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Riskified Ltd (RSKD)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: RSKD (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $6.03
1 Year Target Price $6.03
3 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
4 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 5.28% | Avg. Invested days 45 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 815.36M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.03 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.03 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9 | Beta 1.38 | 52 Weeks Range 3.94 - 6.64 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.94 - 6.64 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.22 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -11.15% | Operating Margin (TTM) -17.54% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -5.83% | Return on Equity (TTM) -9.01% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 459091366 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.44 |
Enterprise Value 459091366 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.44 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.38 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -5.03 | Shares Outstanding 164056000 | Shares Floating 71900444 |
Shares Outstanding 164056000 | Shares Floating 71900444 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.94 | Percent Institutions 66.6 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 6.03 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 3 |
Buy 1 | Strong Buy 3 | ||
Hold 4 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Riskified Ltd
Company Overview
History and Background
Riskified Ltd. was founded in 2013. It provides fraud and risk intelligence solutions to e-commerce businesses. It went public in 2021 and has focused on expanding its product offerings and global presence.
Core Business Areas
- Chargeback Guarantee: Riskified analyzes transactions and guarantees merchants against chargebacks caused by fraud. If a transaction Riskified approves is later charged back due to fraud, Riskified reimburses the merchant.
- Fraud Prevention Solutions: Riskified offers solutions to detect and prevent online fraud, including account takeover, payment fraud, and policy abuse.
Leadership and Structure
The CEO is Eido Gal. The company has a typical corporate structure with departments focusing on technology, sales, marketing, and operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Chargeback Guarantee: Riskified's flagship product analyzes transactions and guarantees them against fraudulent chargebacks. Competitors include Forter, Signifyd and ClearSale. Riskified's Revenue from this product is not independently available. Market share data specific to chargeback guarantee is hard to find and needs an external source.
- Policy Protect: Policy Protect prevents policy abuse (returns abuse, promo abuse, etc.). It provides an AI-powered decision making and automation that helps retailers and brands protect their revenues and customer experience while increasing profit. Competitors include Forter, Signifyd and ClearSale. Riskified's Revenue from this product is not independently available. Market share data specific to Policy Protect is hard to find and needs an external source.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The fraud prevention market is experiencing significant growth due to the increase in online transactions and the sophistication of fraudulent activities. The shift to online shopping is driving growth in the e-commerce fraud prevention solutions market.
Positioning
Riskified positions itself as a provider of AI-powered fraud prevention, focusing on reducing fraud and increasing revenue for merchants. Its competitive advantage lies in its chargeback guarantee and AI-driven fraud detection accuracy.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for e-commerce fraud prevention is estimated to be tens of billions of dollars globally. Riskified is positioned to capture a portion of this market through its focus on larger e-commerce merchants.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- AI-powered fraud detection
- Chargeback guarantee
- Strong customer base of e-commerce merchants
- Data-driven decision-making
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Dependence on e-commerce transaction volumes
- Potential for large payouts due to chargeback guarantees
- Relatively limited product portfolio compared to larger players
- Profitability Concerns
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographies
- Development of new fraud prevention solutions
- Partnerships with e-commerce platforms
- Increasing adoption of AI in fraud prevention
- Growth in the Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) market
Threats
- Increased competition from established fraud prevention providers
- Evolving fraud techniques
- Economic downturn impacting e-commerce spending
- Changes in regulations related to online transactions
- Data security breaches
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- FORTER (Private)
- SIGFYND (Private)
- CLEARSALE (Private)
Competitive Landscape
Riskified has a strong position in the e-commerce fraud prevention market, particularly with its chargeback guarantee. However, it faces competition from larger, more established players with broader product portfolios.
Major Acquisitions
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- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 32
- Strategic Rationale: The acquisition of Jool enhances Riskified's capabilities in online payment optimization and fraud prevention, further expanding its service offerings for e-commerce merchants.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Riskified's historical growth has been tied to the growth of e-commerce. The company has expanded its customer base and product offerings.
Future Projections: Future growth depends on continued expansion into new markets and the development of new fraud prevention solutions. Analyst projections vary and depend on various market factors.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include expanding its product offerings and focusing on serving larger e-commerce merchants.
Summary
Riskified is a player in the e-commerce fraud prevention market, known for its AI-driven solutions and chargeback guarantee. The company benefits from the growth of online retail and increasing fraud sophistication. However, it faces intense competition and must manage the risk associated with its chargeback guarantees. Expansion into new markets and innovative product development are key to future growth and success.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings, industry reports, market analysis reports, company website.
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and represents a snapshot in time. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. This is not financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Riskified Ltd
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-07-29 | Co-Founder, CEO & Chairman Mr. Eido Gal | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Application | Full time employees 652 | Website https://www.riskified.com |
Full time employees 652 | Website https://www.riskified.com |
Riskified Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and offers an e-commerce risk intelligent platform that allows online merchants to create trusted relationships with consumers in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and the Americas. It offers Chargeback Guarantee that ensures the legitimacy of merchants' online orders; Dispute Resolve, which is used to compile submissions for fraud and non-fraud related chargeback issues; Policy Protect, a machine learning solution designed to detect and prevent refund and returns policy abuse in real-time; Account Secure, a solution that cross-checks every login attempt; and PSD2 Optimize that helps merchants avoid bank authorization failures and abandoned shopping carts. The company serves direct-to-consumer brands, online-only retailers, omnichannel retailers, online marketplaces, and e-commerce service providers in various industries, such as payments, money transfer, tickets and travel, electronics, home, and fashion and luxury goods. Riskified Ltd. was incorporated in 2012 and is based in New York, New York.
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