Natwest Group PLC logo

Natwest Group PLC(NWG)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
4-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$16.55
11/04/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NWG

11/04/2026: NWG (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

NatWest Group PLC is a prominent UK-based banking institution providing a wide array of financial services to individuals and businesses. The company is characterized by a stable deposit base and a strong market position within the UK, offering an attractive proposition for income-focused investors due to its dividend history. While its established franchise is a key strength, the company faces risks from intense competition by digital banks and its heavy reliance on the UK domestic economy. Prospective investors should monitor the bank's ability to modernize its legacy infrastructure and successfully manage interest rate sensitivity. It remains a key watch-list candidate for those seeking exposure to the UK financial sector.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is moderate and tied to the UK domestic economy rather than rapid expansion.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum is conditional on favorable interest rate trends and sector sentiment.
Value investorStrong fitThe stock often trades at attractive valuations relative to its book value and capital strength.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company has a consistent history of dividends and active capital return programs.
Low-risk investorMixed fitWhile established, the bank remains subject to economic cyclicality and regulatory risks.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highBanking stocks are inherently sensitive to interest rate expectations and economic outlooks.
Valuation riskMediumMarket sentiment toward UK banking can lead to valuation swings regardless of fundamental performance.
Competition risk (Digital Banking)Medium / highAgile digital-only banks are capturing market share among younger customer demographics.
Business qualityStrongAs a major UK institution, the franchise has deep market roots and scale.
Dividend incomeStrongCapital return policies are a central component of the investment thesis.
Execution riskMediumThe complexity of integrating legacy systems remains a recurring operational challenge.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 95.66%
Avg. Invested days 68
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 4.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/04/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
NWG receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
NWG has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+21.4%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 19.6%) are partially offset by moderate revenue growth (+3.2%), very low insider ownership of 0.00%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
NWG's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $5.8B (19.6% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is NWG's strongest growth driver at +734.3% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, earnings growth (+21.4%, solid) is also solid, while revenue growth (+3.2%, moderate) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 5.0% (soft) and 99.9% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable (strong). Insider ownership is only 0.00%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

FMR Inc 0.46%
Natixis Advisors, LLC. 0.32%
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 3 0.32%
BNP Paribas Arbitrage, SA 0.32%
JONES FINANCIAL COMPANIES LLLP 0.32%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
NWG generates approximately $563 of gross profit, $261 of operating income, and $196 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 24.31%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
NWG has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 61.16B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 7.78
1Y Target Price 21.44
Price to earnings Ratio 7.78
1Y Target Price 21.44
Volume (30-day avg) 4.7M shares
Beta 0.83
52 Weeks Range 13.53 - 19.21
Updated Date 11/04/2026
52 Weeks Range 13.53 - 19.21
Updated Date 11/04/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 6.09%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.99

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Retail BankingInterest earned on loans and mortgages, plus fees from current accounts.This is the 'bread and butter' segment driven by UK consumer activity.
Commercial & InstitutionalCorporate lending, treasury services, and trade finance.Revenue here depends on the health of UK businesses and corporate investment.
Geography: UKConcentrated exposure to the UK economy.The bank's performance is closely tied to UK economic conditions.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-30
When Before Market
Estimate 0.51
Actual 0.52

Profitability

Profit Margin 36.93%
Operating Margin (TTM) 52.07%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 0.85%
Return on Equity (TTM) 14.58%

Valuation

Trailing PE 7.78
Forward PE 7.36
Enterprise Value -30.33B
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.6
Enterprise Value -30.33B
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.6
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.71
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 3.95B
Shares Floating 3.95B
Shares Outstanding 3.95B
Shares Floating 3.95B
Percent Insiders -
Percent Institutions 5

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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