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Upturn AI SWOT - About
National CineMedia Inc (NCMI)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/05/2025: NCMI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $6.38
1 Year Target Price $6.38
| 2 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -50.53% | Avg. Invested days 24 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 406.29M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.38 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.38 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.38 | 52 Weeks Range 4.03 - 7.46 | Updated Date 11/6/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 4.03 - 7.46 | Updated Date 11/6/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.40% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.16 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-10-31 | When - | Estimate -0.01 | Actual 0.017 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -6.43% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2.84% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -2.24% | Return on Equity (TTM) -4.13% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 35.84 | Enterprise Value 377187533 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.72 |
Enterprise Value 377187533 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.72 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.07 | Shares Outstanding 93831167 | Shares Floating 65592677 |
Shares Outstanding 93831167 | Shares Floating 65592677 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.17 | Percent Institutions 88.47 |
Upturn AI SWOT
National CineMedia Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI) was founded in 2005 through the merger of Regal CineMedia, AMC MovieMedia, and Cinemark Media. It has evolved into the largest cinema advertising network in the U.S.
Core Business Areas
- Cinema Advertising: This segment focuses on providing advertising services before movies in theaters. This includes on-screen advertising, lobby promotions, and digital advertising within the cinema environment.
- Digital Out-of-Home (DOOH): Expanding beyond cinemas, NCMI offers DOOH advertising solutions in various locations, including retail spaces and entertainment venues. This allows advertisers to reach audiences outside the traditional cinema setting.
Leadership and Structure
Tom Lesinski serves as CEO. The company operates with a typical corporate structure, including departments for sales, marketing, operations, finance, and technology.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- On-Screen Advertising: This is NCMI's core product, delivering commercials and branded content on movie theater screens before films. NCMI has significant market share in the cinema advertising space. Competitors include Screenvision Media and smaller regional cinema advertising networks. Revenue is directly tied to theater attendance and advertising rates.
- Lobby Entertainment Network: Provides digital displays and interactive kiosks in cinema lobbies for advertising and promotions. Market share is growing as cinemas upgrade their facilities. Competitors include other digital signage providers. Revenue generation is from advertisers displaying content on these screens.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The cinema advertising industry is closely linked to movie theater attendance and advertising spending. The industry is rebounding after disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic but faces challenges from alternative entertainment options and changes in advertising trends.
Positioning
NCMI is the largest player in the U.S. cinema advertising market, offering a wide network of theaters and diverse advertising solutions. Its size and scale provide a competitive advantage in attracting national advertisers.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for cinema advertising is estimated to be around $1 billion. NCMI holds a significant portion of this market, but it faces competition and must adapt to changing advertising trends and audience preferences.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Largest cinema advertising network
- Established relationships with major theater chains
- Diverse advertising solutions
- National reach
Weaknesses
- Dependence on movie theater attendance
- Vulnerability to economic downturns
- High debt levels
- Limited diversification beyond cinema advertising
Opportunities
- Expansion into digital out-of-home (DOOH) advertising
- Growth in streaming services providing ad inventory
- Increased demand for targeted advertising
- Strategic partnerships with content creators
Threats
- Decline in movie theater attendance
- Competition from alternative advertising platforms
- Changing consumer preferences
- Economic recession
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- SCRN
- PRIVATE COMPANIES
Competitive Landscape
NCMI has a size advantage, but SCRN is a notable competitor, and the company must innovate and diversify to maintain its market position.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: NCMI's growth has been limited in recent years due to industry challenges and financial difficulties.
Future Projections: Future growth is uncertain. Analyst estimates vary depending on the company's ability to adapt to market changes and improve its financial performance.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives have focused on cost reduction, debt restructuring, and expanding into new advertising channels.
Summary
National CineMedia is the largest cinema advertising network, but its financial health is questionable. While its size is a strength, its reliance on theater attendance is a weakness, as is their debt. Diversification into DOOH is positive, but it needs to improve revenue and adapt to evolving advertising trends to secure its future.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings, market research reports, industry publications.
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and investment decisions should be based on thorough research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About National CineMedia Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Centennial, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-02-08 | CEO & Director Mr. Thomas F. Lesinski | ||
Sector Communication Services | Industry Advertising Agencies | Full time employees 254 | Website https://www.ncm.com |
Full time employees 254 | Website https://www.ncm.com | ||
National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. It engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment show seen on movie screens; and sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other forms of advertising and promotions in theatre lobbies. The company also sells digital advertising, including through NCM Boost and Boomerang; and through digital gaming products, including Noovie Trivia app. It offers its services to third-party theater circuits under long-term network affiliate agreements. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.

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