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Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/17/2025: OBE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $7.27
1 Year Target Price $7.27
1 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
2 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -19.2% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 430.11M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.27 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.27 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.23 | 52 Weeks Range 3.88 - 6.53 | Updated Date 09/17/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.88 - 6.53 | Updated Date 09/17/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.08 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -31.83% | Operating Margin (TTM) 22.93% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -7.34% | Return on Equity (TTM) -14.4% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 9.51 | Enterprise Value 592968591 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.62 |
Enterprise Value 592968591 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.62 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.03 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.49 | Shares Outstanding 67100000 | Shares Floating 57267704 |
Shares Outstanding 67100000 | Shares Floating 57267704 | ||
Percent Insiders 5.48 | Percent Institutions 24.58 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Obsidian Energy Ltd
Company Overview
History and Background
Obsidian Energy Ltd., formerly Penn West Petroleum, is a Canadian oil and natural gas production company. Founded in 1979, it has undergone several strategic shifts and restructurings to adapt to market conditions.
Core Business Areas
- Oil Production: Obsidian Energy's primary focus is the exploration, development, and production of crude oil. Operations are concentrated in Alberta, Canada.
- Natural Gas Production: The company also produces and markets natural gas as part of its diversified energy portfolio.
- NGLs Production: Obsidian Energy also extracts and markets Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs).
Leadership and Structure
The company has a board of directors and an executive management team led by its President and CEO, Stephen Loukas. The organizational structure is typical of an oil and gas exploration and production company.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Crude Oil: Obsidian Energy's largest revenue source is crude oil sales. Market share data is not readily available but is influenced by Alberta's production and global oil prices. Competitors include Cenovus Energy, Suncor Energy, and Canadian Natural Resources.
- Natural Gas: Natural gas sales contribute to the company's revenue stream. Market share depends on overall gas production in Alberta and sales agreements. Competitors include Tourmaline Oil Corp. and ARC Resources.
- NGLs: Sales of NGLs derived from its operations. Market share depends on overall NGL production in Alberta and sales agreements. Competitors include Pembina Pipeline Corporation, Keyera Corp.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The oil and gas industry is highly cyclical, influenced by global demand, geopolitical events, and technological advancements. North American production is driven by shale oil and gas resources.
Positioning
Obsidian Energy is a mid-sized player in the Canadian oil and gas market. Its competitive advantages lie in its established asset base in Alberta and its ability to manage production costs. It is a smaller competitor compared to Suncor and Cenovus.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Global Oil and Gas market is valued at over $5 trillion. Obsidian Energy, being a mid sized company, is positioned to tap into this immense TAM by extracting its resources.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established Asset Base in Alberta
- Experienced Management Team
- Cost-Efficient Operations
- Diversified Production Portfolio (Oil & Gas)
Weaknesses
- Relatively Smaller Size Compared to Major Competitors
- Susceptibility to Commodity Price Volatility
- High Debt Levels (Subject to change)
- Limited Geographic Diversification
Opportunities
- Increasing Global Energy Demand
- Technological Advancements in Production
- Potential Acquisitions of Smaller Players
- Expanding Export Markets
Threats
- Fluctuations in Oil and Gas Prices
- Environmental Regulations and Concerns
- Geopolitical Instability
- Competition from Larger Producers
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- CVE
- SU
- CNQ
Competitive Landscape
Obsidian Energy faces strong competition from larger, more established players. It must focus on operational efficiency and strategic acquisitions to maintain and grow its market position. The company does not have that large of a market share compared to Cenovus (CVE) and Suncor (SU).
Major Acquisitions
Bonterra Energy Corp
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 57
- Strategic Rationale: To expand Obsidian's asset base and production capacity.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Data is unavailable for this response. Please refer to Obsidian Energy's financial statements.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary; please refer to financial news and analyst reports.
Recent Initiatives: Obsidian Energy has been focused on cost reduction, operational efficiency, and strategic acquisitions.
Summary
Obsidian Energy is a mid-sized Canadian oil and gas producer focused on operations in Alberta. The company benefits from an established asset base and cost-efficient operations. However, it faces challenges due to commodity price volatility and competition. Strategic acquisitions and operational improvements are critical for future growth, while they need to keep a close eye on debt levels.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Financials
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- Public News Sources
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Obsidian Energy Ltd
Exchange NYSE MKT | Headquaters Calgary, AB, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-04-02 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Stephen Elias Loukas | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees 203 | Website https://www.obsidianenergy.com |
Full time employees 203 | Website https://www.obsidianenergy.com |
Obsidian Energy Ltd. engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in Western Canada. Its portfolio of properties includes unitized and non-unitized light oil, heavy oil, and natural gas production. The company was formerly known as Penn West Petroleum Ltd. and changed its name to Obsidian Energy Ltd. in June 2017. Obsidian Energy Ltd. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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