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Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/31/2025: OBE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
4 Analysts rated it
Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.
1 Year Target Price $7.13
1 Year Target Price $7.13
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -26.32% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/31/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 381.61M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.13 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.13 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.12 | 52 Weeks Range 3.88 - 7.07 | Updated Date 11/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.88 - 7.07 | Updated Date 11/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.19 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-10-30 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.38 | Actual 0.24 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -38.09% | Operating Margin (TTM) 19.96% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -8.37% | Return on Equity (TTM) -15.28% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 9.51 | Enterprise Value 601827156 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.61 |
Enterprise Value 601827156 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.61 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.05 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.49 | Shares Outstanding 67116222 | Shares Floating 57275218 |
Shares Outstanding 67116222 | Shares Floating 57275218 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.38 | Percent Institutions 24.49 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Obsidian Energy Ltd
Company Overview
History and Background
Obsidian Energy Ltd., formerly known as Penn West Petroleum, is a Canadian oil and gas production company focused on exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas reserves. The company has undergone several transformations including divestitures and restructuring.
Core Business Areas
- Exploration and Production: Focuses on identifying, acquiring, developing, and producing oil and natural gas reserves primarily in the Cardium and Viking formations in Alberta, Canada.
Leadership and Structure
The company has a board of directors and an executive management team led by the CEO. The organizational structure consists of various departments including operations, finance, and business development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Crude Oil: Crude oil production accounts for a significant portion of Obsidian's revenue. Market share data is not publicly available, but they operate in a competitive market with numerous other Canadian oil producers. Competitors include Cenovus Energy (CVE), Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ), and Suncor Energy (SU).
- Natural Gas: Natural gas production contributes a smaller portion of revenue. Like crude oil, precise market share is unavailable, but the market includes similar competitors to crude oil.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The oil and gas industry is subject to commodity price fluctuations, geopolitical events, and environmental regulations. Demand is influenced by global economic conditions and energy transition initiatives.
Positioning
Obsidian Energy is a mid-sized oil and gas producer focused on specific regions in Alberta. Its competitive advantage may lie in operational efficiencies and cost control within its focused areas.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for crude oil and natural gas globally is multi-trillion USD. Obsidian Energy, as a smaller producer, targets a fraction of this market within its geographical focus.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established asset base in core operating areas
- Experienced management team
- Focus on operational efficiencies
- Access to infrastructure and transportation networks
Weaknesses
- Vulnerability to commodity price volatility
- Geographic concentration of operations
- Higher debt levels than some competitors
- Limited diversification of production streams
Opportunities
- Potential for reserve growth through exploration and development
- Strategic acquisitions to expand asset base
- Technological advancements to improve production efficiency
- Favorable changes in regulatory environment
Threats
- Decline in commodity prices
- Increased environmental regulations
- Geopolitical instability
- Competition from other oil and gas producers
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- CVE
- CNQ
- SU
Competitive Landscape
Obsidian Energy competes with larger, more diversified companies. Its advantage could be in targeted operational focus while disadvantages include less scale and capital access.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Data not available. Historical growth trends will need to be based on past performance including growth of revenue and income.
Future Projections: Data not available.
Recent Initiatives: Data not available. Recent strategic initiatives will need to be extracted from official news sources.
Summary
Obsidian Energy is a Canadian oil and gas producer operating in a volatile industry. Its focused asset base can provide advantages in operational efficiency. The company needs to manage commodity price risk and regulatory pressures while seeking opportunities for growth through strategic acquisitions and exploration.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Industry Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual research and consultation with a financial advisor. Market share data is based on estimated approximations.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Obsidian Energy Ltd
Exchange NYSE MKT | Headquaters Calgary, AB, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-04-02 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Stephen Elias Loukas | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees 203 | Website https://www.obsidianenergy.com |
Full time employees 203 | Website https://www.obsidianenergy.com | ||
Obsidian Energy Ltd. engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in Western Canada. Its portfolio of properties includes unitized and non-unitized light oil, heavy oil, and natural gas production. The company was formerly known as Penn West Petroleum Ltd. and changed its name to Obsidian Energy Ltd. in June 2017. Obsidian Energy Ltd. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
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