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Upturn AI Summary - About
Republic Services Inc(RSG)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RSG
10/13/2026: RSG (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Republic Services is a major U.S. provider of non-hazardous waste collection and environmental solutions. The company operates a robust network of landfills and recycling facilities, giving it a leading position and strong competitive advantages through vertical integration. Its primary growth story centers on increasing operational efficiency, expanding its higher-margin environmental services, and capturing value from landfill gas-to-energy projects. While the business is highly resilient, investors should monitor risks regarding rising regulatory costs and potential commodity price volatility in recycling markets. The stock typically suits long-term dividend and low-risk investors seeking stable, recurring cash flows rather than rapid growth, with a premium often reflected in its valuation.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is steady and reliable rather than explosive, fitting those seeking long-term compounders. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum fit is conditional on a positive trend in market pricing and sector sentiment. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The stock often trades at a premium valuation due to its defensive nature and consistent quality. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company offers a reliable and growing dividend stream supported by predictable cash flows. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | As a utility-like provider of essential services, the business exhibits lower volatility than the broader market. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Low | The essential nature of trash collection provides a buffer against market-wide sentiment shifts. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Investors often pay a premium for stability, which can limit upside if the stock becomes overbought. |
| Competition risk (Market Consolidation) | Medium | Maintaining margins requires constant operational efficiency in a highly consolidated sector. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company owns critical infrastructure that is difficult and expensive to replicate. |
| Dividend income | Medium / high | The dividend is stable and sustainable, though it does not offer high-yield growth. |
| Execution risk | Low | Decades of experience in managing large-scale assets minimizes operational surprises. |
Price Behavior
Flat / Range-Bound
The stock price has been trading within a narrow range with minimal directional movement.
Very Smooth
The stock has followed a highly orderly price path with minimal short-term disruption.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 31.56% | Avg. Invested days 60 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/13/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 67.29B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 31.17 | 1Y Target Price 244.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio 31.17 | 1Y Target Price 244.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.5M shares | Beta 0.4 | 52 Weeks Range 195.20 - 231.33 | Updated Date 10/13/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 195.20 - 231.33 | Updated Date 10/13/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.15% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.05 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Collection | Residential and commercial waste pickup services. | The reliable core revenue stream from household and business trash pickup. |
| Disposal & Recycling | Landfill tipping fees and material recovery facility processing. | Revenue earned from owning the final destination for waste materials. |
| Environmental Solutions | Industrial, hazardous, and specialty waste services. | Higher-margin specialized services for industrial clients. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 31.17 | Forward PE 26.32 | Enterprise Value 79.44B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.98 |
Enterprise Value 79.44B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.98 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.82 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.86 | Shares Outstanding 306.21M | Shares Floating 305.56M |
Shares Outstanding 306.21M | Shares Floating 305.56M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.18 | Percent Institutions 99.1 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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