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NMI Holdings Inc (NMIH)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: NMIH (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $44.86
1 Year Target Price $44.86
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 13.49% | Avg. Invested days 46 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.14B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.45 | 1Y Target Price 44.86 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.45 | 1Y Target Price 44.86 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 7 | Beta 0.66 | 52 Weeks Range 31.90 - 43.20 | Updated Date 01/10/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 31.90 - 43.20 | Updated Date 01/10/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.79 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 55.02% | Operating Margin (TTM) 73.21% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.19% | Return on Equity (TTM) 16.17% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.45 | Forward PE 7.7 | Enterprise Value 3397722725 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.54 |
Enterprise Value 3397722725 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.54 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.91 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 76867928 | Shares Floating 75697229 |
Shares Outstanding 76867928 | Shares Floating 75697229 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.95 | Percent Institutions 99.34 |
Upturn AI SWOT
NMI Holdings Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
NMI Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: NMIH) is a leading private mortgage insurance (PMI) provider in the United States. Founded in 2012 and headquartered in Emeryville, California, it began operations shortly thereafter. A significant milestone was its initial public offering (IPO) in 2014, which provided capital for expansion. The company has evolved by focusing on technology and underwriting to become a major player in the PMI market, serving lenders and facilitating homeownership for borrowers with lower down payments.
Core Business Areas
- Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI): NMI Holdings, through its wholly-owned subsidiary National Mortgage Insurance Corporation (NMI), provides mortgage insurance for residential mortgages. This insurance protects lenders against losses if a borrower defaults on their mortgage. NMI focuses on providing this crucial risk mitigation tool to originators of mortgage loans, enabling them to lend to a broader range of borrowers.
Leadership and Structure
NMI Holdings, Inc. is led by a seasoned management team. The exact members and their roles are subject to change, but typically include a Chief Executive Officer (CEO), Chief Financial Officer (CFO), Chief Operating Officer (COO), and other senior executives overseeing underwriting, sales, risk management, and technology. The company operates as a holding company with its primary operating subsidiary being National Mortgage Insurance Corporation.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI): NMI provides essential private mortgage insurance that covers a portion of the unpaid principal balance of a mortgage loan in the event of borrower default. This product is critical for lenders to originate mortgages for borrowers who have less than 20% equity in their homes. Market share data for individual PMI products is typically not disclosed by companies, but NMI is recognized as a significant player in the US PMI market. Competitors include major mortgage insurers like MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG), Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT), and Radian Group Inc. (RDN).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The private mortgage insurance industry is closely tied to the U.S. housing market and interest rate environment. It thrives when there is a high volume of mortgage originations, particularly for first-time homebuyers and those with limited down payments. The industry is also regulated, with specific requirements for capital reserves and risk management. Key trends include the increasing demand for housing, the role of technology in underwriting and claims processing, and the ongoing influence of government housing policies.
Positioning
NMI Holdings has established itself as a competitive provider of PMI, distinguishing itself through a focus on underwriting excellence, technological innovation, and strong customer relationships. Its ability to provide reliable insurance to lenders, backed by robust capital reserves, positions it favorably in a market that values security and efficiency. The company's growth has been driven by its strategic approach to risk assessment and its commitment to facilitating homeownership.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for private mortgage insurance is substantial, driven by the ongoing need for mortgage financing in the U.S. housing market, especially for borrowers with lower down payments. While specific TAM figures fluctuate with market conditions, it is estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars annually in terms of new insurance written. NMI Holdings, as a significant player, aims to capture a meaningful share of this market by serving a broad base of lenders and originating a consistent volume of insured mortgages.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong underwriting expertise and technology-driven risk assessment.
- Established relationships with a diverse base of mortgage lenders.
- Solid capital position and regulatory compliance.
- Focus on customer service and efficient claims processing.
- Experienced management team with industry knowledge.
Weaknesses
- Smaller market share compared to some larger, more established competitors.
- Reliance on the cyclical U.S. housing market.
- Potential for increased regulatory scrutiny.
- Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations impacting mortgage refinancing.
Opportunities
- Continued growth in housing demand and homeownership.
- Expansion into new lender segments or geographic regions.
- Leveraging technology for improved operational efficiency and customer experience.
- Potential for market consolidation.
- Government policies supporting affordable housing initiatives.
Threats
- Economic downturns leading to higher mortgage default rates.
- Increased competition from existing players and new entrants.
- Changes in housing finance regulations or government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) policies.
- Interest rate hikes impacting mortgage affordability and refinancing.
- Catastrophic events impacting housing markets.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG)
- Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT)
- Radian Group Inc. (RDN)
- Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) (though Arch also has significant insurance and reinsurance operations)
Competitive Landscape
NMI Holdings competes in a concentrated market with established players. Its advantages lie in its technological capabilities, agile underwriting, and focus on customer service. However, it faces the challenge of competing with larger, more diversified companies that may have greater scale and brand recognition. The ability to innovate and maintain strong risk management practices is crucial for NMI to sustain and grow its market position.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: NMI Holdings has experienced significant historical growth since its inception, expanding its customer base and increasing its volume of insured mortgages. This growth has been fueled by a strategic focus on technology, underwriting discipline, and building strong lender relationships. The company has successfully navigated the post-2008 housing market recovery and has become a recognized name in the PMI sector.
Future Projections: Future projections for NMI Holdings are generally positive, with analysts anticipating continued growth driven by the ongoing demand for housing and the essential nature of private mortgage insurance for a significant portion of the market. Expected growth is likely to be supported by the company's technological investments and its ability to adapt to evolving market dynamics.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include investments in advanced analytics and artificial intelligence for underwriting, enhancements to digital platforms for lenders, and strategic partnerships to expand market reach. The company is also expected to focus on maintaining its strong capital position and managing risk effectively.
Summary
NMI Holdings Inc. is a well-positioned private mortgage insurer benefiting from a strong housing market and its technological focus. Its strengths lie in underwriting and lender relationships, while opportunities exist in market expansion and technological advancement. However, the company faces threats from economic downturns and regulatory changes, and its smaller market share compared to giants like MGIC requires continuous innovation and risk management to maintain its growth trajectory.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations website
- Financial news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal)
- Financial data providers (e.g., Refinitiv, S&P Capital IQ)
- Industry analysis reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered as financial advice. Market share data is approximate and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About NMI Holdings Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters EmeryVille, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2013-11-08 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Adam S. Pollitzer | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance - Specialty | Full time employees 228 | Website https://www.nationalmi.com |
Full time employees 228 | Website https://www.nationalmi.com | ||
NMI Holdings, Inc. provides private mortgage guaranty insurance services in the United States. The company offers primary mortgage insurance services; and outsourced loan review services to mortgage loan originators. It serves national and regional mortgage banks, money center banks, credit unions, community banks, builder-owned mortgage lenders, internet-sourced lenders, and other non-bank lenders. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

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