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Upturn stock rating
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Nexpoint Real Estate Finance Inc (NREF)

Upturn stock rating
$13.6
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/15/2025: NREF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

3 Analysts rated it

Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.

1 Year Target Price $14.62

1 Year Target Price $14.62

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$14.62 Target price
52w Low $11.37
Current$13.6
52w High $15.95

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -4.83%
Avg. Invested days 51
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/15/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 301.12M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 4.99
1Y Target Price 14.62
Price to earnings Ratio 4.99
1Y Target Price 14.62
Volume (30-day avg) 3
Beta 1.29
52 Weeks Range 11.37 - 15.95
Updated Date 10/16/2025
52 Weeks Range 11.37 - 15.95
Updated Date 10/16/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 14.71%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.65

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 59.83%
Operating Margin (TTM) 70.73%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.45%
Return on Equity (TTM) 14.9%

Valuation

Trailing PE 4.99
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 5259073536
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.48
Enterprise Value 5259073536
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.48
Enterprise Value to Revenue 47.11
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 17721828
Shares Floating 10422030
Shares Outstanding 17721828
Shares Floating 10422030
Percent Insiders 6.9
Percent Institutions 68.99

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Nexpoint Real Estate Finance Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. was founded in 2012. It is a mortgage REIT focused on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans, mezzanine loans, and preferred equity investments. Initially managed externally by NexPoint Advisors, L.P., it transitioned to internal management in recent years. It is externally managed by NexPoint Real Estate Advisors VI, L.P.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Commercial Real Estate Lending: Focuses on originating and investing in commercial real estate debt, including first mortgages, mezzanine loans, and preferred equity.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

James Dondero serves as Chairman. The company is externally managed by NexPoint Real Estate Advisors VI, L.P. with a dedicated management team overseeing operations.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • First Mortgage Loans: Loans secured by commercial properties. Market share data is not publicly available, but it competes with other REITs and commercial lenders. Competitors: Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT), Starwood Property Trust (STWD).
  • Mezzanine Loans: Loans secured by equity in real estate projects. Market share data is not publicly available. Competitors: Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE), Ladder Capital Corp (LADR).
  • Preferred Equity Investments: Investments in preferred equity of real estate companies. Market share data is not publicly available. Competitors: Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI).

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The commercial real estate lending market is influenced by interest rates, economic growth, and property values. It is currently marked by uncertainty due to interest rate hikes and concerns about commercial property valuations.

Positioning

NXRT focuses on middle-market commercial real estate lending. Its expertise lies in structuring complex transactions.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The commercial real estate debt market is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars. NXRT is positioned to capture a portion of this TAM through its focused lending strategy.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Experienced management team
  • Focus on niche lending markets
  • Ability to structure complex transactions

Weaknesses

  • External management structure
  • Smaller market capitalization compared to peers
  • Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations

Opportunities

  • Growth in middle-market commercial real estate lending
  • Distressed debt opportunities
  • Expansion into new geographic markets

Threats

  • Rising interest rates
  • Economic recession
  • Increased competition

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • BXMT
  • STWD
  • ACRE
  • ARI

Competitive Landscape

NXRT is smaller than BXMT and STWD, giving the larger companies economies of scale. All compete on interest rates and loan structures.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: NXRT's historical growth has been tied to the commercial real estate lending market and its ability to originate new loans.

Future Projections: Future growth projections are not available without accessing analyst reports.

Recent Initiatives: NXRT has been focusing on managing its portfolio in the current environment of rising interest rates. They have been managing their existing loan portfolio and seeking strategic opportunities.

Summary

NexPoint Real Estate Finance operates in a competitive market and its performance is heavily influenced by interest rates and the health of commercial real estate. While it possesses strengths in specialized lending, its smaller size and external management structure present challenges. Recent initiatives have focused on managing its existing portfolio. Rising interest rates and economic uncertainty pose threats to its growth.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings
  • Analyst reports
  • Industry publications
  • SEC.gov

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Nexpoint Real Estate Finance Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Dallas, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-02-07
Chairman, President & CEO Mr. James David Dondero CFA, CPA
Sector Real Estate
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Full time employees 1
Full time employees 1

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a commercial mortgage real estate investment trust in the United States. It focuses on originating, structuring, and investing in first-lien mortgage loans, mezzanine loans, preferred equity, convertible notes, multifamily properties, and common equity investments, as well as multifamily and single-family rental commercial mortgage-backed securities securitizations, promissory notes, revolving credit facilities, and stock warrants or target assets. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) and would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Dallas, Texas.