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National CineMedia Inc (NCMI)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: NCMI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $6
1 Year Target Price $6
| 2 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -54.07% | Avg. Invested days 24 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 357.50M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.37 | 52 Weeks Range 3.73 - 7.07 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 3.73 - 7.07 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.59% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.16 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -6.43% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2.84% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -2.21% | Return on Equity (TTM) -4.13% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 126.58 | Enterprise Value 338596746 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.51 |
Enterprise Value 338596746 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.51 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.43 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.44 | Shares Outstanding 93831167 | Shares Floating 65546700 |
Shares Outstanding 93831167 | Shares Floating 65546700 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.14 | Percent Institutions 94.43 |
Upturn AI SWOT
National CineMedia Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
National CineMedia Inc. (NCM) was formed in 2005 as a joint venture between Regal Entertainment Group, Cinemark USA, and AMC Entertainment Inc. It is the largest in-theater advertising company in the United States. NCM's primary business is selling advertising space on the movie screen before the main feature, as well as pre-show content and lobby advertising. Over the years, NCM has adapted to the changing media landscape, expanding its offerings beyond traditional in-theater ads.
Core Business Areas
- In-Theater Advertising: NCM's core business involves selling advertising time and space on the big screen before movies, including national and local ad campaigns, movie pre-shows, and digital lobby displays. They leverage their exclusive network of cinema screens across the US.
- Digital and Experiential Marketing: Beyond traditional ads, NCM offers digital marketing solutions and experiential activations within movie theaters to engage audiences beyond just the screen.
Leadership and Structure
National CineMedia Inc. is a publicly traded company governed by a Board of Directors. The executive leadership team is responsible for the day-to-day operations and strategic direction. Specific names and titles can be found in their latest SEC filings, but generally include a CEO, CFO, and heads of various operational and sales divisions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Description: This is NCM's flagship product, offering advertisers a premium slot on the movie screen before the feature presentation. It includes :07, :15, :30, and :60 second spots. This aims to capture the attention of a captive and engaged audience. Competitors include other out-of-home advertising mediums and digital platforms, but NCM holds a dominant position for in-theater advertising specifically.
- Market Share: NCM holds virtually 100% of the national in-theater advertising market due to its exclusive agreements with major cinema chains.
- Product Name 1: FirstLook / Present - In-Theater Pre-Show Advertising
- Description: NCM also offers advertising opportunities on digital screens located in cinema lobbies. This allows for more dynamic and interactive advertising content. Competitors would include other digital out-of-home advertising networks.
- Market Share: While NCM is a major player in lobby advertising, specific market share figures are less defined than their screen advertising dominance.
- Product Name 2: Lobby Digital Displays
- Description: NCM partners with brands to create unique in-theater experiences, such as branded content, interactive displays, and event sponsorships. This is a growing area for NCM to offer more immersive brand engagement. Competitors are experiential marketing agencies and event organizers.
- Market Share: This is a niche and growing segment, with market share not readily quantifiable as a distinct category.
- Product Name 3: Experiential Marketing & Custom Content
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The out-of-home advertising industry, particularly cinema advertising, faces a dynamic environment. While traditional cinema advertising offers a unique captive audience, it's impacted by movie attendance trends and competition from digital media. The industry is evolving to incorporate digital technologies and experiential marketing to remain relevant.
Positioning
NCM is the dominant leader in the national in-theater advertising space, benefiting from exclusive agreements with major cinema chains. Their competitive advantage lies in their vast network of screens, their ability to deliver a captive audience, and their established relationships with advertisers.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for cinema advertising is a subset of the broader out-of-home (OOH) advertising market. The global OOH advertising market is projected to reach tens of billions of dollars annually. NCM's TAM is primarily focused on the US cinema advertising segment, which is a significant portion of the domestic OOH market. NCM is positioned to capture a substantial share of this specific TAM due to its market dominance.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Dominant market share in national in-theater advertising.
- Exclusive agreements with major cinema exhibitors.
- Access to a captive and engaged audience.
- Strong relationships with national advertisers.
- Brand recognition and established platform.
Weaknesses
- Dependence on movie attendance, which can be volatile.
- Competition from digital and streaming services for audience attention and ad dollars.
- Potential for technological disruption in the cinema experience.
- Relatively limited diversification beyond in-theater advertising.
Opportunities
- Growth in experiential marketing and custom content solutions.
- Leveraging data analytics to offer more targeted advertising.
- Expanding digital offerings beyond the cinema screen.
- Partnerships with emerging content creators and platforms.
- Potential for international expansion or new market entry.
Threats
- Declining movie attendance due to streaming services and changing consumer habits.
- Economic downturns impacting advertising budgets.
- Technological advancements in home entertainment.
- Changes in exhibitor agreements or new competitors entering the market.
- Shifting advertising trends towards digital and social media.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Cinedigm Corp (CIDM)
- Others in the broader Out-of-Home (OOH) advertising space such as Lamar Advertising Company (LAMR) and Outfront Media Inc. (OUT). However, for direct in-theater advertising, NCM is the dominant player.
Competitive Landscape
NCM's primary competitive advantage is its near-monopoly in the national in-theater advertising space due to exclusive contracts. Its disadvantages stem from its reliance on the volatile movie exhibition industry and increasing competition from digital media for advertiser spend. While competitors exist, they operate on a much smaller scale or in adjacent OOH advertising segments.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: NCM's historical growth has been closely tied to the performance of the cinema industry and the broader advertising market. Periods of robust movie attendance and strong advertiser demand have driven growth, while challenges such as the rise of digital media and shifts in consumer behavior have presented headwinds. The company has sought to diversify its offerings to mitigate these fluctuations.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for NCM are contingent on various factors, including the recovery and sustained success of the theatrical film industry, the company's ability to innovate in digital and experiential marketing, and the overall advertising market conditions. Analyst estimates for future revenue and earnings are available through financial research platforms.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives for NCM likely focus on enhancing their digital advertising capabilities, developing new content partnerships, and exploring innovative ways to engage audiences within the cinema environment. This could include investments in technology and strategic collaborations to expand their service offerings and reach.
Summary
National CineMedia Inc. commands a dominant position in the niche in-theater advertising market, leveraging its exclusive network of cinema screens. Its core strength lies in its captive audience and established advertiser relationships. However, the company faces significant threats from the decline in movie attendance and the growing dominance of digital media. To ensure future success, NCM must continue to innovate in digital and experiential marketing and adapt to evolving consumer entertainment habits.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations Filings (e.g., SEC filings)
- Reputable Financial Data Providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg)
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and general industry knowledge. Financial data and market share figures are subject to change and may not be exhaustive. This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About National CineMedia Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Centennial, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-02-08 | CEO & Director Mr. Thomas F. Lesinski | ||
Sector Communication Services | Industry Advertising Agencies | Full time employees 254 | Website https://www.ncm.com |
Full time employees 254 | Website https://www.ncm.com | ||
National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. It engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment show seen on movie screens; and sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other forms of advertising and promotions in theatre lobbies. The company also sells digital advertising, including through NCM Boost and Boomerang; and through digital gaming products, including Noovie Trivia app. It offers its services to third-party theater circuits under long-term network affiliate agreements. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.

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