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Upturn AI Summary - About
Royal Gold Inc(RGLD)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RGLD
10/02/2026: RGLD (2-star) is a SELL. SELL for 5 days. Simulated Profits (4.52%). Updated daily EoD!
Royal Gold Inc is a prominent precious metals streaming and royalty company that provides capital to mine operators in exchange for rights to future production. This business model allows investors to gain exposure to gold and metal price fluctuations while avoiding the direct operational risks and high costs associated with traditional mining. While the company is known for strong margins and a consistent history of dividend payments, its growth is heavily dependent on commodity cycles and the successful performance of partner mines. Primary risks include geopolitical exposure and metal price volatility, making the stock best suited for investors seeking diversified mining exposure with income potential. Investors should monitor metal prices and new acquisition developments.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely dependent on commodity cycles rather than organic business expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | The stock can track momentum during gold bull markets but requires an Upturn signal. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation is often tied to the underlying net asset value of mining interests. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company has a consistent history of paying and growing dividends. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While more stable than direct miners, it remains sensitive to commodity price volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Revenue is directly tied to the fluctuating market prices of gold and other metals. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Investors must account for the finite life of mineral reserves in asset pricing. |
| Competition risk (Royalty/Streaming) | Medium / high | Acquiring premium assets requires winning competitive bids against well-capitalized peers. |
| Business quality | Strong | The royalty model provides high operating leverage and shields the company from direct mining costs. |
| Dividend income | Low | The dividend is supported by steady cash flows, making it relatively reliable within the sector. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success depends on the operator's ability to successfully develop and run the mines. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 46.65% | Avg. Invested days 54 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/02/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 19.88B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 25.96 | 1Y Target Price 309.83 |
Price to earnings Ratio 25.96 | 1Y Target Price 309.83 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 672.1K shares | Beta 0.5 | 52 Weeks Range 167.47 - 304.35 | Updated Date 10/02/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 167.47 - 304.35 | Updated Date 10/02/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.41% | Basic EPS (TTM) 9.04 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Gold Streaming | Purchasing gold at fixed prices from mine operators. | You profit when gold prices rise while avoiding the heavy costs of operating a mine. |
| Royalty Interests | Receiving a percentage of gross revenue from mines. | A simple way to get paid from mine revenue without managing equipment or labor. |
| Geography (Global) | Assets located in the Americas, Africa, and Australia. | Geographic diversity helps protect against localized political or operational issues. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 25.96 | Forward PE 24.15 | Enterprise Value 22.10B | Price to Sales(TTM) 12.95 |
Enterprise Value 22.10B | Price to Sales(TTM) 12.95 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 14.28 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.55 | Shares Outstanding 84.73M | Shares Floating 84.41M |
Shares Outstanding 84.73M | Shares Floating 84.41M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.26 | Percent Institutions 86.89 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Royal Gold Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquarters Denver, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1990-03-26 | President, CEO & Director Mr. William H. Heissenbuttel | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Gold | Full time employees 39 | Website https://www.royalgold.com |
Full time employees 39 | Website https://www.royalgold.com | ||
Royal Gold, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires and manages precious metal streams, royalties, and related interests in North America, South and Central America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Australia Pacific. It operates through Acquisition and Management of Stream Interests and Acquisition and Management of Royalty Interests segments. The company engages in the acquisition of existing stream and royalty interests; and the financing of projects that are in production, development, or in the exploration stage in exchange for stream or royalty interests, which consists of gold, silver, copper, nickel, zinc, lead, molybdenum, diamonds, uranium, iron, platinum, palladium, rhodium, lithium, titanium, cobalt, barite, tungsten, and coal. Its properties are located in Canada, Chile, the Dominican Republic, the United States, Zambia, Australia, Ghana, Brazil, Mexico, Bolivia, Argentina, Nicaragua, Macedonia, Botswana, Spain, and internationally. Royal Gold, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Denver, Colorado.
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