Nektar Therapeutics logo

Nektar Therapeutics(NKTR)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
3-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$37.22
10/23/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NKTR

10/23/2026: NKTR (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Nektar Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company that aims to innovate in the oncology and immunology space using its proprietary technology. Its primary strength lies in its specialized research and development platform, which has historically attracted major pharmaceutical partnerships. The current investment story centers on the clinical progress of candidates like rezpegaldesleukin, which could offer significant upside if proven successful. However, the company faces substantial risks including high financial burn rates, dependency on external funding, and the binary risk of clinical trial outcomes. This stock is generally suited for risk-tolerant investors who monitor clinical trial data readouts as the primary indicator of long-term viability.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorWeak fitThe company is in a developmental stage with significant clinical risk rather than proven, scalable growth.
Momentum investorWeak fitMomentum is typically low without major, sustained positive clinical data or significant market breakouts.
Value investorWeak fitValuation is difficult to ascertain given the lack of consistent earnings and dependency on speculative pipeline success.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay dividends and focuses all capital on R&D.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe speculative nature of biotechnology R&D makes this a high-risk investment.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighClinical trial results frequently cause massive, sudden swings in stock price.
Valuation riskHighDifficult to justify valuation without revenue-generating assets.
Competition risk (Large-cap Pharma)HighWell-funded competitors can out-develop or out-market Nektar's pipeline.
Business qualityMediumThe company has a long history and strong underlying technology platforms despite current financial challenges.
Dividend incomeLow / noneNo income is returned to shareholders.
Execution riskHighSuccess depends entirely on the outcomes of complex and uncertain clinical trials.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 193.95%
Avg. Invested days 30
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/23/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
NKTR receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
NKTR has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-37.9%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -377.8%), negative revenue growth (-43.9%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
NKTR's financial health is supported by moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 75.9%). Cash strength is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
NKTR's growth profile is soft, with the least-weak measure being free-cash-flow growth at -17.8% FY2025 versus FY2024. By comparison, while revenue growth (-43.9%, negative) and earnings growth (-37.9%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 107.1% and approximately 82.8% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.38%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

FMR Inc 14.84%
BlackRock Inc 8.62%
Bvf Inc 7.00%
Two Seas Capital LP 5.74%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.38%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
NKTR generates approximately $1,000 of gross profit, $-2,368 of operating income, and $-3,778 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.08%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
NKTR has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.27B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 133.08
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 133.08
Volume (30-day avg) 1.7M shares
Beta 1.27
52 Weeks Range 33.40 - 109.00
Updated Date 10/23/2026
52 Weeks Range 33.40 - 109.00
Updated Date 10/23/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -18.96

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Research and CollaborationCollaborative agreements, milestone payments, and potential future royalties from drug delivery partnerships.Nektar makes money primarily through R&D partnerships, meaning their revenue is unpredictable and milestone-driven.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 34.01
Enterprise Value 1.78B
Price to Sales(TTM) 23.28
Enterprise Value 1.78B
Price to Sales(TTM) 23.28
Enterprise Value to Revenue 32.53
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.5
Shares Outstanding 34.14M
Shares Floating 28.28M
Shares Outstanding 34.14M
Shares Floating 28.28M
Percent Insiders 0.38
Percent Institutions 107.06

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.