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 430908591 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -4.49 | Shares Outstanding 551748992 | Shares Floating 542717008 |
Shares Outstanding 551748992 | Shares Floating 542717008 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.52 | Percent Institutions 12.7 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd
Company Overview
History and Background
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. was founded in 1982. It is primarily focused on advancing the Pebble Project, a large copper, gold, and molybdenum deposit in southwest Alaska.
Core Business Areas
- Mineral Exploration and Development: Northern Dynasty's core business revolves around the exploration and development of mineral properties, primarily focusing on the Pebble Project.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership includes the CEO and a board of directors. The organizational structure centers around managing and advancing the Pebble Project.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Pebble Project: The Pebble Project is a large undeveloped copper, gold, and molybdenum deposit. The project has not yet generated revenue due to its development stage. Competitors include other large mining companies with developed copper/gold mines, such as Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) and Newmont (NEM).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The mining industry is subject to commodity price fluctuations, environmental regulations, and permitting processes. The demand for copper and gold impacts the viability of mining projects.
Positioning
Northern Dynasty is a development-stage mining company seeking to permit and develop the Pebble Project. Its competitive advantage (potential) lies in the size and grade of the deposit, but it faces significant environmental and permitting hurdles.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for copper and gold is in the hundreds of billions of USD annually. Northern Dynasty's position depends on successfully permitting and developing the Pebble Project, which could capture a portion of this market. Hard to quantify until permitting is known.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large Mineral Resource
- High-Grade Deposit
- Potential for Long-Life Mine
Weaknesses
- Uncertain Permitting
- Environmental Concerns
- High Capital Costs
- No Revenue Generation
Opportunities
- Increased Demand for Copper and Gold
- Partnerships with Major Mining Companies
- Technological Advancements in Mining
Threats
- Environmental Opposition
- Regulatory Hurdles
- Commodity Price Volatility
- Political Risk
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- FCX
- NEM
- SCCO
Competitive Landscape
Northern Dynasty's competitive disadvantage is its lack of existing production. Its potential advantage lies in the size of the Pebble deposit if developed.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth is non-existent as it is still in the project development stage.
Future Projections: Future projections are heavily dependent on obtaining permits for the Pebble Project. Analyst estimates are speculative and vary widely.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have focused on engaging with regulators and stakeholders to advance the permitting process.
Summary
Northern Dynasty Minerals is a high-risk, high-reward development-stage mining company focused on the Pebble Project. Its financial performance is currently non-existent with no revenue, and success hinges on obtaining permits. Key strengths are the deposit's size and grade, but weaknesses include environmental concerns and regulatory hurdles. The future of the company will need to be cautious on its trajectory as the stock is highly specualtive.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Industry reports
- Analyst estimates
Disclaimers:
The analysis is based on publicly available information and assumptions. It is not financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd
Exchange NYSE MKT | Headquaters Vancouver, BC, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2002-02-12 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Ronald William Thiessen C.P.A., CA, F.C.A., FCPA | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Full time employees - | |
Full time employees - |
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. engages in the exploration of mineral properties in the United States. The company explores for copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and rhenium deposits. It holds 100% interest in the Pebble Copper-Gold-Molybdenum-Silver-Rhenium project comprising 1,840 mineral claims that covers an area of approximately 274 square miles located in southwest Alaska, the United States. The company was formerly known as Northern Dynasty Explorations Ltd. and changed its name to Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. in October 1997. Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

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