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Novavax Inc (NVAX)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/27/2025: NVAX (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 2 days. Profits (-11.92%). Updated daily EoD!
Year Target Price $15.29
Year Target Price $15.29
3 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
2 | Hold |
0 | Under performing |
1 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -77.89% | Avg. Invested days 19 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.03B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 2.32 | 1Y Target Price 13.43 |
Price to earnings Ratio 2.32 | 1Y Target Price 13.43 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 2.77 | 52 Weeks Range 5.01 - 17.81 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 5.01 - 17.81 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.75 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 38.14% | Operating Margin (TTM) 77.4% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 19.97% | Return on Equity (TTM) -898.2% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 2.32 | Forward PE 7.86 | Enterprise Value 529740904 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.82 |
Enterprise Value 529740904 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.82 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.44 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.95 | Shares Outstanding 161970000 | Shares Floating 136652754 |
Shares Outstanding 161970000 | Shares Floating 136652754 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.78 | Percent Institutions 57.29 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.86 | Target Price 15.29 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 3 |
Buy 1 | Strong Buy 3 | ||
Hold 2 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Novavax Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Novavax Inc. was founded in 1987. Initially focused on vaccine technology, it has evolved to focus primarily on developing vaccines for infectious diseases. Significant milestones include the development of its recombinant nanoparticle technology and the more recent development of its COVID-19 vaccine.
Core Business Areas
- Vaccine Development: Focuses on the research, development, and commercialization of vaccines for various infectious diseases, including COVID-19, influenza, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV).
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team includes the CEO, CFO, and other key executives responsible for strategy, operations, and finance. The organizational structure is functional, with departments for R&D, manufacturing, commercialization, and administration.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Nuvaxovid (COVID-19 Vaccine): Novavax's COVID-19 vaccine is a protein-based vaccine designed to prevent COVID-19. While initial projections anticipated significant market share, uptake has been less than expected due to the availability of mRNA vaccines from Pfizer/BioNTech (PFE/BNTX) and Moderna (MRNA) and waning pandemic concerns. Specific market share data varies by region and is dynamically influenced by factors like vaccine hesitancy and government procurement strategies. Competitors include Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna, AstraZeneca (AZN), and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The vaccine industry is a large and competitive market driven by factors such as disease prevalence, government health policies, and technological advancements. The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the industry, leading to accelerated vaccine development and increased investment.
Positioning
Novavax is positioned as a vaccine developer utilizing its recombinant nanoparticle technology. Competitive advantages include its technology platform and focus on protein-based vaccines. However, its late entry into the COVID-19 vaccine market has posed challenges.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global vaccine market is projected to reach hundreds of billions USD within the next few years. Novavax is targeting a share of this TAM with its COVID-19 vaccine and pipeline candidates, but faces stiff competition and market access hurdles.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology
- Experienced vaccine development team
- Partnerships with global organizations
- Proven COVID-19 vaccine efficacy
Weaknesses
- Late entrant in COVID-19 vaccine market
- Manufacturing challenges
- Limited commercial infrastructure compared to larger competitors
- Reliance on government contracts.
Opportunities
- Development of vaccines for other infectious diseases (e.g., RSV, influenza)
- Expansion into emerging markets
- Partnerships for manufacturing and distribution
- Combination vaccines for multiple diseases
Threats
- Competition from established vaccine manufacturers
- Changing regulatory landscape
- Vaccine hesitancy
- Patent disputes
- Emergence of new COVID-19 variants
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- PFE
- MRNA
- AZN
- JNJ
Competitive Landscape
Novavax's recombinant nanoparticle technology offers potential advantages, but it faces intense competition from larger, more established vaccine manufacturers with greater resources and existing market share.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by government funding and partnerships, especially during the pandemic.
Future Projections: Future projections depend on the success of pipeline candidates and market penetration of existing vaccines. Analyst estimates vary widely due to uncertainty in the vaccine market.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include securing regulatory approvals for the COVID-19 vaccine in various countries, expanding manufacturing capacity, and advancing pipeline candidates.
Summary
Novavax has strong vaccine technology, demonstrated by its COVID-19 vaccine. However, its later market entry, manufacturing challenges, and reliance on government contracts have created obstacles. Future success depends on pipeline progress and effective commercialization. The company needs to secure partnerships and efficiently manage its resources.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (SEC)
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market share data are estimates and may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Novavax Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Gaithersburg, MD, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1995-12-05 | President, CEO & Director Mr. John Charles Jacobs M.B.A. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 952 | Website https://www.novavax.com |
Full time employees 952 | Website https://www.novavax.com |
Novavax, Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in the discovering, developing, and commercializing vaccines to protect against serious infectious diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company offers vaccine platform that combines a recombinant protein approach, nanoparticle technology, and its patented Matrix-M adjuvant to enhance the immune response. The company is commercializing a COVID-19 vaccine, NVX-CoV2373 under the brand names of Nuvaxovid, Covovax, and Novavax COVID-19 Vaccine, adjuvanted for adult and adolescent populations as a primary series and for both homologous and heterologous booster indications. It also developing R21/Matrix-M adjuvant malaria vaccine. Novavax, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland.
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