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Upturn AI SWOT - About
RSKD 
Riskified Ltd (RSKD)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/15/2025: RSKD (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
9 Analysts rated it
Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.
1 Year Target Price $5.79
1 Year Target Price $5.79
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 4 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 4.01% | Avg. Invested days 49 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/15/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 762.86M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.79 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.79 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9 | Beta 1.35 | 52 Weeks Range 3.94 - 6.00 | Updated Date 10/17/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.94 - 6.00 | Updated Date 10/17/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.24 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -11.7% | Operating Margin (TTM) -14.48% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -5.77% | Return on Equity (TTM) -10.16% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 117.65 | Enterprise Value 426133714 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.27 |
Enterprise Value 426133714 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.27 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.27 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -5.03 | Shares Outstanding 164055588 | Shares Floating 64933870 |
Shares Outstanding 164055588 | Shares Floating 64933870 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.45 | Percent Institutions 65.55 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Riskified Ltd
Company Overview
History and Background
Riskified Ltd. was founded in 2013 and went public in 2021. It provides a risk management platform for e-commerce businesses, using machine learning to detect and prevent online fraud.
Core Business Areas
- Fraud Prevention: Analyzes e-commerce transactions in real-time to identify and prevent fraudulent activities.
- Chargeback Guarantee: Guarantees reimbursement for chargebacks on approved transactions, shifting the risk from merchants to Riskified.
- Account Protection: Protects customer accounts from unauthorized access and fraudulent activity.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by co-founders Eido Gal and Assaf Feldman. The organizational structure is typical of a technology company with departments focusing on engineering, product, sales, and marketing.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Chargeback Guarantee: Guarantees e-commerce merchants for revenue lost due to fraudulent chargebacks, subject to their approval of transactions identified as legitimate by Riskified's platform. Estimated to have over 10,000 merchants, but the exact market share data and revenue data are not public. Competitors include Signifyd, Forter, and ClearSale.
- Policy Protect: Helps merchants prevent policy abuse by identifying fraudulent return requests and promotional abuse. Data on users and revenue is not publicly available. Competitors include Sift, Ekata (now part of Mastercard), and TransUnion.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The e-commerce fraud prevention market is growing rapidly due to the increase in online transactions and the sophistication of fraud techniques. Key trends include the adoption of AI and machine learning to detect fraud and the increasing focus on protecting customer accounts.
Positioning
Riskified is positioned as a leading provider of fraud prevention solutions for e-commerce businesses, with a focus on using machine learning to provide a chargeback guarantee. Its competitive advantage lies in its data scale, which enables more accurate fraud detection.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for e-commerce fraud prevention is estimated to be tens of billions of dollars globally. Riskified is positioned to capture a significant share of this market by offering its chargeback guarantee and leveraging its advanced technology.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Advanced technology platform using machine learning
- Chargeback guarantee that reduces risk for merchants
- Large dataset for training fraud detection models
- Strong brand reputation in the e-commerce industry
Weaknesses
- Reliance on e-commerce transaction volume
- Profitability concerns and dependence on growth
- Competition from larger, more established players
- Potential for model drift and false positives
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets and industries
- Development of new products and services
- Partnerships with e-commerce platforms and payment processors
- Increased adoption of AI and machine learning in fraud prevention
Threats
- Evolving fraud techniques
- Increased competition from new entrants
- Economic downturn that reduces e-commerce spending
- Regulatory changes that impact fraud prevention practices
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- FORTR
- SIFT
- CCMP
Competitive Landscape
Riskified's advantages include its chargeback guarantee and its focus on using machine learning. Its disadvantages include its smaller size compared to some of its competitors and its reliance on e-commerce transaction volume. Fortra's Key advantages are their compliance portfolio which Riskified does not offer. Sift's key advantage is their focus on user identity.
Major Acquisitions
u099cu09beu09b2 (false positive detection)
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 16
- Strategic Rationale: Boost technology, enhance fraud detection, and expand market reach.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by the increasing adoption of e-commerce and the demand for fraud prevention solutions. Past year's revenue growth rates can be found in the company's financial reports.
Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by expansion into new markets, the development of new products, and partnerships with e-commerce platforms. Analyst estimates would provide specific projections for revenue and earnings growth.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives may include partnerships with e-commerce platforms, the launch of new products, or acquisitions of other companies.
Summary
Riskified is a fraud prevention company that uses machine learning to protect e-commerce businesses. The company faces strong competition in the market, yet it is a growing company. It leverages its chargeback guarantee and data-driven approach as a competitive advantage. However, it needs to address concerns related to profitability and model drift to achieve sustainable success.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Riskified Ltd.'s Investor Relations website
- SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Third-party market research reports
- Company press releases
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Financial data is based on publicly available information and may be subject to change. Market share estimates are approximate and may vary. This is only from the information available to me up to today.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Riskified Ltd
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-07-29 | Co-Founder, CEO & Chairman Mr. Eido Gal | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Application | Full time employees 652 | Website https://www.riskified.com |
Full time employees 652 | Website https://www.riskified.com | ||
Riskified Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and offers an e-commerce risk intelligent platform that allows online merchants to create trusted relationships with consumers in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and the Americas. It offers Chargeback Guarantee that ensures the legitimacy of merchants' online orders; Dispute Resolve, which is used to compile submissions for fraud and non-fraud related chargeback issues; Policy Protect, a machine learning solution designed to detect and prevent refund and returns policy abuse in real-time; Account Secure, a solution that cross-checks every login attempt; and PSD2 Optimize that helps merchants avoid bank authorization failures and abandoned shopping carts. The company serves direct-to-consumer brands, online-only retailers, omnichannel retailers, online marketplaces, and e-commerce service providers in various industries, such as payments, money transfer, tickets and travel, electronics, home, and fashion and luxury goods. Riskified Ltd. was incorporated in 2012 and is based in New York, New York.
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