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Perpetua Resources Corp(PPTA)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for PPTA
10/16/2026: PPTA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Perpetua Resources Corp is an exploration-stage mining company focused on developing the Stibnite Gold Project in Idaho. Its primary strength lies in the potential to become a key domestic supplier of both gold and the critical mineral antimony, which is vital for US defense applications. The core investment story centers on the company's dual mandate of mining and site restoration, which differentiates it from traditional producers. However, investors face substantial risks related to federal permitting, development execution, and the need for ongoing capital raises. The stock may best suit growth-oriented investors with high risk tolerance who are looking for strategic exposure to critical mineral supply chains.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers high-growth potential linked to project success but carries significant development risk. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is highly conditional on positive regulatory news and sector-wide gold price movements. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The lack of current earnings or cash flow makes traditional value metrics inapplicable. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Perpetua does not pay dividends and is unlikely to do so in the near term. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The company's status as a pre-production mining entity entails high volatility and speculative risk. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock price is extremely sensitive to speculative project news and commodity price fluctuations. |
| Valuation risk | High | Valuation is based on long-term project viability and hypothetical cash flows rather than current performance. |
| Competition risk (Commodity producers) | Medium | The company faces competition from global, low-cost gold and antimony producers. |
| Business quality | Medium | As a single-asset project holder, the company lacks the diversification of major mining firms. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no current or expected dividend income. |
| Execution risk | High | The primary risk is the ability to obtain final permitting and execute on complex engineering plans. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -66.31% | Avg. Invested days 23 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/16/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.40B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 36.9 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 36.9 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 992.1K shares | Beta 0.81 | 52 Weeks Range 16.43 - 37.37 | Updated Date 10/18/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 16.43 - 37.37 | Updated Date 10/18/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.02 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Stibnite Gold Project | Exploration and future production of gold and antimony. | The company will only make money if it secures permits and builds a mine to extract and sell gold and antimony. |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 1000 | Enterprise Value 2.35B | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 2.35B | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -21.94 | Shares Outstanding 125.10M | Shares Floating 83.87M |
Shares Outstanding 125.10M | Shares Floating 83.87M | ||
Percent Insiders 6.88 | Percent Institutions 73.11 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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