NCMI official logo NCMI
NCMI 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
National CineMedia Inc (NCMI) company logo

National CineMedia Inc (NCMI)

National CineMedia Inc (NCMI) 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$4.16
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/10/2025: NCMI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 1 star rating for performance

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

1 star rating from financial analysts

4 Analysts rated it

Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.

1 Year Target Price $6.25

1 Year Target Price $6.25

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$6.25 Target price
52w Low $3.81
Current$4.16
52w High $7.22

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -54.07%
Avg. Invested days 24
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 12/10/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 390.34M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 6.25
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 6.25
Volume (30-day avg) 4
Beta 1.38
52 Weeks Range 3.81 - 7.22
Updated Date 12/11/2025
52 Weeks Range 3.81 - 7.22
Updated Date 12/11/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 1.44%
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.16

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -6.43%
Operating Margin (TTM) -2.84%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -2.21%
Return on Equity (TTM) -4.13%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 138.89
Enterprise Value 371906810
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.65
Enterprise Value 371906810
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.65
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.57
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.76
Shares Outstanding 93831167
Shares Floating 65609567
Shares Outstanding 93831167
Shares Floating 65609567
Percent Insiders 1.14
Percent Institutions 94.63

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

National CineMedia Inc

National CineMedia Inc(NCMI) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

National CineMedia (NCM) was formed in 2005 as a joint venture between Regal Entertainment Group, Cinemark USA, and AMC Entertainment. It is the largest in-theater advertising company in the United States. NCM has evolved to offer a range of advertising solutions beyond traditional cinema ads, including pre-show entertainment and digital out-of-home networks.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Cinema Advertising: NCM's primary business is selling advertising slots shown on movie screens before feature films. This includes national, regional, and local advertising campaigns. They leverage their extensive network of cinema screens across the US.
  • Digital Out-of-Home (DOOH) Advertising: NCM operates a network of digital screens in various non-cinema locations such as bars, restaurants, and sports venues, offering brands additional reach beyond theaters.
  • Content and Entertainment: NCM produces and distributes pre-show content, including movie trailers, celebrity interviews, and short-form entertainment, which serves as a platform for its advertising offerings.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

National CineMedia is a publicly traded company with a board of directors and an executive management team responsible for its strategic direction and operations. The company operates through its network of cinema partners and its own sales and marketing teams.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Competitors: Various smaller regional cinema advertising networks, direct cinema ad sales by independent theaters.
  • Description: This is NCM's flagship advertising product, offering brands the opportunity to reach moviegoers in a captive environment through :30 and :60 second spots, custom integrations, and short-form content. Competitors include other in-theater advertising networks, although NCM holds a dominant position. Market share data is not publicly available for this specific product, but NCM consistently represents the largest portion of the US in-theater advertising market.
  • Market Share:
  • Product Name 1: FirstLook Pre-Show Advertising
  • Competitors: Outfront Media, Lamar Advertising, JCDecaux, Clear Channel Outdoor.
  • Description: This product consists of digital screens in high-traffic, non-cinema locations such as bars and restaurants. It allows for dynamic advertising content and targets specific demographic groups. Competitors include a vast array of DOOH network operators across various industries. Revenue and user numbers are not separately disclosed.
  • Market Share:
  • Product Name 2: NCM's Digital Out-of-Home (DOOH) Network

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The cinema advertising industry is intrinsically linked to movie theater attendance. While facing challenges from streaming services and changing consumer habits, it offers a unique, high-impact advertising environment due to its captive audience. The broader DOOH market is growing, driven by digital advancements and the demand for targeted advertising.

Positioning

NCM is the dominant player in the US in-theater advertising market due to its extensive network of screens and established relationships with major cinema chains. Its competitive advantage lies in its scale, the captive audience it delivers, and its ability to offer integrated advertising solutions across cinema and DOOH.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for cinema advertising is directly tied to overall movie ticket sales and advertising spend within that channel. For broader out-of-home advertising, it is a multi-billion dollar market. NCM addresses a significant portion of the in-cinema advertising TAM and a smaller segment of the larger DOOH TAM.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Dominant market share in US in-theater advertising.
  • Extensive network of cinema screens.
  • Captive and engaged audience.
  • Strong relationships with major cinema exhibitors.
  • Diversification into DOOH.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on movie theater attendance, which can be volatile.
  • Increased competition from streaming services impacting cinema visits.
  • Potential for technological disruption in ad delivery.
  • High fixed costs associated with cinema partnerships.

Opportunities

  • Growth in programmatic advertising for DOOH.
  • Development of more interactive and data-driven ad formats.
  • Expansion into new venues for DOOH network.
  • Partnerships with content creators for exclusive pre-show content.
  • Leveraging data analytics to offer more targeted campaigns.

Threats

  • Continued decline in cinema attendance.
  • Shifting consumer media consumption habits towards digital and home entertainment.
  • Economic downturns impacting advertiser budgets.
  • Increasingly fragmented media landscape.
  • Regulatory changes impacting advertising practices.

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • No single direct competitor holds the same market share in the US in-theater advertising space as NCM due to its consolidated nature. Competitors operate in adjacent or fragmented markets.

Competitive Landscape

NCMI's primary advantage is its scale and exclusive partnerships with major exhibitors. Its disadvantage lies in its dependence on the health of the cinema industry. Competitors are often individual cinema chains selling their own ad inventory, or smaller advertising networks.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: NCM's historical growth has been closely tied to the growth of the cinema industry and its ability to secure and renew advertising contracts with major exhibitors. Recent years have seen challenges due to external factors impacting cinema attendance.

Future Projections: Future growth projections for NCM are contingent on the recovery of the cinema industry, its success in expanding its DOOH network, and its ability to innovate in advertising solutions. Analyst estimates would provide a forward-looking view.

Recent Initiatives: NCM has focused on optimizing its existing business, expanding its DOOH offerings, and exploring new advertising technologies and partnership models to adapt to evolving market conditions.

Summary

National CineMedia Inc (NCMI) is the dominant player in US in-theater advertising with a strong market position and captive audience. However, its reliance on cinema attendance makes it vulnerable to industry downturns and competition from streaming. Opportunities exist in expanding its DOOH network and developing innovative ad technologies. NCMI needs to proactively adapt to changing media consumption patterns to ensure long-term growth and stability.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • National CineMedia Inc. SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Financial news and data providers (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv, Yahoo Finance)
  • Industry reports on cinema and out-of-home advertising.

Disclaimers:

This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified financial advisor. Market share data for specific products may be estimated or qualitative due to proprietary nature. Financial data is subject to change and should be verified through official company filings.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

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About National CineMedia Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Centennial, CO, United States
IPO Launch date 2007-02-08
CEO & Director Mr. Thomas F. Lesinski
Sector Communication Services
Industry Advertising Agencies
Full time employees 254
Full time employees 254

National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. It engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment show seen on movie screens; and sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other forms of advertising and promotions in theatre lobbies. The company also sells digital advertising, including through NCM Boost and Boomerang; and through digital gaming products, including Noovie Trivia app. It offers its services to third-party theater circuits under long-term network affiliate agreements. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.