Novo Nordisk A/S logo

Novo Nordisk A/S(NVO)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$38.8
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NVO

09/25/2026: NVO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Novo Nordisk is a leader in the metabolic health pharmaceutical market, specifically known for its GLP-1 therapies used in diabetes and obesity treatment. The company benefits from a strong pipeline and a growing addressable market, which has fueled significant recent financial growth. Investors should be aware of risks including intense competition from companies like Eli Lilly, supply chain constraints, and potential regulatory pricing pressures. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors looking for exposure to chronic disease innovation, though the premium valuation warrants careful monitoring. Key developments to watch include manufacturing scaling progress and clinical trial results for expanded therapeutic indications.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThe company is experiencing rapid revenue expansion driven by secular trends in obesity treatment.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock has shown significant upward price momentum supported by strong earnings reports.
Value investorMixed fitThe company's premium valuation reflects its growth expectations, potentially limiting the margin of safety for strict value investors.
Dividend investorMixed fitWhile the dividend is reliable, the stock is currently more focused on capital appreciation than high yield.
Low-risk investorMixed fitPharmaceutical sector risks, including regulatory and competitive pressures, may increase volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highHigh investor expectations can lead to sharp price fluctuations based on clinical or supply news.
Valuation riskMedium / highA high P/E ratio requires sustained high growth to justify the current stock price.
Competition risk (Metabolic/GLP-1)HighDirect rivalry with Eli Lilly in the GLP-1 market is a primary driver of future market share outcomes.
Business qualityStrongThe company possesses a strong competitive moat through specialized IP and integrated manufacturing.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends are well-covered but secondary to the company's growth-focused capital allocation.
Execution riskMediumSuccessfully scaling global manufacturing capacity is critical to meeting unprecedented product demand.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -8.17%
Avg. Invested days 50
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
NVO receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
NVO has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, moderate earnings growth (+1.4%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 9.4%) are partially offset by moderate revenue growth (+6.4%), very low insider ownership of 0.00%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
NVO's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $29.0B (9.4% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is NVO's strongest growth driver at +6.4% FY2025 versus FY2024 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while free-cash-flow growth (-58.4%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 9.9% and approximately 94.9% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.00%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Dodge & Cox 0.46%
Loomis, Sayles & Company LP 0.42%
Franklin Templeton Inc 0.36%
Susquehanna International Group, LLP 0.25%
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. 0.25%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
NVO generates approximately $810 of gross profit, $413 of operating income, and $94 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 21.53%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
NVO has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 171.37B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 9.72
1Y Target Price 46.39
Price to earnings Ratio 9.72
1Y Target Price 46.39
Volume (30-day avg) 12.9M shares
Beta 0.34
52 Weeks Range 34.15 - 61.11
Updated Date 09/27/2026
52 Weeks Range 34.15 - 61.11
Updated Date 09/27/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 4.63%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.99

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Diabetes CareInsulins and GLP-1 products for diabetes management.This is the company's foundation, providing stable cash flow from essential long-term treatments.
Obesity CareGLP-1 receptor agonists (e.g., Wegovy).This is the primary growth engine and high-margin segment currently driving most market interest.
Geography (North America)Sales across the US and Canada.North America is a critical profit center due to higher pricing power compared to other regions.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 9.72
Forward PE 11.83
Enterprise Value 185.16B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.52
Enterprise Value 185.16B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.52
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.67
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.18
Shares Outstanding 3.34B
Shares Floating 3.17B
Shares Outstanding 3.34B
Shares Floating 3.17B
Percent Insiders -
Percent Institutions 9.9

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Novo Nordisk A/S

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters -
IPO Launch date 1982-01-04
President, CEO & Member of the Management Board Mr. Maziar Mike Doustdar B.A.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Drug Manufacturers - General
Full time employees 66700
Full time employees 66700

Novo Nordisk A/S, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, manufacture, and distribution of pharmaceutical products. It operates through two segments, Obesity and Diabetes Care, and Rare Disease. The Obesity and Diabetes care segment provides products for diabetes, obesity, cardiovascular, and other emerging therapy areas. The Rare Disease segment offers products in the areas of rare blood disorders, rare endocrine disorders, and hormone replacement therapy. The company also provides NovoPen 6 and NovoPen Echo Plus, smart insulin pens; Dose Check, an insulin dose guidance application; growth hormone pens and injection needles; and Wegovy pill an oral glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonist therapy for weight management. The company has a collaboration with Anthropic accelerate the development of new medicines and advance AI-driven software development. It operates in Europe, Canada, the United States, Japan, Korea, Oceania, Southeast Asia, Mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa. It has a strategic collaboration with Orbis Medicines to discover and develop oral macrocycle therapeutics for cardiometabolic diseases. The company was formerly known as Novo Industri A/S and changed its name to Novo Nordisk A/S in April 1989. The company was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Bagsvaerd, Denmark.