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Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/10/2025: OBE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $7.22
1 Year Target Price $7.22
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -26.32% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 408.07M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.22 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.22 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 0.76 | 52 Weeks Range 3.88 - 7.07 | Updated Date 12/10/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.88 - 7.07 | Updated Date 12/10/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.21 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -38.6% | Operating Margin (TTM) 21.7% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -8.29% | Return on Equity (TTM) -15.28% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 169.49 | Enterprise Value 516281266 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.66 |
Enterprise Value 516281266 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.66 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.01 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.49 | Shares Outstanding 67116222 | Shares Floating 56850796 |
Shares Outstanding 67116222 | Shares Floating 56850796 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.16 | Percent Institutions 28.96 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Obsidian Energy Ltd
Company Overview
History and Background
Obsidian Energy Ltd. (formerly Penn West Exploration) has a history rooted in the Canadian oil and gas sector. Established with a focus on conventional oil and gas production in Western Canada, the company has undergone significant restructuring and rebranding over the years, including a name change from Penn West Exploration to Obsidian Energy in 2017. This transformation aimed to reflect a renewed focus on operational efficiency, financial discipline, and a streamlined asset base.
Core Business Areas
- Cardium Oil: Obsidian Energy's primary focus is on the development and production of light oil and gas in the Cardium formation in Alberta, Canada. This segment involves extracting hydrocarbons from this prolific geological formation, utilizing advanced drilling and completion techniques.
- Peace River Arch: The company also has operations in the Peace River Arch region, targeting natural gas and associated liquids. This area complements their Cardium assets and diversifies their production profile.
Leadership and Structure
Obsidian Energy is led by a management team responsible for strategic direction, operations, and financial oversight. The organizational structure is designed to support efficient exploration, development, and production activities, with a focus on cost management and maximizing shareholder value. Specific leadership details are best obtained from their latest investor relations materials.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Light Oil: Light oil is a primary product, extracted from the Cardium formation. Revenue generated from light oil sales is a significant contributor to the company's top line. Key competitors in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin for light oil production include Cenovus Energy, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, and Suncor Energy.
- Natural Gas: Natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs) are also extracted, particularly from the Peace River Arch. These sales contribute to revenue diversification. Competitors in this segment include Encana (now Ovintiv), Tourmaline Oil Corp., and Peyto Exploration & Production Ltd.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The oil and gas industry in Western Canada is characterized by its resource-rich sedimentary basin, complex regulatory environment, and sensitivity to global commodity prices, particularly for crude oil and natural gas. The industry is undergoing a transition towards more sustainable practices and efficient production methods.
Positioning
Obsidian Energy positions itself as an efficient, low-cost producer focused on optimizing its existing asset base in the Cardium formation. Their competitive advantages lie in their experienced management team, their deep understanding of the Cardium play, and their commitment to operational excellence and capital discipline.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market (TAM) for Obsidian Energy is the global and regional market for light oil and natural gas. The precise value of the TAM is dynamic and tied to global energy demand and supply. Obsidian Energy is a smaller player within the broader North American energy market, but holds a significant position within its specific operational areas in Alberta.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Significant undeveloped reserves in the core Cardium play.
- Experienced management team with a track record in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin.
- Focus on low-cost production and operational efficiency.
- Strategic asset base in a well-established and productive hydrocarbon region.
Weaknesses
- Relatively smaller scale compared to larger integrated energy companies.
- Sensitivity to commodity price volatility.
- Past financial challenges and need for continued deleveraging.
- Geographic concentration of assets.
Opportunities
- Potential for enhanced oil recovery (EOR) techniques to boost production from existing fields.
- Exploration and development of new targets within their land base.
- Strategic acquisitions or partnerships to expand asset portfolio.
- Continued global demand for oil and gas, particularly during the energy transition.
Threats
- Fluctuations in global crude oil and natural gas prices.
- Increasing environmental regulations and climate change policies.
- Competition from other energy producers and alternative energy sources.
- Geopolitical risks impacting energy markets.
- Access to capital and financing costs.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Cenovus Energy (CVE)
- Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ)
- Suncor Energy (SU)
- Ovintiv Inc. (OVV)
- Tourmaline Oil Corp. (TOU.TO)
Competitive Landscape
Obsidian Energy operates in a competitive landscape dominated by larger, more diversified energy companies. Its competitive advantage lies in its focused operations within the Cardium formation, allowing for specialized expertise and efficiency. However, its smaller scale can be a disadvantage in terms of negotiating power and access to capital compared to industry giants.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Obsidian Energy's historical growth has been shaped by its asset development strategies, acquisitions, and divestitures. The company has transitioned from a period of significant debt to a focus on deleveraging and organic growth through efficient development of its core assets.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for Obsidian Energy are typically driven by analyst estimates, which consider factors such as commodity price forecasts, drilling plans, production targets, and capital expenditure budgets. The company aims for sustainable, profitable growth through disciplined capital allocation.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have likely focused on optimizing production from existing wells, reducing operating costs, advancing development plans in the Cardium, and managing its debt profile to improve financial flexibility.
Summary
Obsidian Energy is an oil and gas producer primarily focused on the Cardium formation in Alberta. The company has successfully navigated financial restructuring and now emphasizes operational efficiency and cost control. Its strengths lie in its focused asset base and experienced management, while challenges include commodity price volatility and competition from larger players. Continued focus on prudent capital allocation and debt management will be key to its future success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations Websites (Obsidian Energy Ltd.)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Google Finance)
- Industry Analyst Reports (if publicly available)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market share data is an estimation and may vary depending on the methodology used.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Obsidian Energy Ltd
Exchange NYSE MKT | Headquaters Calgary, AB, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-04-02 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Stephen Elias Loukas | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees 203 | Website https://www.obsidianenergy.com |
Full time employees 203 | Website https://www.obsidianenergy.com | ||
Obsidian Energy Ltd. engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in Western Canada. Its portfolio of properties includes unitized and non-unitized light oil, heavy oil, and natural gas production. The company was formerly known as Penn West Petroleum Ltd. and changed its name to Obsidian Energy Ltd. in June 2017. Obsidian Energy Ltd. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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