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NVAX logo NVAX
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NVAX logo

Novavax Inc (NVAX)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$6.37
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY-11.92%
upturn advisory
SELL
SELL since 2 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

06/27/2025: NVAX (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 2 days. Profits (-11.92%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

7 Analysts rated it

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Year Target Price $15.29

Year Target Price $15.29

Analyst’s Price TargetsFor last 52 week
$15.29Target price
Low$5.01
Current$6.37
high$17.81

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -77.89%
Avg. Invested days 19
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/27/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.03B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 2.32
1Y Target Price 13.43
Price to earnings Ratio 2.32
1Y Target Price 13.43
Volume (30-day avg) -
Beta 2.77
52 Weeks Range 5.01 - 17.81
Updated Date 06/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 5.01 - 17.81
Updated Date 06/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.75

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 38.14%
Operating Margin (TTM) 77.4%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 19.97%
Return on Equity (TTM) -898.2%

Valuation

Trailing PE 2.32
Forward PE 7.86
Enterprise Value 529740904
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.82
Enterprise Value 529740904
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.82
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.44
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.95
Shares Outstanding 161970000
Shares Floating 136652754
Shares Outstanding 161970000
Shares Floating 136652754
Percent Insiders 8.78
Percent Institutions 57.29

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.86
Target Price 15.29
Buy 1
Strong Buy 3
Buy 1
Strong Buy 3
Hold 2
Sell 1
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Novavax Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Novavax Inc. was founded in 1987. Initially focused on vaccine technology, it has evolved to focus primarily on developing vaccines for infectious diseases. Significant milestones include the development of its recombinant nanoparticle technology and the more recent development of its COVID-19 vaccine.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Vaccine Development: Focuses on the research, development, and commercialization of vaccines for various infectious diseases, including COVID-19, influenza, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV).

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team includes the CEO, CFO, and other key executives responsible for strategy, operations, and finance. The organizational structure is functional, with departments for R&D, manufacturing, commercialization, and administration.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Nuvaxovid (COVID-19 Vaccine): Novavax's COVID-19 vaccine is a protein-based vaccine designed to prevent COVID-19. While initial projections anticipated significant market share, uptake has been less than expected due to the availability of mRNA vaccines from Pfizer/BioNTech (PFE/BNTX) and Moderna (MRNA) and waning pandemic concerns. Specific market share data varies by region and is dynamically influenced by factors like vaccine hesitancy and government procurement strategies. Competitors include Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna, AstraZeneca (AZN), and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ).

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The vaccine industry is a large and competitive market driven by factors such as disease prevalence, government health policies, and technological advancements. The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the industry, leading to accelerated vaccine development and increased investment.

Positioning

Novavax is positioned as a vaccine developer utilizing its recombinant nanoparticle technology. Competitive advantages include its technology platform and focus on protein-based vaccines. However, its late entry into the COVID-19 vaccine market has posed challenges.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global vaccine market is projected to reach hundreds of billions USD within the next few years. Novavax is targeting a share of this TAM with its COVID-19 vaccine and pipeline candidates, but faces stiff competition and market access hurdles.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology
  • Experienced vaccine development team
  • Partnerships with global organizations
  • Proven COVID-19 vaccine efficacy

Weaknesses

  • Late entrant in COVID-19 vaccine market
  • Manufacturing challenges
  • Limited commercial infrastructure compared to larger competitors
  • Reliance on government contracts.

Opportunities

  • Development of vaccines for other infectious diseases (e.g., RSV, influenza)
  • Expansion into emerging markets
  • Partnerships for manufacturing and distribution
  • Combination vaccines for multiple diseases

Threats

  • Competition from established vaccine manufacturers
  • Changing regulatory landscape
  • Vaccine hesitancy
  • Patent disputes
  • Emergence of new COVID-19 variants

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • PFE
  • MRNA
  • AZN
  • JNJ

Competitive Landscape

Novavax's recombinant nanoparticle technology offers potential advantages, but it faces intense competition from larger, more established vaccine manufacturers with greater resources and existing market share.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by government funding and partnerships, especially during the pandemic.

Future Projections: Future projections depend on the success of pipeline candidates and market penetration of existing vaccines. Analyst estimates vary widely due to uncertainty in the vaccine market.

Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include securing regulatory approvals for the COVID-19 vaccine in various countries, expanding manufacturing capacity, and advancing pipeline candidates.

Summary

Novavax has strong vaccine technology, demonstrated by its COVID-19 vaccine. However, its later market entry, manufacturing challenges, and reliance on government contracts have created obstacles. Future success depends on pipeline progress and effective commercialization. The company needs to secure partnerships and efficiently manage its resources.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings (SEC)
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Publications

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market share data are estimates and may vary.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Novavax Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Gaithersburg, MD, United States
IPO Launch date 1995-12-05
President, CEO & Director Mr. John Charles Jacobs M.B.A.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 952
Full time employees 952

Novavax, Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in the discovering, developing, and commercializing vaccines to protect against serious infectious diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company offers vaccine platform that combines a recombinant protein approach, nanoparticle technology, and its patented Matrix-M adjuvant to enhance the immune response. The company is commercializing a COVID-19 vaccine, NVX-CoV2373 under the brand names of Nuvaxovid, Covovax, and Novavax COVID-19 Vaccine, adjuvanted for adult and adolescent populations as a primary series and for both homologous and heterologous booster indications. It also developing R21/Matrix-M adjuvant malaria vaccine. Novavax, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland.