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Pembina Pipeline Corp(PBA)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
4-STAR RATING
STRONG BUY
BUY for 5 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+1.04% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$50.34
10/23/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for PBA

10/23/2026: PBA (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 5 days. Simulated Profits (1.04%). Updated daily EoD!

Pembina Pipeline Corp is a major North American midstream energy company providing transportation, processing, and terminal services. The company is known for its robust network in Western Canada and its reliance on stable, long-term, fee-based contracts that support consistent monthly dividends. Its primary growth story revolves around expanding its infrastructure footprint and transitioning into global export markets like the Cedar LNG project. Investors face risks related to regional energy policy, project execution complexity, and the cyclical nature of the industry. This stock may best suit income-focused and value-oriented investors who prioritize steady cash flow over rapid capital appreciation while monitoring regulatory developments.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers moderate growth through strategic projects but is not a hyper-growth tech-style investment.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock is generally characterized by steady, lower-volatility performance rather than high-momentum breakouts.
Value investorStrong fitThe stock often trades at reasonable valuations relative to its reliable, fee-based cash flows.
Dividend investorStrong fitPembina's long history of consistent monthly dividends makes it a primary choice for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorStrong fitStable, contract-based revenues provide a buffer against broader market volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumWhile contract-based, regional energy price swings can still influence marketing segment margins.
Valuation riskLowThe stock typically trades in line with utility-like valuation multiples in the infrastructure sector.
Competition risk (midstream infrastructure)MediumFacing intense competition from well-capitalized pipeline operators like Enbridge and TC Energy.
Business qualityStrongThe company holds high-quality, essential infrastructure assets with significant barriers to entry.
Dividend incomeStrongDividend reliability is a core pillar of the investment thesis supported by long-term service contracts.
Execution riskMedium / highLarge-scale infrastructure projects like Cedar LNG are subject to permitting, regulatory, and construction complexities.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Very Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Very Smooth

The stock has followed a highly orderly price path with minimal short-term disruption.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 38.94%
Avg. Invested days 54
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/23/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
PBA receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid company fundamentals, and solid quantitative characteristics. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
PBA has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong cash generation (FCF margin 32.4%) and strong profitability (net margin 21.8%) are partially offset by negative earnings growth (-9.1%), moderate revenue growth (+5.3%), very low insider ownership of 0.04%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
PBA's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $2.5B (32.4% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is PBA's strongest growth driver at +11.4% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-9.1%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 61.8% and approximately 99.9% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.04%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Royal Bank of Canada 7.81%
Bank of Montreal 3.72%
BMO Capital Markets Corp. 3.72%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 2.88%
ClearBridge Advisors, LLC 2.29%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
PBA generates approximately $384 of gross profit, $361 of operating income, and $324 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong margins and strong cash conversion support the rating, although capital efficiency remains soft.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 23.24%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
PBA has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 29.28B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 24.56
1Y Target Price 47.55
Price to earnings Ratio 24.56
1Y Target Price 47.55
Volume (30-day avg) 1.1M shares
Beta 0.75
52 Weeks Range 34.73 - 51.06
Updated Date 10/24/2026
52 Weeks Range 34.73 - 51.06
Updated Date 10/24/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 5.84%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.05

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
PipelinesTransportation fees from moving crude oil and natural gas liquids through its extensive pipeline network.This is the core steady-income engine of the company.
FacilitiesProcessing and fractionation fees from treating raw natural gas and separating liquid hydrocarbons.These facilities provide essential services with consistent demand.
Marketing & New VenturesBuying and selling energy products and developing future growth initiatives like LNG and carbon capture.This segment adds upside potential but carries more commodity price sensitivity.
GeographyPrimarily operations within the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin.Performance is tied heavily to the health of the Canadian energy industry.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 24.56
Forward PE 17.83
Enterprise Value 33.95B
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.68
Enterprise Value 33.95B
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.68
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.87
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.95
Shares Outstanding 581.55M
Shares Floating 580.85M
Shares Outstanding 581.55M
Shares Floating 580.85M
Percent Insiders 0.04
Percent Institutions 61.78

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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