NVAX official logo NVAX
NVAX 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
Novavax Inc (NVAX) company logo

Novavax Inc (NVAX)

Novavax Inc (NVAX) 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$6.66
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory logo
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock price based on last close icon Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W

Upturn Advisory Summary

12/09/2025: NVAX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 1 star rating for performance

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

2 star rating from financial analysts

7 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $12.67

1 Year Target Price $12.67

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$12.67 Target price
52w Low $5.01
Current$6.66
52w High $11.55

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -80.33%
Avg. Invested days 20
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 12/09/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.08B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 3.31
1Y Target Price 12.67
Price to earnings Ratio 3.31
1Y Target Price 12.67
Volume (30-day avg) 7
Beta 2.31
52 Weeks Range 5.01 - 11.55
Updated Date 12/9/2025
52 Weeks Range 5.01 - 11.55
Updated Date 12/9/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.01

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 32.1%
Operating Margin (TTM) -112.68%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 18.01%
Return on Equity (TTM) -898.2%

Valuation

Trailing PE 3.31
Forward PE 2.58
Enterprise Value 589989186
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.02
Enterprise Value 589989186
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.02
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.55
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.44
Shares Outstanding 162498995
Shares Floating 134905041
Shares Outstanding 162498995
Shares Floating 134905041
Percent Insiders 8.75
Percent Institutions 61.23

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Novavax Inc

Novavax Inc(NVAX) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Novavax, Inc. was founded in 1987 and is a biotechnology company focused on developing vaccines for serious infectious diseases. Key milestones include the development of its Matrix-Mu2122 adjuvant technology, and its significant efforts in developing a COVID-19 vaccine. The company has evolved from early-stage research to a clinical-stage and commercial-stage vaccine developer.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Vaccine Development and Commercialization: Novavax's core business revolves around the discovery, development, and commercialization of innovative vaccines. Their primary focus has been on proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology and the Matrix-Mu2122 adjuvant.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Novavax's leadership includes a CEO, Chief Medical Officer, Chief Scientific Officer, and other executive team members responsible for operations, finance, and R&D. The company is structured with distinct departments for research, clinical development, manufacturing, regulatory affairs, and commercialization.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Nuvaxovid (NVX-CoV2373): A recombinant nanoparticle COVID-19 vaccine. It has received emergency use authorizations and approvals in various regions globally. Competitors include Pfizer-BioNTech (Comirnaty), Moderna (Spikevax), Johnson & Johnson (Janssen COVID-19 Vaccine), and AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria).
  • RSV F Vaccine (RSV-F) Candidate: A preclinical vaccine candidate for Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) in infants and older adults, utilizing their recombinant nanoparticle technology. Competitors in the RSV vaccine space include Pfizer (Abrysvo) and GSK (Arexvy).

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The biotechnology and vaccine industry is characterized by significant R&D investment, stringent regulatory processes, and high competition. The global vaccine market is driven by public health needs, emerging infectious diseases, and advancements in vaccine technology.

Positioning

Novavax is positioned as a developer of protein-based subunit vaccines, offering an alternative to mRNA or viral vector technologies. Their key advantage lies in their proprietary recombinant nanoparticle technology and Matrix-Mu2122 adjuvant, which aims to enhance immune responses.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for vaccines is vast, encompassing global demand for infectious disease prevention. For COVID-19 vaccines alone, the TAM was in the tens of billions of dollars. Novavax's positioning with respect to this TAM is as a significant player offering a differentiated vaccine technology, though market share is influenced by existing dominant players and ongoing demand dynamics.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology
  • Matrix-Mu2122 adjuvant technology for enhanced immune response
  • Established manufacturing capabilities
  • Diverse pipeline of vaccine candidates

Weaknesses

  • Historical delays in product development and regulatory approvals
  • Reliance on a few key product candidates
  • Lower market share compared to established competitors in the COVID-19 vaccine market
  • Financial performance volatility

Opportunities

  • Development of vaccines for other infectious diseases (e.g., influenza, Zika)
  • Partnerships and collaborations for wider distribution and development
  • Addressing unmet needs in vaccine markets
  • Expansion into emerging markets

Threats

  • Intense competition from established vaccine manufacturers
  • Evolving regulatory landscape and approval pathways
  • Potential for new infectious disease outbreaks and shifting public health priorities
  • Economic downturns impacting healthcare spending
  • Challenges in manufacturing scale-up and supply chain disruptions

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Pfizer Inc. (PFE)
  • Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)
  • AstraZeneca PLC (AZN)

Competitive Landscape

Novavax faces strong competition from established pharmaceutical giants with extensive global reach and diversified vaccine portfolios. Its competitive advantage lies in its novel technology, but it must overcome market penetration challenges and demonstrate sustained commercial success.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Novavax experienced rapid growth in revenue and valuation during the peak demand for its COVID-19 vaccine, but has faced contraction as demand waned. Prior to COVID-19, it was a clinical-stage company with limited revenue.

Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be driven by the success of its RSV vaccine candidate and potential development of other vaccine programs. Analyst projections vary, with some anticipating modest growth as the company diversifies its portfolio.

Recent Initiatives: Novavax has focused on expanding the geographic reach of its COVID-19 vaccine, advancing its RSV vaccine candidate through regulatory review, and exploring new vaccine targets.

Summary

Novavax is a biotechnology company with innovative vaccine technology, particularly its Matrix-M adjuvant. While its COVID-19 vaccine achieved commercialization, it faces intense competition and has experienced revenue volatility. The company's future success hinges on the effective development and market penetration of its RSV vaccine and other pipeline candidates, requiring careful management of R&D costs and regulatory pathways to ensure long-term viability.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings (e.g., 10-K, 10-Q)
  • Financial news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
  • Industry analysis reports
  • Reputable financial data providers

Disclaimers:

This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share and financial data are estimates and subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Information icon warning about potential inaccuracies or hallucinations in Upturn AI-generated summaries AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Novavax Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Gaithersburg, MD, United States
IPO Launch date 1995-12-05
President, CEO & Director Mr. John Charles Jacobs M.B.A.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 952
Full time employees 952

Novavax, Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in the discovering, developing, and commercializing vaccines to protect against serious infectious diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company offers vaccine platform that combines a recombinant protein approach, nanoparticle technology, and its patented Matrix-M adjuvant to enhance the immune response. The company is commercializing a COVID-19 vaccine, NVX-CoV2373 under the brand names of Nuvaxovid, Covovax, and Novavax COVID-19 Vaccine, adjuvanted for adult and adolescent populations as a primary series and for both homologous and heterologous booster indications. It also developing R21/Matrix-M adjuvant malaria vaccine. Novavax, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland.