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Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: OBE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $7.21
1 Year Target Price $7.21
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -26.32% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 408.07M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.21 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.21 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 0.74 | 52 Weeks Range 3.88 - 7.07 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 3.88 - 7.07 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.21 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -38.6% | Operating Margin (TTM) 21.7% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -8.29% | Return on Equity (TTM) -15.28% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 169.49 | Enterprise Value 514969283 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.66 |
Enterprise Value 514969283 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.66 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.01 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.49 | Shares Outstanding 67116222 | Shares Floating 56564210 |
Shares Outstanding 67116222 | Shares Floating 56564210 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.16 | Percent Institutions 28.78 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Obsidian Energy Ltd
Company Overview
History and Background
Obsidian Energy Ltd. (formerly known as Penn West Exploration), established in 1992, is an oil and gas company focused on the exploration, development, and production of petroleum and natural gas in Western Canada. The company underwent a significant restructuring and rebranding in 2018 to Obsidian Energy, aiming to improve its financial position and operational efficiency. Key milestones include its initial public offering, various asset acquisitions and divestitures, and the recent strategic efforts to deleverage its balance sheet and optimize its production profile.
Core Business Areas
- Cardium Light Oil: Focuses on the Cardium formation in Alberta, characterized by its light oil reserves and scalable development potential. Obsidian Energy employs advanced completion techniques to maximize recovery from this play.
- Peace River Oil Sands: Involves the development and production of oil sands resources in the Peace River area of Alberta. This segment contributes to the company's longer-term production profile.
Leadership and Structure
Obsidian Energy Ltd. is led by a management team with extensive experience in the oil and gas industry. The organizational structure is designed to support efficient operations, financial discipline, and strategic growth. Key leadership roles typically include a CEO, CFO, COO, and heads of exploration and production.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Cardium Light Oil Production: The primary product is light crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGLs) produced from the Cardium formation. Market share data for individual product lines is not publicly disclosed by Obsidian Energy, but it competes in a highly fragmented market with numerous independent and integrated oil and gas producers. Key competitors in the Cardium play include companies like CNRL, Baytex Energy, and Surge Energy.
- Peace River Oil Sands Production: This segment produces heavy crude oil. Similar to Cardium light oil, specific market share data is not available. Competitors in this region include major players in the Canadian oil sands sector like Suncor Energy, Imperial Oil, and Cenovus Energy.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The oil and gas industry in Western Canada, particularly for light oil and oil sands, is influenced by global commodity prices (WTI and WTI), regulatory environments, capital markets access, and infrastructure development. The industry is characterized by cyclicality, technological advancements, and a growing emphasis on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors.
Positioning
Obsidian Energy is positioned as a mid-cap independent oil and gas producer in Western Canada, with a strategic focus on optimizing its existing asset base and deleveraging its balance sheet. Its competitive advantages lie in its focused portfolio on the Cardium formation, its experienced management team, and its ongoing efforts to improve operational efficiency and reduce costs.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for oil and gas in Western Canada is substantial, driven by global energy demand. Obsidian Energy's TAM is primarily within its identified operating regions in Alberta. The company's success is contingent on its ability to efficiently extract and market its reserves within these specific geological formations, competing with a multitude of other producers for market access and capital.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Focused asset base in the prolific Cardium formation.
- Experienced management team with a history of operational expertise.
- Ongoing efforts to optimize production and reduce operating costs.
- Recent deleveraging of the balance sheet.
Weaknesses
- Relatively smaller scale compared to larger integrated producers, potentially limiting bargaining power.
- Exposure to commodity price volatility.
- Historical challenges with debt levels.
Opportunities
- Further optimization of Cardium development through technology and enhanced recovery methods.
- Potential for accretive acquisitions or joint ventures in core areas.
- Favorable market conditions for light oil.
- Continued focus on ESG initiatives to attract investment.
Threats
- Sustained low commodity prices impacting profitability and cash flow.
- Increased regulatory burdens and environmental compliance costs.
- Competition for capital and resources from other energy producers.
- Geopolitical risks affecting global energy supply and demand.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ)
- Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE)
- Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE)
- Imperial Oil Limited (IMO)
Competitive Landscape
Obsidian Energy competes in a mature and competitive North American energy market. Its advantages include its focused Cardium asset base and operational efficiency efforts. However, it faces disadvantages in scale compared to larger integrated players, which can impact its ability to negotiate favorable terms for services, transportation, and marketing. The company must continually innovate and maintain cost discipline to remain competitive.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Obsidian Energy's historical growth has been influenced by its asset base, commodity prices, and strategic decisions. Following its rebranding and restructuring, the company has been focused on stabilizing its operations and improving its financial footing rather than aggressive expansion. Growth has been more about optimizing existing production and enhancing efficiency.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for Obsidian Energy are typically guided by analyst estimates, which consider factors such as expected production volumes, commodity price forecasts, capital expenditure plans, and industry trends. Analysts generally project moderate growth based on the company's development plans for its Cardium assets.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have focused on strengthening the balance sheet through debt reduction, optimizing operating expenses, enhancing production efficiency through well enhancements and completions, and maintaining a disciplined capital allocation strategy.
Summary
Obsidian Energy Ltd. is a Western Canadian energy producer with a core focus on the Cardium formation. The company has made significant strides in financial restructuring and operational efficiency, strengthening its balance sheet. Its primary challenge remains navigating the volatility of commodity prices and competing with larger, more diversified players. Continued optimization of its Cardium assets and disciplined capital allocation are key to its future success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company investor relations reports
- Financial news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Industry analysis reports
- Stock market data providers
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Market share data is an estimate based on industry segmentation and may not be precise.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Obsidian Energy Ltd
Exchange NYSE MKT | Headquaters Calgary, AB, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-04-02 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Stephen Elias Loukas | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees 203 | Website https://www.obsidianenergy.com |
Full time employees 203 | Website https://www.obsidianenergy.com | ||
Obsidian Energy Ltd. engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in Western Canada. Its portfolio of properties includes unitized and non-unitized light oil, heavy oil, and natural gas production. The company was formerly known as Penn West Petroleum Ltd. and changed its name to Obsidian Energy Ltd. in June 2017. Obsidian Energy Ltd. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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