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Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd (NAK)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/28/2025: NAK (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $2.47
1 Year Target Price $2.47
0 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
0 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -3.76% | Avg. Invested days 40 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 504.41M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.47 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.47 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2 | Beta -0.53 | 52 Weeks Range 0.30 - 2.40 | Updated Date 08/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.30 - 2.40 | Updated Date 08/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.11 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-20 | When - | Estimate - | Actual -0.02 |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -9.33% | Return on Equity (TTM) -100.42% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 486783716 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 486783716 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -4.49 | Shares Outstanding 551748992 | Shares Floating 542678385 |
Shares Outstanding 551748992 | Shares Floating 542678385 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.52 | Percent Institutions 12.54 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd
Company Overview
History and Background
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NDM) is a Canadian mineral exploration and development company focused on advancing the Pebble Project, a large copper, gold, and molybdenum deposit in southwest Alaska. Founded to explore for and develop mineral resources, it has evolved to focus almost entirely on the Pebble Project.
Core Business Areas
- Mineral Exploration and Development: NDM's primary business is the exploration, evaluation, and potential development of mineral properties, particularly the Pebble Project.
Leadership and Structure
NDM's leadership team consists of a board of directors and executive management. The organizational structure is typical of a mineral exploration company, with departments focused on exploration, engineering, environmental, and corporate affairs.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Pebble Project: The Pebble Project is NDM's sole asset. It's a large undeveloped copper, gold, and molybdenum porphyry deposit. The company's value is derived from the perceived worth of this resource. Market share isn't applicable as the project is undeveloped. Competitors are other mining companies with large undeveloped assets and companies focused on green energy materials such as BHP Group(BHP) or Rio Tinto (RIO).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The mining industry is characterized by high capital expenditures, long lead times, and fluctuating commodity prices. Copper, gold, and molybdenum are key commodities. Environmental regulations and social license to operate are increasingly important factors.
Positioning
NDM is a junior mining company focused on a single, large undeveloped project. Its competitive advantage, if any, lies in the potential size and grade of the Pebble deposit. However, it faces significant regulatory and environmental challenges.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM is tied to the potential value of the resources in the ground (copper, gold, molybdenum) and the market price of those commodities. This can be in the tens or hundreds of billions of dollars. NDM is positioned to capture a significant portion of this if they can develop their resource, representing the full development of the Pebble Project.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large Resource Base (Pebble Deposit)
- High Grades of Copper, Gold, and Molybdenum
- Potential for Long Mine Life
Weaknesses
- Undeveloped Project
- Regulatory Uncertainty
- Environmental Concerns
- High Capital Expenditure Requirements
- Dependence on Commodity Prices
Opportunities
- Rising Commodity Prices
- Increased Demand for Copper and Gold
- Partnerships with Major Mining Companies
- Technological Advancements in Mining
Threats
- Environmental Opposition
- Regulatory Delays or Rejections
- Fluctuating Commodity Prices
- Financing Challenges
- Political Risk (Alaska Legislation)
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
Competitive Landscape
NDM's competitive advantage is the potential size and grade of the Pebble deposit. Its disadvantages are regulatory uncertainty and environmental concerns.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: NDM's historical 'growth' is defined by its progress in advancing the Pebble Project through exploration and permitting.
Future Projections: Future projections are highly uncertain and dependent on regulatory approvals, financing, and commodity prices. Analyst estimates vary widely.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include efforts to secure permits, engage with stakeholders, and attract investment.
Summary
Northern Dynasty Minerals is a highly speculative investment tied to the fate of the Pebble Project. Its potential strength lies in its large resource base, but it faces substantial regulatory and environmental hurdles. The company's future hinges on obtaining permits and securing financing, which will require it to navigate significant political and stakeholder opposition.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (SEDAR, SEC)
- Company Website
- Press Releases
- Analyst Reports (Note: Analyst reports on NDM may be limited)
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing in mining companies, especially junior explorers, is highly speculative and involves substantial risk.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd
Exchange NYSE MKT | Headquaters Vancouver, BC, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2002-02-12 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Ronald William Thiessen C.P.A., CA, F.C.A., FCPA | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Full time employees - | |
Full time employees - |
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. engages in the exploration of mineral properties in the United States. The company explores for copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and rhenium deposits. It holds 100% interest in the Pebble Copper-Gold-Molybdenum-Silver-Rhenium project comprising 1,840 mineral claims that covers an area of approximately 274 square miles located in southwest Alaska, the United States. The company was formerly known as Northern Dynasty Explorations Ltd. and changed its name to Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. in October 1997. Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

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