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Arcadia Biosciences Inc(RKDA)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RKDA
09/17/2026: RKDA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Arcadia Biosciences is a small-cap company focused on the food and wellness market, specifically targeting health-conscious consumers with its GoodWheat line of high-fiber pasta and flour products. While the company has pivoted away from speculative biotech R&D toward a consumer-packaged-goods model, it continues to face significant operational hurdles and lacks a consistent record of profitability. Its core growth story relies on successfully scaling the GoodWheat brand in a competitive food industry crowded by well-capitalized giants. Investors should be aware of high price volatility and the potential for ongoing execution risk. This stock is generally suitable only for risk-tolerant investors who should monitor the company's revenue growth and path to profitability.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company has not demonstrated consistent revenue or profit growth to support a growth thesis. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock lacks the consistent positive price performance required for a momentum strategy. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | While the market cap is low, the lack of earnings makes traditional value assessment difficult. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay dividends and has no history of doing so. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The high volatility and lack of operational stability present a high-risk profile. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Low market capitalization and low liquidity lead to sharp price swings. |
| Valuation risk | High | The absence of steady earnings makes it difficult to anchor valuation to fundamentals. |
| Competition risk (Food Conglomerates) | High | Competing against giants like General Mills with vastly superior resources is a constant threat. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company is in a transition phase, making business model sustainability uncertain. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | This stock provides no income potential for investors. |
| Execution risk | High | Successfully scaling the GoodWheat brand is critical, and failure to do so could jeopardize the business. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -38.79% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/17/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.11M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 12 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 12 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 189.0K shares | Beta 0.53 | 52 Weeks Range 0.38 - 5.72 | Updated Date 09/17/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 0.38 - 5.72 | Updated Date 09/17/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.54 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Specialty Food Ingredients | GoodWheat pasta, flour, and baking mixes sold via retail and e-commerce. | Revenue is driven by consumers purchasing premium, health-focused pantry staples. |
| Wellness / Legacy Products | Zola coconut water and other minor consumer wellness products. | Provides secondary, lower-margin income through hydration and wellness beverages. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 36.63 | Enterprise Value -3.32M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.23 |
Enterprise Value -3.32M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.23 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.06 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.62 | Shares Outstanding 2.41M | Shares Floating 2.17M |
Shares Outstanding 2.41M | Shares Floating 2.17M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.15 | Percent Institutions 18.68 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Arcadia Biosciences Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquarters Dallas, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-05-15 | CEO, Interim CFO, Principal Accounting Officer, President, Corporate Secretary & Director Mr. Thomas J. Schaefer C.F.A. | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Packaged Foods | Full time employees 8 | Website https://arcadiabio.com |
Full time employees 8 | Website https://arcadiabio.com | ||
Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. produces and markets plant-based food and beverage products in the United States. The company develops crop improvements primarily in wheat to enhance farm economics by improving the performance of crops in the field, as well as their value as food ingredients. Its food, beverage, and body case products include GoodWheat, Zola coconut water, ProVault topical pain relief, and SoulSpring. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
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