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Nextdecade Corp (NEXT)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2026: NEXT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $9
1 Year Target Price $9
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.45B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2 | Beta 2.02 | 52 Weeks Range 4.75 - 12.12 | Updated Date 02/22/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 4.75 - 12.12 | Updated Date 02/22/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.74 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-02-25 | When - | Estimate -0.4733 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -1.85% | Return on Equity (TTM) -1.27% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 6874255823 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 6874255823 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.93 | Shares Outstanding 264801408 | Shares Floating 128320114 |
Shares Outstanding 264801408 | Shares Floating 128320114 | ||
Percent Insiders 45.51 | Percent Institutions 43.43 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Nextdecade Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Nextdecade Corporation (NASDAQ: NEXT) is a leading industrial development company focused on creating large-scale, sustainable infrastructure projects, primarily in the United States. Founded in 2017, the company's flagship project is the Rio Grande LNG export facility in South Texas, aiming to be one of the largest LNG export facilities in the world. Nextdecade has evolved into a significant player in the energy transition landscape by focusing on decarbonized energy solutions and infrastructure.
Core Business Areas
- Rio Grande LNG (RGLNG): Development and construction of a large-scale liquefied natural gas (LNG) export facility located in Brownsville, Texas. This project is designed to liquefy natural gas for export to global markets, with a focus on utilizing low-carbon technologies. It's the company's primary operational focus.
- GasBrasil: A proposed joint venture aimed at developing an LNG regasification terminal and distribution infrastructure in Brazil. This represents an expansion into international markets for importing LNG.
- Rio Grande City Terminal (RGCT): An associated infrastructure project for RGLNG, this terminal aims to provide pipeline access for natural gas supply to the RGLNG facility.
Leadership and Structure
Nextdecade Corporation is led by a management team with extensive experience in energy infrastructure development, finance, and operations. Key leadership roles include CEO, CFO, Chief Operating Officer, and heads of project development and engineering. The company operates with a project-centric structure, with dedicated teams managing the development and execution of its major infrastructure projects.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Export Capacity: The core offering is the liquefaction and export of natural gas. Nextdecade's Rio Grande LNG facility is designed to have significant export capacity, with multiple trains planned. Market share is not directly applicable to an infrastructure developer in this manner, but their ambition is to be a top-tier global LNG exporter. Competitors include other major LNG export terminal developers globally and domestically.
- Decarbonized Energy Solutions: A growing focus on integrating carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) and other decarbonization technologies into its projects. This is a strategic differentiator rather than a direct product with market share.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The global energy infrastructure sector, particularly LNG, is experiencing significant growth driven by increasing demand for natural gas, especially in Asia, and a global push for energy security and transition. The development of new export facilities is crucial to meeting this demand. The industry is also increasingly focused on sustainability and decarbonization, with significant investment flowing into cleaner energy solutions.
Positioning
Nextdecade is positioned as a developer of large-scale, export-oriented LNG infrastructure with a stated commitment to low-carbon solutions. Its strategic location in South Texas provides access to abundant natural gas supply and proximity to key shipping lanes. The company's focus on integrating carbon capture technology aims to differentiate it in a market where environmental considerations are becoming paramount.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for LNG export capacity is substantial and growing, driven by global demand for cleaner, more reliable energy sources. Estimates vary, but the global LNG market is projected to reach hundreds of billions of dollars annually in the coming decades. Nextdecade is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market with its large-scale, strategically located facilities, aiming to be a key supplier to international markets.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strategic location in South Texas with access to abundant natural gas reserves and established pipeline infrastructure.
- Focus on large-scale, world-class LNG export capacity.
- Commitment to integrating decarbonization technologies like carbon capture, differentiating from competitors.
- Experienced management team with a track record in energy infrastructure development.
Weaknesses
- Significant capital intensity of projects, requiring substantial financing and long-term offtake agreements.
- Project execution risk, including construction timelines, costs, and regulatory approvals.
- Reliance on commodity prices for natural gas and LNG.
- Still in the development and construction phase for its flagship RGLNG project, with limited operational history.
Opportunities
- Growing global demand for LNG as a transition fuel and for energy security.
- Increasing global focus on decarbonization and demand for lower-carbon energy solutions.
- Potential for expansion into new markets, such as Brazil with GasBrasil.
- Strategic partnerships and joint ventures to de-risk and finance projects.
Threats
- Volatility in natural gas prices and global LNG market dynamics.
- Increasing regulatory scrutiny and environmental activism related to fossil fuel projects.
- Competition from other existing and planned LNG export facilities globally.
- Geopolitical risks and trade disputes impacting global energy markets.
- Technological advancements in renewable energy that could reduce long-term demand for LNG.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Sempra Energy (US Stock Symbol: SRE)
- Tellurian Inc. (US Stock Symbol: TELL)
- Cheniere Energy, Inc. (US Stock Symbol: LNG)
Competitive Landscape
Nextdecade competes with established players and other emerging LNG export developers. Its competitive advantages lie in its large-scale project design, strategic location, and proactive approach to decarbonization. However, it faces challenges from the significant capital requirements and the need to secure long-term contracts against established, often lower-cost competitors and those with existing operational infrastructure.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Nextdecade's historical growth has been characterized by project development, securing permits, and advancing engineering and construction for its Rio Grande LNG facility. This has involved significant milestones in financing, offtake agreements, and partnerships.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are contingent on the successful completion and operation of the Rio Grande LNG facility and potential expansion projects like GasBrasil. Analyst projections will focus on the ramp-up of export capacity, achievable offtake volumes, and the impact of decarbonization initiatives on market competitiveness.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include advancing the final investment decision (FID) for the Rio Grande LNG project, securing additional offtake agreements, and focusing on the integration of carbon capture technology to enhance the project's sustainability profile.
Summary
Nextdecade Corp is a developing energy infrastructure company with a strong focus on large-scale LNG export. Its primary asset, Rio Grande LNG, is strategically located and aims to incorporate decarbonization technologies, a key differentiator. While facing significant capital demands and project execution risks, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on growing global LNG demand. Success hinges on securing sufficient financing and long-term offtake agreements.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Company Investor Relations Materials
- Financial News and Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This information is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Stock market investments are subject to risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Nextdecade Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Houston, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-06-04 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Matthew K. Schatzman | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | Full time employees 237 | Website https://www.next-decade.com |
Full time employees 237 | Website https://www.next-decade.com | ||
NextDecade Corporation, an energy company, engages in the construction and development activities related to the liquefaction of natural gas in the United States. The company focuses on the development activities on the Rio Grande liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal facility located in the Port of Brownsville in southern Texas; and a carbon capture and storage project (CCS project) at the terminal, as well as on other CCS projects with third-party industrial facilities. It is also involved in sale of LNG; and capture and storage of CO2 emissions. The company was founded in 2010 is based in Houston, Texas.

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