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Upturn AI SWOT - About
Novavax Inc (NVAX)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/24/2025: NVAX (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 2 days. Simulated Profits (-5.75%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $13.21
1 Year Target Price $13.21
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -80.33% | Avg. Invested days 20 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.38B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 3.84 | 1Y Target Price 13.21 |
Price to earnings Ratio 3.84 | 1Y Target Price 13.21 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 7 | Beta 2.75 | 52 Weeks Range 5.01 - 11.55 | Updated Date 10/26/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 5.01 - 11.55 | Updated Date 10/26/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.22 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 39.2% | Operating Margin (TTM) 44.17% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 14.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) -898.2% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 3.84 | Forward PE 2.58 | Enterprise Value 1167312709 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.28 |
Enterprise Value 1167312709 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.28 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.36 | Shares Outstanding 162421645 | Shares Floating 136489405 |
Shares Outstanding 162421645 | Shares Floating 136489405 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.75 | Percent Institutions 58.58 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Novavax Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Novavax, Inc. was founded in 1987. Initially focused on developing novel vaccines, its early years involved research into various infectious diseases. A significant milestone was the development of its recombinant nanoparticle technology. The company has evolved to focus primarily on vaccines for infectious diseases, notably COVID-19.
Core Business Areas
- Vaccine Development and Manufacturing: Novavax focuses on developing and manufacturing vaccines utilizing its recombinant nanoparticle technology. This includes research, clinical trials, manufacturing, and commercialization of vaccines.
Leadership and Structure
Novavax is led by its President and CEO. The organizational structure includes departments for research and development, manufacturing, clinical trials, regulatory affairs, commercial operations, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Nuvaxovid (COVID-19 Vaccine): Nuvaxovid is Novavax's COVID-19 vaccine utilizing recombinant nanoparticle technology. While initial market share was anticipated to be significant, it faces stiff competition from mRNA vaccines. Competitors include Pfizer (PFE) and Moderna (MRNA). The market share is estimated around 1-2% globally (highly variable and rapidly changing), and revenue is driven by supply contracts with governments and international organizations. Accurate numbers are difficult to pin down precisely given contract specifics and vaccine uptake rates.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The vaccine industry is characterized by high barriers to entry, stringent regulatory requirements, and intense competition. The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly increased demand for vaccines, but also intensified competition.
Positioning
Novavax is positioned as a developer of protein-based vaccines, offering an alternative to mRNA vaccines. Its competitive advantages lie in its established technology platform and potential for improved storage and handling compared to mRNA vaccines.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global vaccine market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Novavax is positioned to capture a portion of this market, primarily through COVID-19 and other vaccine development programs. The COVID-19 vaccine market is currently valued at approximately $50 billion annually, and although it is projected to decrease over time, it remains a significant opportunity.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology
- Established manufacturing capabilities
- Experienced management team
- Supply agreements with various countries
Weaknesses
- Late entry into the COVID-19 vaccine market
- Dependence on a single product (COVID-19 vaccine)
- Financial instability and reliance on government funding
- Negative investor sentiment
Opportunities
- Expansion into other vaccine markets (e.g., influenza, RSV)
- Partnerships with pharmaceutical companies
- Securing additional government contracts
- Developing combination vaccines (e.g., COVID-19 and influenza)
Threats
- Intense competition from established vaccine manufacturers
- Evolving COVID-19 variants
- Changes in government regulations
- Supply chain disruptions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- PFE
- MRNA
- JNJ
- AZN
Competitive Landscape
Novavax faces significant competition from established players with greater resources and larger market share. Its success depends on differentiating its vaccine and securing supply agreements.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth has been primarily driven by the development and approval of its COVID-19 vaccine.
Future Projections: Future growth depends on the company's ability to secure additional vaccine contracts and expand into other markets. Analyst estimates are variable.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include seeking regulatory approval for its COVID-19 vaccine in new markets and developing combination vaccines.
Summary
Novavax is a biotechnology company focused on vaccine development, primarily known for its COVID-19 vaccine. While its technology holds promise, the company faces challenges due to intense competition, financial instability, and reliance on a single product. Expanding into new vaccine markets and securing additional contracts are crucial for its future success. Investors should carefully consider the risks associated with this volatile stock.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (SEC)
- Analyst reports
- Industry publications
- Market research reports
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Market share data is approximate and subject to change. Investment decisions should be based on thorough research and consultation with a financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Novavax Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Gaithersburg, MD, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1995-12-05 | President, CEO & Director Mr. John Charles Jacobs M.B.A. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 952 | Website https://www.novavax.com |
Full time employees 952 | Website https://www.novavax.com | ||
Novavax, Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in the discovering, developing, and commercializing vaccines to protect against serious infectious diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company offers vaccine platform that combines a recombinant protein approach, nanoparticle technology, and its patented Matrix-M adjuvant to enhance the immune response. The company is commercializing a COVID-19 vaccine, NVX-CoV2373 under the brand names of Nuvaxovid, Covovax, and Novavax COVID-19 Vaccine, adjuvanted for adult and adolescent populations as a primary series and for both homologous and heterologous booster indications. It also developing R21/Matrix-M adjuvant malaria vaccine. Novavax, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland.

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