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Nextdecade Corp (NEXT)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2025: NEXT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $9.67
1 Year Target Price $9.67
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -46.26% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.40B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2 | Beta 1.9 | 52 Weeks Range 4.99 - 12.12 | Updated Date 01/2/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 4.99 - 12.12 | Updated Date 01/2/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.74 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -1.85% | Return on Equity (TTM) -1.27% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 7942091420 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 7942091420 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 193.14 | Shares Outstanding 264801408 | Shares Floating 128582268 |
Shares Outstanding 264801408 | Shares Floating 128582268 | ||
Percent Insiders 45.46 | Percent Institutions 44.82 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Nextdecade Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Nextdecade Corporation (NASDAQ: NEXT) is a holding company that operates through its subsidiaries. It was incorporated in 2003. Its primary focus is on developing and operating liquefied natural gas (LNG) export facilities. A significant milestone was the development of the Rio Grande LNG project in Texas. The company has evolved from a broader energy infrastructure development company to a more specialized LNG export developer.
Core Business Areas
- LNG Export Development: Nextdecade is focused on the development, construction, and operation of LNG export facilities. This involves securing natural gas supply, obtaining regulatory approvals, financing construction, and ultimately exporting LNG to international markets.
- Natural Gas Infrastructure: While its primary focus is LNG, Nextdecade's projects inherently involve aspects of natural gas gathering, processing, and transportation to its export terminals.
Leadership and Structure
Nextdecade Corporation is led by a management team with experience in energy infrastructure and project development. The organizational structure is centered around its project development efforts, particularly for its flagship Rio Grande LNG facility. Specific details on the current leadership team can be found in their latest investor relations reports and SEC filings.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Rio Grande LNG Export Facility: The flagship offering is the planned Rio Grande LNG export facility in Brownsville, Texas. This project aims to be one of the largest LNG export facilities in the world, with multiple trains designed to liquefy and export natural gas. The project's success is crucial for Nextdecade's revenue generation. Competitors include other US-based LNG export terminals and international LNG producers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The global LNG market is experiencing significant growth driven by increasing demand for cleaner energy sources, particularly in Asia, and the U.S.'s advantage in abundant and competitively priced natural gas. The industry is capital-intensive, with long-term contracts being a key feature. However, it is also subject to geopolitical risks, price volatility, and environmental regulations.
Positioning
Nextdecade is positioned as a developer of large-scale, export-oriented LNG facilities in the United States, leveraging the country's shale gas revolution. Its competitive advantage lies in its strategic location, access to natural gas reserves, and the potential for significant economies of scale with its proposed large-scale facilities. However, it faces competition from established players with existing infrastructure and ongoing projects.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global LNG market is projected to be hundreds of billions of dollars annually and continues to grow. Nextdecade's TAM is a portion of this global market that can be served by U.S. LNG exports. The company is positioned to capture a share of this market through its export terminal capacity, but its success depends on project execution and securing offtake agreements.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Access to abundant and competitively priced U.S. natural gas.
- Strategic location of its flagship Rio Grande LNG project.
- Potential for economies of scale with large-scale facility development.
- Experienced management team in project development.
Weaknesses
- Significant capital requirements for project development and construction.
- Reliance on securing long-term offtake agreements for project financing.
- Project execution risk and potential for delays and cost overruns.
- Current lack of operating revenue from its core LNG export business.
Opportunities
- Growing global demand for LNG as a transition fuel.
- Increasing energy needs in emerging markets.
- Potential for expansion of its existing projects or development of new facilities.
- Advancements in liquefaction technology.
Threats
- Volatility in global LNG prices.
- Competition from other LNG export projects globally and within the U.S.
- Changes in U.S. energy policy or export regulations.
- Environmental concerns and regulatory hurdles.
- Geopolitical instability affecting global energy markets.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Sempra Energy (SRE)
- Cheniere Energy (LNG)
- Tellurian Inc. (TELL)
- Venture Global LNG
Competitive Landscape
Nextdecade faces stiff competition from established LNG players like Cheniere Energy, which has operational facilities and a proven track record. Sempra Energy is also a significant player with its own LNG export projects. Tellurian is another competitor focused on developing LNG facilities. Nextdecade's advantage lies in its potentially lower cost structure and large-scale ambition, but it lags behind competitors in terms of operational history and secured offtake agreements.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth for Nextdecade has been primarily in project development milestones, securing permits, and advancing engineering and construction phases for its LNG facilities. Financial growth in terms of revenue and profit has been minimal due to its development stage.
Future Projections: Future projections are heavily contingent on the successful completion and operation of the Rio Grande LNG project. Analyst estimates would focus on projected revenues and profitability once the facility is operational, as well as the potential for further project expansions. These projections are subject to significant assumptions regarding construction timelines, market prices, and offtake agreements.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have likely focused on securing additional financing, finalizing engineering and procurement contracts, and obtaining necessary permits for the Rio Grande LNG project. This could also include strategic partnerships or securing binding offtake agreements with potential customers.
Summary
Nextdecade Corp is a company in the development stage of large-scale LNG export facilities, primarily its Rio Grande LNG project. Its strengths lie in its strategic location and access to U.S. natural gas, while its weaknesses include significant capital needs and project execution risks. The growing global demand for LNG presents a significant opportunity, but competition and market volatility are key threats. The company's success hinges on its ability to secure financing and offtake agreements to bring its projects online.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Nextdecade Corporation SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Company Investor Relations
- Reputable Financial News Outlets
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified financial advisor and conducting independent research. Market share data for a development-stage company is an estimation of its potential market presence upon project completion.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Nextdecade Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Houston, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-06-04 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Matthew K. Schatzman | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | Full time employees 237 | Website https://www.next-decade.com |
Full time employees 237 | Website https://www.next-decade.com | ||
NextDecade Corporation, an energy company, engages in the construction and development activities related to the liquefaction of natural gas in the United States. The company focuses on the development activities on the Rio Grande liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal facility located in the Port of Brownsville in southern Texas; and a carbon capture and storage project (CCS project) at the terminal, as well as on other CCS projects with third-party industrial facilities. It is also involved in sale of LNG; and capture and storage of CO2 emissions. The company was founded in 2010 is based in Houston, Texas.

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