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NVAX logo NVAX
Upturn stock rating
NVAX logo

Novavax Inc (NVAX)

Upturn stock rating
$8.52
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY-5.75%
upturn advisory
SELL
SELL since 2 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/24/2025: NVAX (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 2 days. Simulated Profits (-5.75%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

7 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $13.21

1 Year Target Price $13.21

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$13.21 Target price
52w Low $5.01
Current$8.52
52w High $11.55

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -80.33%
Avg. Invested days 20
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/24/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.38B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 3.84
1Y Target Price 13.21
Price to earnings Ratio 3.84
1Y Target Price 13.21
Volume (30-day avg) 7
Beta 2.75
52 Weeks Range 5.01 - 11.55
Updated Date 10/26/2025
52 Weeks Range 5.01 - 11.55
Updated Date 10/26/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.22

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 39.2%
Operating Margin (TTM) 44.17%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 14.52%
Return on Equity (TTM) -898.2%

Valuation

Trailing PE 3.84
Forward PE 2.58
Enterprise Value 1167312709
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.28
Enterprise Value 1167312709
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.28
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.08
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.36
Shares Outstanding 162421645
Shares Floating 136489405
Shares Outstanding 162421645
Shares Floating 136489405
Percent Insiders 8.75
Percent Institutions 58.58

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Novavax Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Novavax, Inc. was founded in 1987. Initially focused on developing novel vaccines, its early years involved research into various infectious diseases. A significant milestone was the development of its recombinant nanoparticle technology. The company has evolved to focus primarily on vaccines for infectious diseases, notably COVID-19.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Vaccine Development and Manufacturing: Novavax focuses on developing and manufacturing vaccines utilizing its recombinant nanoparticle technology. This includes research, clinical trials, manufacturing, and commercialization of vaccines.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Novavax is led by its President and CEO. The organizational structure includes departments for research and development, manufacturing, clinical trials, regulatory affairs, commercial operations, and finance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Nuvaxovid (COVID-19 Vaccine): Nuvaxovid is Novavax's COVID-19 vaccine utilizing recombinant nanoparticle technology. While initial market share was anticipated to be significant, it faces stiff competition from mRNA vaccines. Competitors include Pfizer (PFE) and Moderna (MRNA). The market share is estimated around 1-2% globally (highly variable and rapidly changing), and revenue is driven by supply contracts with governments and international organizations. Accurate numbers are difficult to pin down precisely given contract specifics and vaccine uptake rates.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The vaccine industry is characterized by high barriers to entry, stringent regulatory requirements, and intense competition. The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly increased demand for vaccines, but also intensified competition.

Positioning

Novavax is positioned as a developer of protein-based vaccines, offering an alternative to mRNA vaccines. Its competitive advantages lie in its established technology platform and potential for improved storage and handling compared to mRNA vaccines.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global vaccine market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Novavax is positioned to capture a portion of this market, primarily through COVID-19 and other vaccine development programs. The COVID-19 vaccine market is currently valued at approximately $50 billion annually, and although it is projected to decrease over time, it remains a significant opportunity.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology
  • Established manufacturing capabilities
  • Experienced management team
  • Supply agreements with various countries

Weaknesses

  • Late entry into the COVID-19 vaccine market
  • Dependence on a single product (COVID-19 vaccine)
  • Financial instability and reliance on government funding
  • Negative investor sentiment

Opportunities

  • Expansion into other vaccine markets (e.g., influenza, RSV)
  • Partnerships with pharmaceutical companies
  • Securing additional government contracts
  • Developing combination vaccines (e.g., COVID-19 and influenza)

Threats

  • Intense competition from established vaccine manufacturers
  • Evolving COVID-19 variants
  • Changes in government regulations
  • Supply chain disruptions

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • PFE
  • MRNA
  • JNJ
  • AZN

Competitive Landscape

Novavax faces significant competition from established players with greater resources and larger market share. Its success depends on differentiating its vaccine and securing supply agreements.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Growth has been primarily driven by the development and approval of its COVID-19 vaccine.

Future Projections: Future growth depends on the company's ability to secure additional vaccine contracts and expand into other markets. Analyst estimates are variable.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include seeking regulatory approval for its COVID-19 vaccine in new markets and developing combination vaccines.

Summary

Novavax is a biotechnology company focused on vaccine development, primarily known for its COVID-19 vaccine. While its technology holds promise, the company faces challenges due to intense competition, financial instability, and reliance on a single product. Expanding into new vaccine markets and securing additional contracts are crucial for its future success. Investors should carefully consider the risks associated with this volatile stock.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings (SEC)
  • Analyst reports
  • Industry publications
  • Market research reports

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Market share data is approximate and subject to change. Investment decisions should be based on thorough research and consultation with a financial advisor.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Novavax Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Gaithersburg, MD, United States
IPO Launch date 1995-12-05
President, CEO & Director Mr. John Charles Jacobs M.B.A.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 952
Full time employees 952

Novavax, Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in the discovering, developing, and commercializing vaccines to protect against serious infectious diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company offers vaccine platform that combines a recombinant protein approach, nanoparticle technology, and its patented Matrix-M adjuvant to enhance the immune response. The company is commercializing a COVID-19 vaccine, NVX-CoV2373 under the brand names of Nuvaxovid, Covovax, and Novavax COVID-19 Vaccine, adjuvanted for adult and adolescent populations as a primary series and for both homologous and heterologous booster indications. It also developing R21/Matrix-M adjuvant malaria vaccine. Novavax, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland.