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Nektar Therapeutics(NKTR)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
3-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$59.38
09/24/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NKTR

09/24/2026: NKTR (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Nektar Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company that leverages proprietary polymer chemistry to develop therapeutics for immunology and oncology. The company’s core strength lies in its specialized platform technology, which it uses to pursue niche medical treatments in high-need areas. Its primary investment story hinges on the success of late-stage clinical candidates like REZPEG, which represent its main growth opportunity. However, investors face substantial risks, including a high cash burn rate, potential clinical trial failures, and intense competition from large-cap pharmaceutical firms. The stock is best suited for risk-tolerant, growth-oriented investors who are capable of monitoring clinical data readouts and long-term regulatory developments.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitInvestors focused on long-term growth may find the company's clinical-stage pipeline attractive, though the path to commercialization is uncertain.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveMomentum investors may find the stock attractive during periods of positive clinical news flow, provided the upward trend is confirmed.
Value investorWeak fitThe lack of consistent earnings and the clinical nature of the business make it a poor fit for traditional value-based investment strategies.
Dividend investorWeak fitNektar does not pay a dividend and requires significant capital for development, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe company's reliance on successful drug development creates high volatility, which is generally unsuitable for low-risk investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighClinical-stage biotechnology stocks often experience sharp price swings based on trial results and regulatory news.
Valuation riskMedium / highValuations are difficult to anchor without commercial revenue, making stock prices sensitive to shifts in market sentiment.
Competition risk (Large-cap pharma)HighNektar faces significant pressure from well-funded rivals that can outspend and out-market competing therapies.
Business qualityMediumWhile the platform technology is well-regarded, the business relies on high-risk, long-cycle R&D success.
Dividend incomeLow / noneNo dividends are paid, so investors rely entirely on capital appreciation.
Execution riskHighSuccessful clinical execution and regulatory approval are the singular most important factors for the company's future value.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 255.59%
Avg. Invested days 36
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/24/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
NKTR receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
NKTR has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-37.9%), soft cash generation (FCF margin -377.8%), negative revenue growth (-43.9%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
NKTR's financial health is supported by moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 75.9%). Cash strength is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
NKTR's growth profile is soft, with the least-weak measure being free-cash-flow growth at -17.8% FY2025 versus FY2024. By comparison, while revenue growth (-43.9%, negative) and earnings growth (-37.9%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 106.9% and approximately 83.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.35%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

FMR Inc 12.60%
Bvf Inc 7.50%
Two Seas Capital LP 5.74%
Two Sigma Investments LLC 3.52%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 3.51%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
NKTR generates approximately $1,000 of gross profit, $-2,368 of operating income, and $-3,778 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.08%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
NKTR has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Small / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.03B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 141.4
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 141.4
Volume (30-day avg) 936.3K shares
Beta 1.15
52 Weeks Range 33.40 - 109.00
Updated Date 09/24/2026
52 Weeks Range 33.40 - 109.00
Updated Date 09/24/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -6.29

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Collaboration and LicensingPayments from partners for the development of drug candidates and intellectual property licensing fees.Revenue is unpredictable and driven by research achievements rather than steady product sales.
RoyaltiesLegacy royalty streams from previously out-licensed products developed using Nektar's platform.This provides a small but established base of income, though it is not the company's primary focus.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 34.01
Enterprise Value 1.36B
Price to Sales(TTM) 37.14
Enterprise Value 1.36B
Price to Sales(TTM) 37.14
Enterprise Value to Revenue 24.99
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.5
Shares Outstanding 34.14M
Shares Floating 28.54M
Shares Outstanding 34.14M
Shares Floating 28.54M
Percent Insiders 0.35
Percent Institutions 106.92

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Nektar Therapeutics

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters San Francisco, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 1994-05-03
CEO, President & Director Mr. Howard W. Robin
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 63
Full time employees 63

Nektar Therapeutics, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering and developing medicines in the field of immunotherapy in the United States and internationally. It develops rezpegaldesleukin, which is in Phase 2b to treat underlying immune system imbalance in people with autoimmune disorders and inflammatory diseases; NKTR-0165 to treat ulcerative colitis, vitiligo, and multiple sclerosis; NKTR-0166 to treat autoimmune disease; NKTR-422 to treat fibrotic diseases; and NKTR-255 to treat solid tumors and large b-cell lymphoma. It has collaboration agreements with Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Ltd.; AstraZeneca AB; UCB Pharma; F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd; Bausch Health Companies Inc.; Pfizer Inc.; UCB Pharma (Biogen); Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; and Merck KGaA. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.