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Upturn AI Summary - About
Republic Services Inc(RSG)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RSG
11/06/2026: RSG (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Republic Services is a major player in the U.S. waste management industry, operating a stable, essential business model that provides recurring collection, disposal, and recycling services. The company benefits from a wide moat supported by its extensive network of landfill assets, which creates significant barriers to entry for competitors. Its primary growth story revolves around expanding into higher-margin environmental solutions and generating renewable natural gas from existing landfills. Investors should monitor competitive pressures, potential regulatory shifts, and management's execution of tuck-in acquisitions. Given its consistent cash flow, it is well-suited for long-term investors seeking a defensive profile with reliable, long-term dividend growth.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers steady growth rather than explosive, high-multiple expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is conditional on sector-wide tailwinds or positive earnings surprises. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Often trades at a premium multiple due to the high quality and stability of the business. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Reliable dividend growth makes it suitable for long-term income-oriented portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | The essential, recession-resistant nature of waste services provides a defensive stock profile. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Low | The utility-like nature of waste disposal leads to relatively low beta compared to the broader market. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Investors often pay a premium for stability, which can limit upside if the stock becomes overextended. |
| Competition risk (WM and regional players) | Medium | High competition for municipal contracts and large-scale commercial accounts requires continuous operational efficiency. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company possesses a wide moat due to its extensive landfill and collection infrastructure. |
| Dividend income | Low | The dividend is well-supported by consistent, predictable free cash flow. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully integrating tuck-in acquisitions and managing complex regulatory environmental requirements is critical for performance. |
Price Behavior
Steady Uptrend
The stock demonstrates consistent and steady upward price momentum.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 41.8% | Avg. Invested days 54 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/06/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 75.20B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 34.19 | 1Y Target Price 256 |
Price to earnings Ratio 34.19 | 1Y Target Price 256 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.3M shares | Beta 0.32 | 52 Weeks Range 195.20 - 254.39 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 195.20 - 254.39 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.02% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.22 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Collection | Residential and commercial trash/recycling pickup services. | The reliable, recurring foundation of the company's daily cash flow. |
| Disposal | Revenue from landfill tipping fees and transfer stations. | Highly profitable segment due to high barriers to entry for new landfills. |
| Environmental Solutions | Specialized waste handling, recycling, and RNG production. | A growing, higher-margin area focused on modern sustainability demands. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-29 | When After Market | Estimate 1.92 | Actual 1.94 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.92% | Operating Margin (TTM) 20.29% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.26% | Return on Equity (TTM) 18.48% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 34.19 | Forward PE 30.77 | Enterprise Value 89.38B | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.36 |
Enterprise Value 89.38B | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.36 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.19 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.99 | Shares Outstanding 304.64M | Shares Floating 303.99M |
Shares Outstanding 304.64M | Shares Floating 303.99M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.18 | Percent Institutions 99.87 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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