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PagSeguro Digital Ltd (PAGS)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/28/2025: PAGS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $11.23
1 Year Target Price $11.23
7 | Strong Buy |
3 | Buy |
6 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -10.44% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.62B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.89 | 1Y Target Price 11.23 |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.89 | 1Y Target Price 11.23 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 17 | Beta 1.56 | 52 Weeks Range 5.93 - 10.75 | Updated Date 08/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 5.93 - 10.75 | Updated Date 08/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.56% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.3 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-14 | When - | Estimate 1.78 | Actual 1.88 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 11.35% | Operating Margin (TTM) 36.83% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.06% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.17% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.89 | Forward PE 6.39 | Enterprise Value 9809919260 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.14 |
Enterprise Value 9809919260 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.14 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.75 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.3 | Shares Outstanding 171412000 | Shares Floating 159650816 |
Shares Outstanding 171412000 | Shares Floating 159650816 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.39 | Percent Institutions 70.15 |
Upturn AI SWOT
PagSeguro Digital Ltd

Company Overview
History and Background
PagSeguro Digital Ltd., formerly Universo Online S.A., was founded in 2006. It is a Brazilian financial technology company providing digital payment solutions for merchants, entrepreneurs, and consumers. Initially part of Universo Online (UOL), it spun off to become a separate publicly traded company in 2018.
Core Business Areas
- Acquiring: Provides merchants with payment acceptance solutions, including point-of-sale (POS) devices, online payment gateways, and digital wallets. Enables in-person and online transactions.
- Digital Banking: Offers digital accounts with features such as debit cards, bill payments, peer-to-peer transfers, and investment options. Aims to provide a full suite of financial services to its users.
- Credit Solutions: Provides credit products such as working capital loans to merchants and personal loans to consumers. Helps to facilitate access to credit for underserved segments.
- Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) Solutions: Offers a suite of SaaS tools, including tools to help with store design and logistics as well as customer relationship management tools
Leadership and Structure
Ricardo Dutra da Silva is the CEO. The company has a board of directors and operates with a functional organizational structure, with distinct departments responsible for various aspects of the business, such as technology, marketing, finance, and operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Moderninha Smart POS: A point-of-sale (POS) device that accepts various payment methods, including credit cards, debit cards, and digital wallets. PagSeguro has a significant share of the POS market in Brazil, competing with Cielo and Rede. Market share is estimated to be around 25% (combined for all PagSeguro POS offerings). Competitors include StoneCo and GetNet.
- PagBank Digital Account: A digital account that offers various financial services, including bill payments, transfers, and investments. User base is in the millions. Competitors include Nubank, Banco Inter, and PicPay.
- Online Payment Gateway: Enables merchants to accept online payments through their websites and apps. This is a critical product that competes with other payment gateways. Competitors include PayPal, Mercado Pago, and StoneCo's online payment solutions.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The fintech industry in Brazil is rapidly growing, driven by increasing adoption of digital payments, rising internet penetration, and a large unbanked population. The market is becoming increasingly competitive with new players entering the market. The introduction of PIX by the Central Bank of Brazil has driven adoption of digital payments.
Positioning
PagSeguro is positioned as a leading provider of digital payment solutions in Brazil, targeting both merchants and consumers. Its competitive advantages include a large customer base, a comprehensive product suite, and a strong brand reputation. Focuses on small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs).
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for digital payments in Brazil is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually and is expected to grow significantly in the coming years. PagSeguro is well-positioned to capture a significant share of this market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large customer base
- Comprehensive product suite
- Strong brand recognition
- Extensive distribution network
- Strong technology platform
Weaknesses
- Reliance on the Brazilian market
- Exposure to regulatory changes
- Competition from larger players
- Dependence on merchant acquisition
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets
- Development of new products and services
- Acquisitions of complementary businesses
- Partnerships with other companies
- Increase fintech products to increase the value chain
Threats
- Increased competition
- Economic downturn in Brazil
- Changes in regulations
- Cybersecurity threats
- Adoption of PIX decreasing POS volume
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- StoneCo (STNE)
- Cielo S.A. (CIOXY)
- MercadoLibre (MELI)
- PayPal (PYPL)
Competitive Landscape
PagSeguro competes with a variety of players, including traditional banks, other fintech companies, and global payment processors. PagSeguro's advantages include its strong brand, large customer base, and comprehensive product suite. It lags global payment processing leaders.
Major Acquisitions
Bxperts
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 14.2
- Strategic Rationale: To provide a wider range of technology solutions for digital banking.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: PagSeguro has experienced significant growth in recent years, driven by the increasing adoption of digital payments in Brazil and the company's expansion into new products and services. Focus on SMB helped in the company's growth. Overall, growth has slowed year over year.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for PagSeguro, driven by the same factors that have fueled its historical growth. However, the pace of growth is expected to slow down due to increased competition and a more mature market. Actual future projections will need to be reviewed through analyst reports.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its digital banking services, launching new credit products, and investing in technology infrastructure.
Summary
PagSeguro is a leading fintech company in Brazil with a strong brand and large customer base. It faces increasing competition and macroeconomic risks. While it is showing slow growth it has the potential for continued growth but needs to adapt to the changing market landscape and potential regulatory changes. Its financial performance is good but shareholder returns remain a key area of focus for the firm.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
- Company Press Releases
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market data is subject to change. Real-time information was not available. All investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About PagSeguro Digital Ltd
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters São Paulo, SP, Brazil | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-01-24 | CEO - | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Infrastructure | Full time employees - | Website https://pagbank.com.br/ |
Full time employees - | Website https://pagbank.com.br/ |
PagSeguro Digital Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of financial and payment solutions for consumers, individual entrepreneurs, micro-merchants, and small and medium-sized companies in Brazil and internationally. It provides digital banking solutions, including deposits, top-ups, debt management services, tax collections, wire transfers, ATM withdrawals, and various online and point-of-sale (POS) payment solutions; cards, such as debit, credit, cash, and prepaid cards; and credit products comprising FGTS withdrawals, payroll loans, working capital loans, and overdraft accounts. The company offers insurance services, including account, card, home, business, health assistance, life, and credit life insurance; investment services, such as investment and portfolio advisory, financial education, brokerage, fund management, treasury, and research services; and operates Shopping PagBank, a marketplace for various brands. In addition, it provides software solutions comprising PagVendas, a POS software app; ClubPag, a marketing tool that allows merchants to advertise across client base, available for POS devices; and PlugPag, a wireless solution that connects the machine to the commercial automation system, via Bluetooth technology. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

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