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Olin Corporation(OLN)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 4 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-2.88% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$17.56
11/09/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for OLN

11/09/2026: OLN (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Olin Corporation is a global chemical and ammunition company, serving as a primary player in the chlor-alkali, epoxy, and sporting goods markets. The company benefits from significant economies of scale and an integrated production model, which historically supports margins during cyclical upturns. Its main investment narrative centers on capital allocation discipline and the performance of the Winchester ammunition brand, which provides unique diversification. Key risks include intense commodity price volatility, sensitivity to global industrial demand, and the capital-intensive nature of chemical manufacturing. Olin may suit value-oriented investors who can tolerate cyclical swings, and it remains a stock to monitor for industrial demand indicators.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitOlin is a cyclical stock rather than a secular growth play, making its growth path tied to broader economic cycles.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum investors may find opportunities during cyclical upturns when commodity prices surge, provided the trend remains positive.
Value investorStrong fitThe stock often trades at low valuation multiples during the trough of the commodity cycle, attracting value-oriented investors.
Dividend investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveOlin offers a reliable dividend yield that can be attractive for income-focused portfolios if the company maintains financial discipline.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe high volatility inherent in the chemical and commodity markets makes this stock unsuitable for low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighChemical and ammunition prices fluctuate wildly based on market cycles and demand.
Valuation riskMediumInvestors risk overpaying during peak cycles when earnings appear artificially inflated.
Competition risk (Commodity Chemical competition)Medium / highIntense competition from domestic and global peers constantly pressures price realization.
Business qualityMediumWhile the franchise is strong, it is fundamentally a capital-intensive commodity business.
Dividend incomeMediumDividend sustainability depends on the company's ability to navigate cyclical downturns without depleting cash.
Execution riskMediumOperating complex, large-scale chemical plants requires rigorous maintenance and safety protocols.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -23.78%
Avg. Invested days 29
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/09/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
OLN receives a 3-star rating based on the available scored pillars. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
OLN has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-139.4%), soft cash generation (FCF margin 3.7%), moderate revenue growth (+3.7%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
OLN's financial health is supported by moderate cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (3.7% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is OLN's strongest growth driver at +3.7% FY2025 versus FY2024 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-139.4%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-19.5%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 106.4% and approximately 94.4% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.38%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management LLC 14.05%
BlackRock Inc 10.51%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 5.20%
AQR Capital Management LLC 4.83%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.78%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
OLN generates approximately $74 of gross profit, $17 of operating income, and $37 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Weak margins explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 49.59%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
OLN has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedSmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.97B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 19.38
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 19.38
Volume (30-day avg) 4.7M shares
Beta 1.14
52 Weeks Range 14.64 - 29.90
Updated Date 11/08/2026
52 Weeks Range 14.64 - 29.90
Updated Date 11/08/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 4.43%
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.97

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Chlor Alkali Products and VinylsChlorine, caustic soda, EDC, and VCM production.This is the primary revenue engine, sensitive to global industrial growth and construction demand.
EpoxyResins for coatings, wind energy, and electronics.A specialty segment providing exposure to green energy and industrial manufacturing trends.
WinchesterSporting and military-grade ammunition.Provides a distinct, consumer-facing revenue stream that often acts as a counter-cyclical hedge to chemicals.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-29
When After Market
Estimate 0.1
Actual 0.14

Profitability

Profit Margin -3.34%
Operating Margin (TTM) 4.46%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 0.21%
Return on Equity (TTM) -12.13%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 55.87
Enterprise Value 5.16B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.29
Enterprise Value 5.16B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.29
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.77
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.79
Shares Outstanding 114.01M
Shares Floating 107.58M
Shares Outstanding 114.01M
Shares Floating 107.58M
Percent Insiders 0.38
Percent Institutions 106.38

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.