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Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/17/2025: NVO (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 69.22% | Avg. Invested days 84 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0 | Stock Returns Performance 3.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/17/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 352.92B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 26.86 | 1Y Target Price 111.32 |
Price to earnings Ratio 26.86 | 1Y Target Price 111.32 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8758763 | Beta 0.17 | 52 Weeks Range 78.17 - 147.60 | Updated Date 01/20/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 78.17 - 147.60 | Updated Date 01/20/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.84% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.93 |
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 35.01% | Operating Margin (TTM) 47.43% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 21.47% | Return on Equity (TTM) 88.73% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 26.86 | Forward PE 20.08 | Enterprise Value 350445529483 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.3 |
Enterprise Value 350445529483 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.3 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.38 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.62 | Shares Outstanding 3365789952 | Shares Floating 3186288495 |
Shares Outstanding 3365789952 | Shares Floating 3186288495 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 10.14 |
AI Summary
Novo Nordisk A/S: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Novo Nordisk A/S, established in 1923, is a Danish multinational pharmaceutical and biotechnology company headquartered in Bagsværd, Denmark. Originally founded as the insulin department of Nordisk Insulinlaboratorium, it has grown to become a global leader in diabetes care, with a strong presence in other areas like hemophilia, growth hormone disorders, and obesity.
Core Business Areas:
The company operates through three main segments:
1. Diabetes Care: This segment accounts for the largest portion of Novo Nordisk's revenue and encompasses the development, production, and marketing of various insulin products, GLP-1 receptor agonists, and related delivery devices. 2. Biopharmaceuticals: Focusing on the treatment of hemophilia, growth hormone disorders, and other chronic diseases, this segment develops and manufactures recombinant proteins and other biopharmaceutical products. 3. Other: This segment includes other products such as over-the-counter medications and dietary supplements.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Novo Nordisk's leadership team consists of Lars Fruergaard Jørgensen as CEO and President, and Anders Blicher as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. The company has a Board of Directors responsible for overseeing the company's strategic direction and performance.
Top Products and Market Share:
Novo Nordisk boasts a portfolio of top-selling products, including:
1. Ozempic (semaglutide): This GLP-1 receptor agonist is used to treat type 2 diabetes. It has witnessed impressive growth in recent years and holds a significant market share. 2. Victoza (liraglutide): Another GLP-1 receptor agonist, marketed for type 2 diabetes treatment, holds a strong market position. 3. NovoLog (insulin aspart): A rapid-acting insulin used for diabetes management, NovoLog commands a substantial market share in the US.
Globally, Novo Nordisk holds a leading market share in the diabetes care market, estimated to be around 25-30%. In the US market, the company's share is around 20-25%, making it a key player.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
The global diabetes care market is estimated to be around $80-90 billion, with the US market constituting a significant portion at $40-45 billion. This signifies a substantial market opportunity for Novo Nordisk.
Financial Performance:
Novo Nordisk has exhibited consistent growth in recent years. Revenue for the year 2022 was approximately $22.5 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase. Net income also rose, with a solid profit margin. Earnings per share (EPS) followed a similar upward trend.
A review of the cash flow statements indicates healthy cash generation, with the company maintaining a strong balance sheet.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Novo Nordisk has a strong track record of paying dividends, with a current dividend yield of approximately 2.5%. Shareholder returns have also been impressive, with an average annual return of around 10% over the last five years.
Growth Trajectory:
Novo Nordisk has historically witnessed substantial growth, with an average annual revenue increase of over 10% in the past five years. Future projections also indicate continued growth, fueled by the increasing prevalence of diabetes, new product launches, and expanding market reach.
Recently launched products like Rybelsus (semaglutide) and Wegovy (semaglutide) for weight management hold significant growth potential. The company is also actively exploring new areas like digital health solutions and personalized medicine.
Market Dynamics:
The diabetes care market is witnessing continuous advancements, with a focus on novel drug development and innovative treatment approaches. The growing demand for personalized medicine and improved patient outcomes further drives market dynamics. Novo Nordisk's commitment to research and development positions it well to adapt to these changing trends.
Competitors:
Key competitors in the diabetes care market include:
- Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
- Sanofi (SNY)
- Boehringer Ingelheim (BPIHY)
- Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK)
Novo Nordisk holds a competitive edge due to its extensive research and development, strong brand recognition, and established global presence. The company continues to invest in innovation and strategic partnerships to maintain its leadership position.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition: The intense competition in the pharmaceutical industry poses a constant challenge, requiring continuous innovation and product differentiation.
- Regulatory Environment: Stringent regulatory requirements for drug development and marketing can impact the company's growth plans.
- Cost Pressures: The rising cost of research and development, coupled with healthcare reforms, may affect profitability.
Potential Opportunities:
- Emerging Markets: Expanding into new markets, particularly in Asia and Latin America, presents significant growth opportunities.
- Technological Advancements: Leveraging digital technologies and personalized medicine can open new avenues for disease management and treatment.
- Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with other companies in healthcare or technology can enhance the company's product portfolio and reach.
Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years):
Novo Nordisk has undertaken several acquisitions in the last three years, including:
- Dicerna Pharmaceuticals (2021): This acquisition aimed at acquiring RNAi technology to develop new treatments for various diseases, including diabetes and cardiovascular diseases.
- Emisphere Technologies (2022): This acquisition focused on obtaining technology for enhancing drug delivery, with the potential to improve the performance of existing and future products.
These acquisitions align with Novo Nordisk's growth strategy to expand its product pipeline and technological capabilities, positioning the company for continued success.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
An AI-based analysis of Novo Nordisk's fundamentals may give a rating between 7-8 out of 10. This rating would be justified by the company's strong financial performance, leading market position in diabetes care, and commitment to innovation. However, competitive pressures and regulatory challenges are factors to consider.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis used data from the following sources:
- Novo Nordisk Annual Reports
- SEC Filings
- Market research reports
This information should not be considered as financial advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About Novo Nordisk A/S
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 1982-01-04 | President, CEO & Member of Management Board Mr. Lars Fruergaard Jorgensen | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Drug Manufacturers - General | Full time employees 71880 | Website https://www.novonordisk.com |
Full time employees 71880 | Website https://www.novonordisk.com |
Novo Nordisk A/S, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, manufacture, and distribution of pharmaceutical products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, North America, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Diabetes and Obesity Care, and Rare Disease. The Diabetes and Obesity care segment provides products for diabetes, obesity, cardiovascular, and other emerging therapy areas. The Rare Disease segment offers products in the areas of rare blood disorders, rare endocrine disorders, and hormone replacement therapy. The company also provides insulin pens, growth hormone pens, and injection needles. In addition, it offers smart solutions for diabetes treatment, such as smart insulin pens and Dose Check, an insulin dose guidance application. The company has a collaboration agreement with Aspen Pharmaceuticals to produce insulin products; and with Korro Bio, Inc. for the discovery and development of new genetic medicines to treat cardiometabolic diseases; and with Valo Health, Inc. to discover and develop novel treatments for obesity, type 2 diabetes, and cardiovascular disease. Novo Nordisk A/S was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Bagsvaerd, Denmark.
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